Football · Austria League 1 Women · 02/08, 15:00

Prediction: First Vienna FC 1894 (W) vs Rapid Vienna (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.27Total

First Vienna FC 1894 (W)1.9

Rapid Vienna (W)1.37

1X2

49% 23% 27%

First Vienna FC 1894 (W) Draw Rapid Vienna (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

First Vienna FC 1894 (W) 9-0-1 (W-D-L)

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Rapid Vienna (W) 10-0-0 (W-D-L)

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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · First Vienna FC 1894 (W) 1588 · Rapid Vienna (W) 1632

	First Vienna FC 1894 (W)	Draw	Rapid Vienna (W)
Our model	49%	24%	27%
Market	50%	22%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 3.27 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rapid Vienna (W) (rating 1588 vs 1632).
High corners: 13.2 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	First Vienna FC 1894 (W)	Rapid Vienna (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	2.7 / 0.9	4.7 / 0.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.5	2.4 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/20/30%	100/0/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	4.5 / 7.5	2.5 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.3 / 0.1	1.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.80

X4.00

23.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.82

2 (+0.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 31.82

Under 31.98

Diff.: 1.3 · xG: 4.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.80 → 1.80	Bet365 1.80
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
04:57 +10’	1.80	4.00	3.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Austria League 1 Women

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Salzburg (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	First Vienna FC 1894 (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FK Austria Vienna (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	LASK Linz (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Kleinmunchen/Blau-Weiss Linz (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SCR Altach (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Rapid Vienna (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SK Sturm Graz (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SKN St Polten (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

First Vienna FC 1894 (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/05	LASK Linz (W) Austria League 1 Women	0-1	3-2	8	3	W
10/05	FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W) Austria League 1 Women	1-0	3-0	9	2	W
03/05	SCR Altach (W) Austria League 1 Women	0-1	3-1	7	1	W
25/04	Kleinmunchen/Blau-Weiss Linz (W) Austria League 1 Women	1-0	3-0	11	0	W
28/03	LASK Linz (W) Austria League 1 Women	2-1	3-2	–	–	W
22/03	SCR Altach (W) Austria League 1 Women	0-0	2-0	10	2	W
15/03	Kleinmunchen/Blau-Weiss Linz (W) Austria League 1 Women	1-0	3-1	–	–	W
25/02	SV Neulengbach (W) Austria League 1 Women	1-0	1-0	6	1	W
14/02	SK Sturm Graz (W) Austria Cup Women	0-1	1-2	0	2	L
17/01	Slovan Bratislava (W) Women’s Friendly	1-1	5-1	9	0	W

Rapid Vienna (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/05	Wacker Innsbruck (W) Austria Women League 2	2-1	6-2	7	0	W
02/05	Wiener Sportclub (W) Austria Women League 2	2-0	2-0	4	1	W
28/03	Luv Graz (W) Austria Women League 2	3-0	7-0	7	2	W
22/03	Rot-Weiss Rankweil (W) Austria Women League 2	2-0	3-0	7	2	W
05/03	Sigma Olomouc (W) Women’s Friendly	7-0	14-0	7	0	W
19/10	Austria Klagenfurt (W) Austria Women League 2	1-0	1-0	3	4	W
11/10	Wiener Sportclub (W) Austria Women League 2	2-0	4-0	5	2	W
27/09	GAK 1902 (W) Austria Women League 2	2-0	2-0	2	4	W
20/09	Luv Graz (W) Austria Women League 2	1-0	3-0	5	1	W
31/08	SPG Geretsberg/Burmoos (W) Austria Women League 2	2-1	5-1	10	0	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in First Vienna FC 1894 (W) vs Rapid Vienna (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a First Vienna FC 1894 (W) win (49%). Probabilities: First Vienna FC 1894 (W) 49%, draw 23%, Rapid Vienna (W) 27%.

How many goals are expected in First Vienna FC 1894 (W) vs Rapid Vienna (W)?

The model expects 3.27 goals (First Vienna FC 1894 (W) 1.9 · Rapid Vienna (W) 1.37), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in First Vienna FC 1894 (W) vs Rapid Vienna (W)?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.