Football · Belgium First Amateur Division · 14/11, 20:00

Prediction: KSK Heist vs Hoogstraten VV

Team pages: KSK Heist · Hoogstraten VV

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.67Total

KSK Heist2.25

Hoogstraten VV1.42

1X2

55% 22% 23%

KSK Heist Draw Hoogstraten VV

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

KSK Heist 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WDLLWDWWWL

Hoogstraten VV 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DDLDWWDWLL

Head-to-head

KSK Heist 3–2–1 Hoogstraten VV (6 last)

KSK Heist2-2Hoogstraten VV
Hoogstraten VV2-1KSK Heist
Hoogstraten VV2-3KSK Heist
KSK Heist1-0Hoogstraten VV
KSK Heist6-1Hoogstraten VV
Hoogstraten VV3-3KSK Heist

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · KSK Heist 1519 · Hoogstraten VV 1488

	KSK Heist	Draw	Hoogstraten VV
Our model	55%	22%	23%
Market	55%	22%	23%

Estimated total (ours) 3.67 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours KSK Heist: 3-2-1.
High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	KSK Heist	Hoogstraten VV
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 1.2	2.2 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.5	0.9 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/20/30%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.8 / 8.4	0.6 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.2	3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.61

X4.10

23.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.80

2 (+0.75)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.82

Under 3.251.98

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.61 → 1.61	Bet365 1.61
X	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10
2	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
17:08 +6’	1.61	4.10	3.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · KSK Heist 3–2–1 Hoogstraten VV

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/03/25 Belgium First Amateur Division	KSK Heist	2-2 HT 0-0	Hoogstraten VV
05/10/24 Belgium First Amateur Division	Hoogstraten VV	2-1 HT 2-1	KSK Heist
04/05/24 Belgium First Amateur Division	Hoogstraten VV	2-3 HT 0-1	KSK Heist
16/09/23 Belgium First Amateur Division	KSK Heist	1-0 HT 0-0	Hoogstraten VV
17/08/16 Club Friendly List	KSK Heist	6-1 HT 3-0	Hoogstraten VV
01/08/15 Club Friendly List	Hoogstraten VV	3-3 HT 0-1	KSK Heist

Standings · Belgium First Amateur Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	RFC Meux	12	8	1	3	20	11	25
2	Union Rochefortoise	12	6	4	2	23	11	22
3	Union Saint Gilloise II	12	6	3	3	22	15	21
4	Tubize	12	6	3	3	18	13	21
5	RAEC Mons	12	6	2	4	28	20	20
6	RWD Molenbeek	12	6	2	4	16	14	20
7	ROC Charleroi	12	4	4	4	15	23	16
8	Standard Liege II	12	4	2	6	14	12	14
9	Sporting Charleroi U23	12	3	5	4	13	14	14
10	RCS Onhaye	12	4	1	7	13	22	13
11	RSC Habay	12	3	3	6	10	15	12
12	FC Flenu	12	0	2	10	11	33	2

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	KSK Heist	Hoogstraten VV
KVC Houtvenne	4-0 W	3-0 W
KVV Zelzate	5-1 W	4-1 W
Tienen	4-0 W	1-3 L
Cercle Brugge Reserves	3-1 W	4-1 W
Belisia Bilzen SV	1-3 L	0-1 L
K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar	2-3 L	4-4 D
KRC Harelbeke	2-1 W	3-3 D
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 2 L	3 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: KSK Heist (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

KSK Heist

WDLLWDWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/11	KFC Merelbeke Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	1-2	9	5	L
31/10	KVC Houtvenne Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	4-0	6	2	W
24/10	KVV Zelzate Belgium First Amateur Division	2-1	5-1	9	1	W
21/10	Tienen Belgium First Amateur Division	2-0	4-0	7	1	W
11/10	OH Leuven II Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	0-0	8	7	D
03/10	Cercle Brugge Reserves Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	3-1	10	5	W
30/09	Belisia Bilzen SV Belgium First Amateur Division	1-2	1-3	9	3	L
19/09	K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	2-3	9	3	L
12/09	KVV Thes Sport Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	1-1	5	1	D
05/09	KRC Harelbeke Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	2-1	12	4	W

Hoogstraten VV

DDLDWWDWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Tienen Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	1-3	3	2	L
31/10	Belisia Bilzen SV Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	0-1	1	2	L
25/10	Cercle Brugge Reserves Belgium First Amateur Division	1-1	4-1	5	4	W
17/10	SK Roeselare Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	1-1	0	5	D
10/10	KVV Zelzate Belgium First Amateur Division	1-1	4-1	1	1	W
03/10	KVC Houtvenne Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	3-0	2	5	W
30/09	KRC Harelbeke Belgium First Amateur Division	2-2	3-3	4	1	D
19/09	RFC Mandel Utd Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	1-2	8	4	L
12/09	K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar Belgium First Amateur Division	3-1	4-4	4	4	D
05/09	Dessel Sport Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	1-1	5	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in KSK Heist vs Hoogstraten VV?

According to our model, the most likely result is a KSK Heist win (55%). Probabilities: KSK Heist 55%, draw 22%, Hoogstraten VV 23%.

How many goals are expected in KSK Heist vs Hoogstraten VV?

The model expects 3.67 goals (KSK Heist 2.25 · Hoogstraten VV 1.42), with a 54% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in KSK Heist vs Hoogstraten VV?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.