Football · Poland III Liga · 14/11, 13:00
Prediction: Mlawianka Mlawa vs Wigry Suwalki
Team pages: Mlawianka Mlawa · Wigry Suwalki
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.82Total
Mlawianka Mlawa1.63
Wigry Suwalki2.19
1X2
Mlawianka Mlawa
Draw
Wigry Suwalki
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
1-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Mlawianka Mlawa
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Wigry Suwalki
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Mlawianka Mlawa
1–3
Wigry Suwalki
(4 last)
- Wigry Suwalki2-0Mlawianka Mlawa
- Mlawianka Mlawa1-2Wigry Suwalki
- Wigry Suwalki1-2Mlawianka Mlawa
- Mlawianka Mlawa2-3Wigry Suwalki
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Wigry Suwalki (rating 1448 vs 1586).
- H2H favours Wigry Suwalki: 3-0-1.
- High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Mlawianka Mlawa | Wigry Suwalki | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 2.9 | 2.3 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.7 | 1.3 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 60/30/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5 | 2.3 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.4 | 3.4 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mlawianka Mlawa 1–0–3 Wigry Suwalki
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/26 Poland III Liga | Wigry Suwalki | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Mlawianka Mlawa |
| 18/10/25 Poland III Liga | Mlawianka Mlawa | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Wigry Suwalki |
| 26/03/25 Poland III Liga | Wigry Suwalki | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Mlawianka Mlawa |
| 10/08/24 Poland III Liga | Mlawianka Mlawa | 2-3 HT 1-2 | Wigry Suwalki |
Standings · Poland III Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelmianka Chelm | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 27 | 7 | 40 |
| 2 | Czarni Polaniec | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 29 | 23 | 31 |
| 3 | KSZO Ostrowiec | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 27 | 14 | 29 |
| 4 | Hetman Zamosc | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 32 | 24 | 29 |
| 5 | Wisloka Debica | 17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 29 |
| 6 | Naprzod Jedrzejow | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 33 | 31 | 27 |
| 7 | Wisla Krakow II | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 20 | 25 |
| 8 | Wislanie Jaskowice | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 24 | 18 | 24 |
| 9 | Star Starachowice | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 27 | 24 | 23 |
| 10 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 25 | 22 | 23 |
| 11 | Wieczysta Krakow II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 19 | 19 |
| 12 | JKS Jaroslaw | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 32 | 30 | 18 |
| 13 | AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 36 | 17 |
| 14 | Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 20 | 16 |
| 15 | Korona Kielce II | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 31 | 37 | 15 |
| 16 | Podlasie Biala Podlaska | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 27 | 13 |
| 17 | Moravia Morawica | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 19 | 29 | 12 |
| 18 | Pogon Sokol Lubaczow | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 19 | 32 | 12 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Mlawianka Mlawa | Wigry Suwalki |
|---|---|---|
| Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki | 1-3 L | 2-0 W |
| Widzew Lodz II | 1-4 L | 6-3 W |
| Olimpia Zambrow | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Polonia Lidzbark | 3-2 W | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 2 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Wigry Suwalki (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mlawianka Mlawa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki Poland III Liga |
1-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 31/10 | Widzew Lodz II Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 24/10 | Olimpia Zambrow Poland III Liga |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 17/10 | Polonia Lidzbark Poland III Liga |
2-0 | 3-2 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 10/10 | Olimpia Elblag Poland III Liga |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 03/10 | MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki Poland III Liga |
1-1 | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 25/09 | Zabkovia Zabki Poland III Liga |
3-0 | 4-3 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 19/09 | CK Troszyn Poland III Liga |
1-0 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 12/09 | Jagiellonia Bialystok II Poland III Liga |
2-2 | 4-7 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 06/09 | LKS Lodz II Poland III Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
Wigry Suwalki
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | LKS Lomza Poland III Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 31/10 | Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki Poland III Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 24/10 | KTS Weszlo Poland III Liga |
2-0 | 4-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 17/10 | Pelikan Lowicz Poland III Liga |
1-1 | 4-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 09/10 | Warta Sieradz Poland III Liga |
3-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 03/10 | Wisla Plock II Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 26/09 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki Poland III Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 20/09 | Widzew Lodz II Poland III Liga |
3-2 | 6-3 | – | – | W |
| 12/09 | Olimpia Zambrow Poland III Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 06/09 | Polonia Lidzbark Poland III Liga |
1-1 | 1-3 | 8 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mlawianka Mlawa vs Wigry Suwalki?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Wigry Suwalki win (50%). Probabilities: Mlawianka Mlawa 28%, draw 22%, Wigry Suwalki 50%.
How many goals are expected in Mlawianka Mlawa vs Wigry Suwalki?
The model expects 3.82 goals (Mlawianka Mlawa 1.63 · Wigry Suwalki 2.19), with a 56% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Mlawianka Mlawa vs Wigry Suwalki?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.