Football · Poland III Liga · 13/11, 13:00

Prediction: LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj vs KS Stilon Gorzow

Team pages: LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj · KS Stilon Gorzow

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.1Total

LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj1.76

KS Stilon Gorzow1.34

1X2

46% 26% 28%

LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj Draw KS Stilon Gorzow

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WLWLLDWLWW

KS Stilon Gorzow 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

DLDWWLDLLD

Head-to-head

LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj 1–3–2 KS Stilon Gorzow (6 last)

KS Stilon Gorzow0-1LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj
LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj0-0KS Stilon Gorzow
LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj1-2KS Stilon Gorzow
KS Stilon Gorzow1-1LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj
KS Stilon Gorzow1-0LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj
LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj2-2KS Stilon Gorzow

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj 1516 · KS Stilon Gorzow 1467

	LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj	Draw	KS Stilon Gorzow
Our model	46%	25%	28%
Market	46%	26%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 3.1 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj (rating 1516 vs 1467).
H2H favours KS Stilon Gorzow: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj	KS Stilon Gorzow
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.5	1.2 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.8	0.5 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.7	2.3 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.3	2.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.95

X3.50

23.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.00

2 (+0.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.95

Under 2.751.85

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:02

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 1.95	Bet365 1.95
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
13:50 +12’	1.95	3.50	3.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj 1–3–2 KS Stilon Gorzow

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/06/25 Poland III Liga	KS Stilon Gorzow	0-1 HT 0-0	LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj
16/11/24 Poland III Liga	LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj	0-0 HT 0-0	KS Stilon Gorzow
27/04/24 Poland III Liga	LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj	1-2 HT 0-0	KS Stilon Gorzow
30/09/23 Poland III Liga	KS Stilon Gorzow	1-1 HT 0-0	LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj
03/06/23 Poland III Liga	KS Stilon Gorzow	1-0 HT 0-0	LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj
05/11/22 Poland III Liga	LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj	2-2 HT 0-0	KS Stilon Gorzow

Standings · Poland III Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chelmianka Chelm	16	12	4	0	27	7	40
2	KSZO Ostrowiec	16	8	5	3	27	14	29
3	Hetman Zamosc	16	8	5	3	32	24	29
4	Wisloka Debica	16	9	2	5	25	21	29
5	Czarni Polaniec	16	8	4	4	25	22	28
6	Naprzod Jedrzejow	16	8	3	5	33	31	27
7	Wisla Krakow II	16	7	4	5	21	20	25
8	Wislanie Jaskowice	16	7	3	6	24	18	24
9	Star Starachowice	16	6	5	5	27	24	23
10	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	16	7	2	7	25	22	23
11	Wieczysta Krakow II	16	5	4	7	16	19	19
12	JKS Jaroslaw	16	5	3	8	32	30	18
13	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj	16	5	2	9	22	36	17
14	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	16	3	7	6	16	20	16
15	Korona Kielce II	16	4	3	9	31	37	15
16	Podlasie Biala Podlaska	16	3	4	9	12	27	13
17	Moravia Morawica	16	3	3	10	19	29	12
18	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow	16	3	3	10	19	32	12

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj	KS Stilon Gorzow
Zaglebie Lubin II	2-1 W	1-3 L
Odra Bytom Odrzanski	3-0 W	0-0 D
Gornik Polkowice	1-4 L	1-4 L
Barycz Sulow	3-1 W	2-1 W
Carina Gubin	0-0 D	3-1 W
ROW 1964 Rybnik	0-1 L	0-0 D
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora	0-2 L	2-4 L
Warta Gorzow	4-1 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 3 L	2 W 3 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj

WLWLLDWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/11	Zaglebie Lubin II Poland III Liga	1-1	2-1	4	2	W
31/10	Odra Bytom Odrzanski Poland III Liga	1-0	3-0	4	4	W
24/10	Gornik Polkowice Poland III Liga	0-2	1-4	1	3	L
17/10	Barycz Sulow Poland III Liga	1-1	3-1	8	9	W
10/10	Carina Gubin Poland III Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
03/10	ROW 1964 Rybnik Poland III Liga	0-0	0-1	5	3	L
26/09	Karkonosze Jelenia Gora Poland III Liga	0-1	0-2	7	5	L
19/09	Warta Gorzow Poland III Liga	1-0	4-1	2	6	W
12/09	Miedz Legnica II Poland III Liga	0-3	0-5	10	2	L
05/09	MKS Kluczbork Poland III Liga	2-0	3-0	1	8	W

KS Stilon Gorzow

DLDWWLDLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Stal Brzeg Poland III Liga	0-1	2-2	–	–	D
31/10	Zaglebie Sosnowiec Poland III Liga	0-2	0-2	–	–	L
25/10	Zaglebie Lubin II Poland III Liga	0-2	1-3	5	2	L
17/10	Odra Bytom Odrzanski Poland III Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
09/10	Gornik Polkowice Poland III Liga	0-2	1-4	8	3	L
03/10	Barycz Sulow Poland III Liga	2-0	2-1	–	–	W
26/09	Carina Gubin Poland III Liga	1-1	3-1	–	–	W
19/09	ROW 1964 Rybnik Poland III Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
13/09	Karkonosze Jelenia Gora Poland III Liga	1-2	2-4	4	2	L
05/09	Warta Gorzow Poland III Liga	1-1	1-1	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj vs KS Stilon Gorzow?

According to our model, the most likely result is a LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj win (46%). Probabilities: LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj 46%, draw 26%, KS Stilon Gorzow 28%.

How many goals are expected in LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj vs KS Stilon Gorzow?

The model expects 3.1 goals (LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj 1.76 · KS Stilon Gorzow 1.34), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj vs KS Stilon Gorzow?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.