Football · Belgium First Amateur Division · 14/11, 20:00

Prediction: K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar vs Dessel Sport

Team pages: K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar · Dessel Sport

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.75Total

K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar1.76

Dessel Sport2

1X2

33% 24% 43%

K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar Draw Dessel Sport

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

DDWLLLLWLL

Dessel Sport 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DLWDWLLDLW

Head-to-head

K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar 1–1–2 Dessel Sport (4 last)

K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar3-0Dessel Sport
Dessel Sport5-2K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar
K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar2-2Dessel Sport
Dessel Sport5-1K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar 1464 · Dessel Sport 1498

	K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar	Draw	Dessel Sport
Our model	34%	23%	43%
Market	33%	24%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 3.75 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Dessel Sport: 2-1-1.
High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar	Dessel Sport
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 2.2	1.8 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 1.1	0.4 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/20/70%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.8	3.2 / 6.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.1	2.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.70

X3.75

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.88

2 (-0.25)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.90

Under 3.251.90

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
15:58 +11’	2.70	3.75	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar 1–1–2 Dessel Sport

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/02/26 Belgium First Amateur Division	K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar	3-0 HT 2-0	Dessel Sport
15/11/25 Belgium First Amateur Division	Dessel Sport	5-2 HT 2-0	K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar
22/02/25 Belgium First Amateur Division	K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar	2-2 HT 2-0	Dessel Sport
07/12/24 Belgium First Amateur Division	Dessel Sport	5-1 HT 2-1	K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar

Standings · Belgium First Amateur Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	RFC Meux	12	8	1	3	20	11	25
2	Union Rochefortoise	12	6	4	2	23	11	22
3	Union Saint Gilloise II	12	6	3	3	22	15	21
4	Tubize	12	6	3	3	18	13	21
5	RAEC Mons	12	6	2	4	28	20	20
6	RWD Molenbeek	12	6	2	4	16	14	20
7	ROC Charleroi	12	4	4	4	15	23	16
8	Standard Liege II	12	4	2	6	14	12	14
9	Sporting Charleroi U23	12	3	5	4	13	14	14
10	RCS Onhaye	12	4	1	7	13	22	13
11	RSC Habay	12	3	3	6	10	15	12
12	FC Flenu	12	0	2	10	11	33	2

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar	Dessel Sport
Belisia Bilzen SV	0-4 L	3-4 L
KRC Harelbeke	3-0 W	4-0 W
KVC Houtvenne	0-1 L	0-5 L
Cercle Brugge Reserves	1-2 L	3-1 W
SK Roeselare	0-3 L	0-2 L
OH Leuven II	1-3 L	2-2 D
Hoogstraten VV	4-4 D	1-1 D
RFC Mandel Utd	1-1 D	3-4 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 5 L	2 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Dessel Sport (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar

DDWLLLLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Belisia Bilzen SV Belgium First Amateur Division	0-2	0-4	3	2	L
31/10	KVV Zelzate Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	1-2	5	3	L
25/10	KRC Harelbeke Belgium First Amateur Division	2-0	3-0	5	4	W
17/10	KVC Houtvenne Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	0-1	7	3	L
11/10	Cercle Brugge Reserves Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	1-2	10	5	L
03/10	SK Roeselare Belgium First Amateur Division	0-2	0-3	4	4	L
27/09	OH Leuven II Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	1-3	4	4	L
19/09	KSK Heist Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	3-2	7	3	W
12/09	Hoogstraten VV Belgium First Amateur Division	1-3	4-4	1	4	D
05/09	RFC Mandel Utd Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	1-1	2	4	D

Dessel Sport

DLWDWLLDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Royal Knokke Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	1-0	5	2	W
31/10	RFC Mandel Utd Belgium First Amateur Division	0-2	3-4	11	7	L
24/10	OH Leuven II Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	2-2	7	6	D
17/10	Belisia Bilzen SV Belgium First Amateur Division	2-2	3-4	7	2	L
10/10	SK Roeselare Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	0-2	4	1	L
03/10	KRC Harelbeke Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	4-0	8	1	W
30/09	KFC Merelbeke Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	1-1	5	1	D
19/09	Cercle Brugge Reserves Belgium First Amateur Division	1-1	3-1	5	1	W
11/09	KVC Houtvenne Belgium First Amateur Division	0-2	0-5	4	4	L
05/09	Hoogstraten VV Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	1-1	11	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar vs Dessel Sport?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Dessel Sport win (43%). Probabilities: K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar 33%, draw 24%, Dessel Sport 43%.

How many goals are expected in K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar vs Dessel Sport?

The model expects 3.75 goals (K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar 1.76 · Dessel Sport 2), with a 54% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar vs Dessel Sport?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.