Football · Poland III Liga · 14/11, 15:30

Prediction: MKS Kluczbork vs Carina Gubin

Team pages: MKS Kluczbork · Carina Gubin

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.73Total

MKS Kluczbork1.72

Carina Gubin1.01

1X2

54% 24% 22%

MKS Kluczbork Draw Carina Gubin

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

MKS Kluczbork 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LWLLLWWDDW

Carina Gubin 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LDLLWDWLDW

Head-to-head

MKS Kluczbork 0–2–4 Carina Gubin (6 last)

Carina Gubin1-1MKS Kluczbork
MKS Kluczbork1-2Carina Gubin
Carina Gubin1-0MKS Kluczbork
MKS Kluczbork1-3Carina Gubin
MKS Kluczbork1-2Carina Gubin
Carina Gubin1-1MKS Kluczbork

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · MKS Kluczbork 1514 · Carina Gubin 1486

	MKS Kluczbork	Draw	Carina Gubin
Our model	53%	26%	21%
Market	54%	23%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 2.73 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Carina Gubin: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	MKS Kluczbork	Carina Gubin
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.4	1 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.8	0.5 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/40/50%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 5	3.3 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.8 / 0.3	4 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.65

X3.90

24.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.82

2 (+0.75)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.65 → 1.65	Bet365 1.65
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
16:44 +24’	1.65	3.90	4.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · MKS Kluczbork 0–2–4 Carina Gubin

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 Poland III Liga	Carina Gubin	1-1 HT 1-0	MKS Kluczbork
18/10/25 Poland III Liga	MKS Kluczbork	1-2 HT 1-1	Carina Gubin
21/05/25 Poland III Liga	Carina Gubin	1-0 HT 0-0	MKS Kluczbork
26/10/24 Poland III Liga	MKS Kluczbork	1-3 HT 0-1	Carina Gubin
21/04/24 Poland III Liga	MKS Kluczbork	1-2 HT 1-1	Carina Gubin
23/09/23 Poland III Liga	Carina Gubin	1-1 HT 1-1	MKS Kluczbork

Standings · Poland III Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chelmianka Chelm	16	12	4	0	27	7	40
2	KSZO Ostrowiec	16	8	5	3	27	14	29
3	Hetman Zamosc	16	8	5	3	32	24	29
4	Wisloka Debica	16	9	2	5	25	21	29
5	Czarni Polaniec	16	8	4	4	25	22	28
6	Naprzod Jedrzejow	16	8	3	5	33	31	27
7	Wisla Krakow II	16	7	4	5	21	20	25
8	Wislanie Jaskowice	16	7	3	6	24	18	24
9	Star Starachowice	16	6	5	5	27	24	23
10	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	16	7	2	7	25	22	23
11	Wieczysta Krakow II	16	5	4	7	16	19	19
12	JKS Jaroslaw	16	5	3	8	32	30	18
13	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj	16	5	2	9	22	36	17
14	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	16	3	7	6	16	20	16
15	Korona Kielce II	16	4	3	9	31	37	15
16	Podlasie Biala Podlaska	16	3	4	9	12	27	13
17	Moravia Morawica	16	3	3	10	19	29	12
18	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow	16	3	3	10	19	32	12

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	MKS Kluczbork	Carina Gubin
Rakow Czestochowa II	0-0 D	2-1 W
Polonia Nysa	1-3 L	0-0 D
Sparta Katowice	1-2 L	1-3 L
Sleza Wroclaw	3-2 W	3-1 W
LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj	0-3 L	0-0 D
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 3 L	2 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Carina Gubin (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

MKS Kluczbork

LWLLLWWDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	ROW 1964 Rybnik Poland III Liga	0-0	2-1	5	4	W
04/11	Rakow Czestochowa II Poland III Liga	0-0	0-0	8	6	D
30/10	Karkonosze Jelenia Gora Poland III Liga	1-2	2-2	–	–	D
24/10	Warta Gorzow Poland III Liga	2-0	2-0	–	–	W
17/10	Miedz Legnica II Poland III Liga	0-0	2-0	5	7	W
10/10	Zaglebie Sosnowiec Poland III Liga	0-1	0-1	4	3	L
26/09	Polonia Nysa Poland III Liga	0-1	1-3	–	–	L
19/09	Sparta Katowice Poland III Liga	0-1	1-2	3	9	L
12/09	Sleza Wroclaw Poland III Liga	1-1	3-2	–	–	W
05/09	LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj Poland III Liga	0-2	0-3	5	8	L

Carina Gubin

LDLLWDWLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Rakow Czestochowa II Poland III Liga	0-1	2-1	–	–	W
31/10	Polonia Nysa Poland III Liga	0-0	0-0	1	7	D
24/10	Sparta Katowice Poland III Liga	0-0	1-3	–	–	L
17/10	Sleza Wroclaw Poland III Liga	1-0	3-1	6	4	W
10/10	LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj Poland III Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
03/10	Stal Brzeg Poland III Liga	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
26/09	KS Stilon Gorzow Poland III Liga	1-1	1-3	–	–	L
18/09	Zaglebie Lubin II Poland III Liga	0-1	0-3	7	0	L
11/09	Odra Bytom Odrzanski Poland III Liga	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
06/09	Gornik Polkowice Poland III Liga	1-1	1-2	6	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MKS Kluczbork vs Carina Gubin?

According to our model, the most likely result is a MKS Kluczbork win (54%). Probabilities: MKS Kluczbork 54%, draw 24%, Carina Gubin 22%.

How many goals are expected in MKS Kluczbork vs Carina Gubin?

The model expects 2.73 goals (MKS Kluczbork 1.72 · Carina Gubin 1.01), with a 57% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in MKS Kluczbork vs Carina Gubin?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.