Football · Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4 · 27/09, 19:00
Prediction: Rec de Huelva vs Xerez CD
Team pages: Rec de Huelva
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.73Total
Rec de Huelva1.11
Xerez CD0.61
1X2
Rec de Huelva
Draw
Xerez CD
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 53%
Not both to score 55%
Most likely score
0-0 19%
Recent form · 10 last
Rec de Huelva
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Xerez CD
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Rec de Huelva
3–3
Xerez CD
(6 last)
- Xerez CD1-0Rec de Huelva
- Rec de Huelva1-2Xerez CD
- Xerez CD1-0Rec de Huelva
- Xerez CD0-2Rec de Huelva
- Rec de Huelva3-1Xerez CD
- Xerez CD0-3Rec de Huelva
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rec de Huelva 1559 · Xerez CD 1529
| Rec de Huelva | Draw | Xerez CD | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 35% | 19% |
| Market | 50% | 28% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.73 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 75%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Rec de Huelva | Xerez CD | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.2 | 0.5 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.4 | 0.1 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.4 / 5.5 | 2.3 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.5 | 5.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Rec de Huelva 3–0–3 Xerez CD
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/03/26 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4 | Xerez CD | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Rec de Huelva |
| 19/10/25 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4 | Rec de Huelva | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Xerez CD |
| 06/08/22 Europe Friendlies | Xerez CD | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Rec de Huelva |
| 06/02/22 Spain Tercera Group 10 | Xerez CD | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Rec de Huelva |
| 17/11/21 Spain Tercera Group 10 | Rec de Huelva | 3-1 HT 0-1 | Xerez CD |
| 03/08/19 Europe Friendlies | Xerez CD | 0-3 HT 0-0 | Rec de Huelva |
Standings · Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4 · Segunda Federacion 26/27, Group 4
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sevilla Atletico | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 2 | Don Benito | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 3 | Betis Deportivo | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| 4 | CD Badajoz | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | Rec de Huelva | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 6 | Tenerife B | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 7 | Atletico Sanluqueno | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
| 8 | Linares Deportivo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
| 9 | Marbella FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 4 |
| 10 | CD Estepona | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| 11 | Puente Genil | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| 12 | Club Atletico Central | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
| 13 | Las Palmas B | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 |
| 14 | CP Mijas | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 2 |
| 15 | Ciudad Lucena | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| 16 | CA Antoniano | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| 17 | Xerez CD | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| 18 | UD Tamaraceite | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Rec de Huelva | Xerez CD |
|---|---|---|
| Puente Genil | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Xerez Deportivo FC | 3-2 W | 0-0 D |
| CD Extremadura | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| CD Union Malacitano | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| UCAM Murcia CF | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Real Jaen | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 2 L | 2 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Rec de Huelva (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rec de Huelva
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | UD Tamaraceite Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4 |
0-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 13/09 | Puente Genil Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4 |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 06/09 | Club Atletico Central Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 03/05 | Xerez Deportivo FC Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4 |
2-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 26/04 | CA Antoniano Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4 |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 19/04 | Melilla Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 12/04 | CD Extremadura Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 04/04 | CD Union Malacitano Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 28/03 | UCAM Murcia CF Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 21/03 | Real Jaen Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
Xerez CD
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Don Benito Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 13/09 | CD Badajoz Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 11 | 5 | L |
| 05/09 | CD Estepona Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 03/05 | UCAM Murcia CF Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 26/04 | Xerez Deportivo FC Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 19/04 | CD Extremadura Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 12/04 | CF Lorca Deportiva Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 8 | W |
| 05/04 | Puente Genil Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 28/03 | Real Jaen Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 21/03 | CD Union Malacitano Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rec de Huelva vs Xerez CD?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Rec de Huelva win (48%). Probabilities: Rec de Huelva 48%, draw 31%, Xerez CD 21%.
How many goals are expected in Rec de Huelva vs Xerez CD?
The model expects 1.73 goals (Rec de Huelva 1.11 · Xerez CD 0.61), with a 61% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Rec de Huelva vs Xerez CD?
The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.