Football · Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4 · 15/11, 13:00
Prediction: Las Palmas B vs Ciudad Lucena
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.49Total
Las Palmas B1.21
Ciudad Lucena1.28
1X2
Las Palmas B
Draw
Ciudad Lucena
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Las Palmas B
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Ciudad Lucena
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Las Palmas B 1423 · Ciudad Lucena 1533
| Las Palmas B | Draw | Ciudad Lucena | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 30% | 37% |
| Market | 35% | 26% | 38% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.49 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ciudad Lucena (rating 1423 vs 1533).
- High corners: 11 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 12.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Las Palmas B | Ciudad Lucena | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.5 / 1.8 | 1.7 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 1 | 0.6 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/30/60% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.3 / 7.4 | 1.4 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.8 / 0.3 | 6.4 / 0.2 |
Standings · Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4 · Segunda Federacion 26/27, Group 4
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rec de Huelva | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 8 | 21 |
| 2 | Don Benito | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 13 | 20 |
| 3 | Ciudad Lucena | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 17 | 10 | 19 |
| 4 | CD Badajoz | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 17 |
| 5 | CD Estepona | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 15 |
| 6 | Betis Deportivo | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 15 |
| 7 | Xerez CD | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 7 | 15 |
| 8 | CP Mijas | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 18 | 14 | 15 |
| 9 | Club Atletico Central | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 15 | 15 |
| 10 | Sevilla Atletico | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 18 | 16 | 14 |
| 11 | Linares Deportivo | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 13 | 13 | 14 |
| 12 | Puente Genil | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 12 |
| 13 | Atletico Sanluqueno | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 18 | 10 |
| 14 | Marbella FC | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 10 |
| 15 | Tenerife B | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 10 |
| 16 | UD Tamaraceite | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 23 | 6 |
| 17 | CA Antoniano | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 6 |
| 18 | Las Palmas B | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 5 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Las Palmas B | Ciudad Lucena |
|---|---|---|
| Atletico Sanluqueno | 1-4 L | 2-1 W |
| Puente Genil | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Tenerife B | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| CD Badajoz | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Linares Deportivo | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Don Benito | 0-3 L | 4-2 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 3 L | 3 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Ciudad Lucena (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Las Palmas B
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Marbella FC Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 01/11 | Club Atletico Central Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 18 | 7 | L |
| 25/10 | Atletico Sanluqueno Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4 |
0-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 18/10 | Puente Genil Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 12 | 9 | L |
| 11/10 | Tenerife B Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 10 | D |
| 04/10 | Rec de Huelva Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4 |
0-1 | 0-4 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 27/09 | CD Badajoz Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 20/09 | Linares Deportivo Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 13/09 | Don Benito Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 10 | 6 | L |
| 06/09 | Betis Deportivo Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 9 | L |
Ciudad Lucena
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | CD Badajoz Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 01/11 | Atletico Sanluqueno Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 9 | W |
| 24/10 | CD Estepona Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4 |
0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 18/10 | Xerez CD Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 11/10 | Don Benito Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4 |
3-2 | 4-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 04/10 | Puente Genil Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 27/09 | CA Antoniano Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 20/09 | Tenerife B Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 13/09 | CP Mijas Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 06/09 | Linares Deportivo Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4 |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Las Palmas B vs Ciudad Lucena?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Ciudad Lucena win (38%). Probabilities: Las Palmas B 35%, draw 28%, Ciudad Lucena 38%.
How many goals are expected in Las Palmas B vs Ciudad Lucena?
The model expects 2.49 goals (Las Palmas B 1.21 · Ciudad Lucena 1.28), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Las Palmas B vs Ciudad Lucena?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.