Football · Poland III Liga · 14/11, 12:00

Prediction: Miedz Legnica II vs ROW 1964 Rybnik

Team pages: Miedz Legnica II · ROW 1964 Rybnik

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.77Total

Miedz Legnica II2.08

ROW 1964 Rybnik1.69

1X2

46% 23% 31%

Miedz Legnica II Draw ROW 1964 Rybnik

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Miedz Legnica II 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WWLWWLLWWL

ROW 1964 Rybnik 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LDDWWWLWWL

Head-to-head

Miedz Legnica II 3–0 ROW 1964 Rybnik (3 last)

ROW 1964 Rybnik1-3Miedz Legnica II
Miedz Legnica II2-0ROW 1964 Rybnik
Miedz Legnica II4-1ROW 1964 Rybnik

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Miedz Legnica II 1535 · ROW 1964 Rybnik 1522

	Miedz Legnica II	Draw	ROW 1964 Rybnik
Our model	46%	23%	31%
Market	46%	23%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 3.77 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Miedz Legnica II: 3-0-0.
High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Miedz Legnica II	ROW 1964 Rybnik
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 1.6	1.8 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.9	0.8 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	20/70/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 6.3	2.4 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.1	4 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.95

X3.90

22.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.00

2 (+0.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.82

Under 3.251.98

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 1.95	Bet365 1.95
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
16:40 +25’	1.95	3.90	2.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Miedz Legnica II 3–0–0 ROW 1964 Rybnik

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/04/21 Poland III Liga	ROW 1964 Rybnik	1-3 HT 0-1	Miedz Legnica II
05/09/20 Poland III Liga	Miedz Legnica II	2-0 HT 0-0	ROW 1964 Rybnik
07/09/19 Poland III Liga	Miedz Legnica II	4-1 HT 3-0	ROW 1964 Rybnik

Standings · Poland III Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chelmianka Chelm	16	12	4	0	27	7	40
2	KSZO Ostrowiec	16	8	5	3	27	14	29
3	Hetman Zamosc	16	8	5	3	32	24	29
4	Wisloka Debica	16	9	2	5	25	21	29
5	Czarni Polaniec	16	8	4	4	25	22	28
6	Naprzod Jedrzejow	16	8	3	5	33	31	27
7	Wisla Krakow II	16	7	4	5	21	20	25
8	Wislanie Jaskowice	16	7	3	6	24	18	24
9	Star Starachowice	16	6	5	5	27	24	23
10	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	16	7	2	7	25	22	23
11	Wieczysta Krakow II	16	5	4	7	16	19	19
12	JKS Jaroslaw	16	5	3	8	32	30	18
13	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj	16	5	2	9	22	36	17
14	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	16	3	7	6	16	20	16
15	Korona Kielce II	16	4	3	9	31	37	15
16	Podlasie Biala Podlaska	16	3	4	9	12	27	13
17	Moravia Morawica	16	3	3	10	19	29	12
18	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow	16	3	3	10	19	32	12

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Miedz Legnica II	ROW 1964 Rybnik
MKS Kluczbork	0-2 L	1-2 L
Rakow Czestochowa II	2-1 W	3-1 W
Polonia Nysa	2-1 W	3-0 W
Sparta Katowice	0-2 L	0-2 L
Sleza Wroclaw	5-3 W	2-1 W
LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj	5-0 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 2 L	4 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: ROW 1964 Rybnik (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Miedz Legnica II

WWLWWLLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/11	Barycz Sulow Poland III Liga	0-1	0-3	–	–	L
07/11	Karkonosze Jelenia Gora Poland III Liga	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
30/10	Warta Gorzow Poland III Liga	2-0	6-0	–	–	W
23/10	Zaglebie Sosnowiec Poland III Liga	0-3	1-3	5	4	L
17/10	MKS Kluczbork Poland III Liga	0-0	0-2	6	7	L
10/10	Rakow Czestochowa II Poland III Liga	0-1	2-1	10	5	W
02/10	Polonia Nysa Poland III Liga	1-0	2-1	3	4	W
26/09	Sparta Katowice Poland III Liga	0-0	0-2	5	3	L
19/09	Sleza Wroclaw Poland III Liga	2-3	5-3	10	6	W
12/09	LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj Poland III Liga	3-0	5-0	5	2	W

ROW 1964 Rybnik

LDDWWWLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	MKS Kluczbork Poland III Liga	0-0	1-2	6	4	L
30/10	Rakow Czestochowa II Poland III Liga	1-1	3-1	2	4	W
24/10	Polonia Nysa Poland III Liga	2-0	3-0	–	–	W
17/10	Sparta Katowice Poland III Liga	0-1	0-2	2	8	L
10/10	Sleza Wroclaw Poland III Liga	1-1	2-1	5	2	W
03/10	LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj Poland III Liga	0-0	1-0	11	3	W
26/09	Stal Brzeg Poland III Liga	3-0	4-3	1	5	W
19/09	KS Stilon Gorzow Poland III Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
12/09	Zaglebie Lubin II Poland III Liga	0-0	2-2	–	–	D
05/09	Odra Bytom Odrzanski Poland III Liga	1-1	2-3	9	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Miedz Legnica II vs ROW 1964 Rybnik?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Miedz Legnica II win (46%). Probabilities: Miedz Legnica II 46%, draw 23%, ROW 1964 Rybnik 31%.

How many goals are expected in Miedz Legnica II vs ROW 1964 Rybnik?

The model expects 3.77 goals (Miedz Legnica II 2.08 · ROW 1964 Rybnik 1.69), with a 55% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Miedz Legnica II vs ROW 1964 Rybnik?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.