Football · Belgium First Amateur Division · 14/11, 20:00

Prediction: KVV Thes Sport vs RFC Mandel Utd

Team pages: KVV Thes Sport · RFC Mandel Utd

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.81Total

KVV Thes Sport1.52

RFC Mandel Utd1.29

1X2

42% 26% 32%

KVV Thes Sport Draw RFC Mandel Utd

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

KVV Thes Sport 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WDLWDLDWWW

RFC Mandel Utd 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

DLWLWWWWWW

Head-to-head

KVV Thes Sport 2–0 RFC Mandel Utd (2 last)

RFC Mandel Utd0-2KVV Thes Sport
RFC Mandel Utd1-3KVV Thes Sport

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · KVV Thes Sport 1543 · RFC Mandel Utd 1552

	KVV Thes Sport	Draw	RFC Mandel Utd
Our model	41%	27%	31%
Market	43%	25%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 2.81 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours KVV Thes Sport: 2-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	KVV Thes Sport	RFC Mandel Utd
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 0.9	1.9 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.4	1.2 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.4 / 5.7	2.3 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0.2	4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.60

22.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.93

2 (+0.25)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 31.95

Under 31.85

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
15:33 +36’	2.10	3.60	2.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · KVV Thes Sport 2–0–0 RFC Mandel Utd

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/09/22 Belgium First Amateur Division	RFC Mandel Utd	0-2 HT 0-1	KVV Thes Sport
17/10/20 Belgium First Amateur Division	RFC Mandel Utd	1-3 HT 1-1	KVV Thes Sport

Standings · Belgium First Amateur Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	RFC Meux	12	8	1	3	20	11	25
2	Union Rochefortoise	12	6	4	2	23	11	22
3	Union Saint Gilloise II	12	6	3	3	22	15	21
4	Tubize	12	6	3	3	18	13	21
5	RAEC Mons	12	6	2	4	28	20	20
6	RWD Molenbeek	12	6	2	4	16	14	20
7	ROC Charleroi	12	4	4	4	15	23	16
8	Standard Liege II	12	4	2	6	14	12	14
9	Sporting Charleroi U23	12	3	5	4	13	14	14
10	RCS Onhaye	12	4	1	7	13	22	13
11	RSC Habay	12	3	3	6	10	15	12
12	FC Flenu	12	0	2	10	11	33	2

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	KVV Thes Sport	RFC Mandel Utd
KVC Houtvenne	2-1 W	1-2 L
Tienen	1-0 W	2-0 W
Belisia Bilzen SV	3-0 W	1-0 W
Cercle Brugge Reserves	2-2 D	3-1 W
KVV Zelzate	1-1 D	3-1 W
SK Roeselare	1-0 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 0 L	4 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

KVV Thes Sport

WDLWDLDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	KVC Houtvenne Belgium First Amateur Division	1-1	2-1	3	2	W
30/10	Tienen Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	1-0	7	0	W
23/10	Belisia Bilzen SV Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	3-0	3	3	W
17/10	Cercle Brugge Reserves Belgium First Amateur Division	2-0	2-2	6	3	D
11/10	KRC Harelbeke Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	0-1	6	3	L
03/10	KVV Zelzate Belgium First Amateur Division	1-1	1-1	8	6	D
30/09	SK Roeselare Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	1-0	5	3	W
19/09	OH Leuven II Belgium First Amateur Division	0-2	2-3	7	5	L
12/09	KSK Heist Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	1-1	5	1	D
05/09	Royal Knokke Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	2-0	7	5	W

RFC Mandel Utd

DLWLWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Cercle Brugge Reserves Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	3-1	3	6	W
31/10	Dessel Sport Belgium First Amateur Division	2-0	4-3	2	7	W
25/10	Tienen Belgium First Amateur Division	2-0	2-0	4	4	W
17/10	KVV Zelzate Belgium First Amateur Division	3-1	3-1	7	3	W
11/10	KFC Merelbeke Belgium First Amateur Division	2-0	2-0	1	4	W
03/10	Belisia Bilzen SV Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	1-0	11	4	W
30/09	KVC Houtvenne Belgium First Amateur Division	1-1	1-2	5	5	L
19/09	Hoogstraten VV Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	2-1	1	4	W
13/09	SK Roeselare Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	0-1	4	0	L
05/09	K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	1-1	2	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in KVV Thes Sport vs RFC Mandel Utd?

According to our model, the most likely result is a KVV Thes Sport win (42%). Probabilities: KVV Thes Sport 42%, draw 26%, RFC Mandel Utd 32%.

How many goals are expected in KVV Thes Sport vs RFC Mandel Utd?

The model expects 2.81 goals (KVV Thes Sport 1.52 · RFC Mandel Utd 1.29), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in KVV Thes Sport vs RFC Mandel Utd?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.