Football · Poland III Liga · 14/11, 13:30

Prediction: Sleza Wroclaw vs Zaglebie Lubin II

Team pages: Sleza Wroclaw · Zaglebie Lubin II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.38Total

Sleza Wroclaw1.72

Zaglebie Lubin II1.66

1X2

39% 25% 36%

Sleza Wroclaw Draw Zaglebie Lubin II

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Sleza Wroclaw 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LLLDWLLWDL

Zaglebie Lubin II 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

WDWDDDLWLL

Head-to-head

Sleza Wroclaw 3–1–2 Zaglebie Lubin II (6 last)

Zaglebie Lubin II2-1Sleza Wroclaw
Sleza Wroclaw0-1Zaglebie Lubin II
Sleza Wroclaw4-0Zaglebie Lubin II
Zaglebie Lubin II2-2Sleza Wroclaw
Sleza Wroclaw5-2Zaglebie Lubin II
Zaglebie Lubin II0-1Sleza Wroclaw

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Zaglebie Lubin II (rating 1450 vs 1496).
H2H favours Sleza Wroclaw: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sleza Wroclaw	Zaglebie Lubin II
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 2	1.6 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.9	0.6 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 4.2	1.9 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0	3.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.95

Under 3.251.76

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:07

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.41 → 2.41	Pinn 2.41
X	3.66 → 3.66	Pinn 3.66
2	2.33 → 2.33	Pinn 2.33

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
02:58 +9’	2.41	3.66	2.33

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Sleza Wroclaw 3–1–2 Zaglebie Lubin II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 Poland III Liga	Zaglebie Lubin II	2-1 HT 1-1	Sleza Wroclaw
03/10/25 Poland III Liga	Sleza Wroclaw	0-1 HT 0-0	Zaglebie Lubin II
18/05/22 Poland Regional Cup	Sleza Wroclaw	4-0 HT 2-0	Zaglebie Lubin II
09/04/22 Poland III Liga	Zaglebie Lubin II	2-2 HT 1-1	Sleza Wroclaw
04/09/21 Poland III Liga	Sleza Wroclaw	5-2 HT 1-2	Zaglebie Lubin II
08/05/21 Poland III Liga	Zaglebie Lubin II	0-1 HT 0-1	Sleza Wroclaw

Standings · Poland III Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chelmianka Chelm	16	12	4	0	27	7	40
2	Czarni Polaniec	17	9	4	4	29	23	31
3	KSZO Ostrowiec	16	8	5	3	27	14	29
4	Hetman Zamosc	16	8	5	3	32	24	29
5	Wisloka Debica	17	9	2	6	26	25	29
6	Naprzod Jedrzejow	16	8	3	5	33	31	27
7	Wisla Krakow II	16	7	4	5	21	20	25
8	Wislanie Jaskowice	16	7	3	6	24	18	24
9	Star Starachowice	16	6	5	5	27	24	23
10	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	16	7	2	7	25	22	23
11	Wieczysta Krakow II	16	5	4	7	16	19	19
12	JKS Jaroslaw	16	5	3	8	32	30	18
13	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj	16	5	2	9	22	36	17
14	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	16	3	7	6	16	20	16
15	Korona Kielce II	16	4	3	9	31	37	15
16	Podlasie Biala Podlaska	16	3	4	9	12	27	13
17	Moravia Morawica	16	3	3	10	19	29	12
18	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow	16	3	3	10	19	32	12

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sleza Wroclaw	Zaglebie Lubin II
Odra Bytom Odrzanski	0-1 L	1-1 D
Gornik Polkowice	2-2 D	1-1 D
Barycz Sulow	2-1 W	3-3 D
Carina Gubin	1-3 L	3-0 W
ROW 1964 Rybnik	1-2 L	2-2 D
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora	2-0 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 3 L	2 W 4 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Zaglebie Lubin II (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sleza Wroclaw

LLLDWLLWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Odra Bytom Odrzanski Poland III Liga	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
30/10	Gornik Polkowice Poland III Liga	0-1	2-2	–	–	D
24/10	Barycz Sulow Poland III Liga	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
17/10	Carina Gubin Poland III Liga	0-1	1-3	3	4	L
10/10	ROW 1964 Rybnik Poland III Liga	1-1	1-2	3	2	L
03/10	Karkonosze Jelenia Gora Poland III Liga	1-0	2-0	2	3	W
26/09	Warta Gorzow Poland III Liga	0-1	1-1	3	5	D
19/09	Miedz Legnica II Poland III Liga	3-2	3-5	5	6	L
12/09	MKS Kluczbork Poland III Liga	1-1	2-3	–	–	L
05/09	Rakow Czestochowa II Poland III Liga	0-1	1-2	9	3	L

Zaglebie Lubin II

WDWDDDLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/11	LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj Poland III Liga	1-1	1-2	8	2	L
31/10	Stal Brzeg Poland III Liga	0-2	1-4	–	–	L
25/10	KS Stilon Gorzow Poland III Liga	2-0	3-1	4	2	W
17/10	Zaglebie Sosnowiec Poland III Liga	0-1	0-1	3	7	L
10/10	Odra Bytom Odrzanski Poland III Liga	1-1	1-1	5	6	D
02/10	Gornik Polkowice Poland III Liga	0-1	1-1	3	4	D
26/09	Barycz Sulow Poland III Liga	1-2	3-3	4	3	D
18/09	Carina Gubin Poland III Liga	1-0	3-0	5	0	W
12/09	ROW 1964 Rybnik Poland III Liga	0-0	2-2	–	–	D
05/09	Karkonosze Jelenia Gora Poland III Liga	0-0	1-0	0	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sleza Wroclaw vs Zaglebie Lubin II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sleza Wroclaw win (39%). Probabilities: Sleza Wroclaw 39%, draw 25%, Zaglebie Lubin II 36%.

How many goals are expected in Sleza Wroclaw vs Zaglebie Lubin II?

The model expects 3.38 goals (Sleza Wroclaw 1.72 · Zaglebie Lubin II 1.66), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Sleza Wroclaw vs Zaglebie Lubin II?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.