Football · Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4 · 01/11, 12:30

Prediction: CA Antoniano vs CD Estepona

Team pages: CA Antoniano · CD Estepona

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.64Total

CA Antoniano1.17

CD Estepona1.47

1X2

29% 28% 43%

CA Antoniano Draw CD Estepona

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

CA Antoniano 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

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CD Estepona 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

CA Antoniano 3–1–2 CD Estepona (6 last)

CA Antoniano1-2CD Estepona
CD Estepona1-2CA Antoniano
CD Estepona1-3CA Antoniano
CA Antoniano2-1CD Estepona
CA Antoniano0-0CD Estepona
CD Estepona3-0CA Antoniano

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CA Antoniano 1457 · CD Estepona 1521

	CA Antoniano	Draw	CD Estepona
Our model	29%	28%	43%
Market	29%	28%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 2.64 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CD Estepona (rating 1457 vs 1521).
H2H favours CA Antoniano: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 12.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CA Antoniano	CD Estepona
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.8	1.5 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.6	0.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 4.6	1.3 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.9 / 0.4	6.6 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

13.10

X3.20

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.93

2 (-0.25)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.02

Under 2.51.77

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:22

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
16:17 +4’	3.10	3.20	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CA Antoniano 3–1–2 CD Estepona

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/02/26 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4	CA Antoniano	1-2 HT 1-2	CD Estepona
16/11/25 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4	CD Estepona	1-2 HT 0-1	CA Antoniano
06/04/25 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4	CD Estepona	1-3 HT 0-2	CA Antoniano
24/11/24 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4	CA Antoniano	2-1 HT 2-0	CD Estepona
21/04/24 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4	CA Antoniano	0-0 HT 0-0	CD Estepona
10/12/23 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4	CD Estepona	3-0 HT 1-0	CA Antoniano

Standings · Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4 · Segunda Federacion 26/27, Group 4

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Rec de Huelva	8	5	2	1	18	7	17
2	Betis Deportivo	8	4	3	1	12	5	15
3	Ciudad Lucena	8	4	3	1	14	8	15
4	CD Badajoz	8	4	3	1	8	5	15
5	Don Benito	8	4	2	2	14	11	14
6	CP Mijas	8	3	4	1	17	13	13
7	Linares Deportivo	8	3	3	2	9	9	12
8	Sevilla Atletico	8	3	3	2	14	12	12
9	CD Estepona	8	3	3	2	12	11	12
10	Puente Genil	8	3	2	3	8	6	11
11	Atletico Sanluqueno	8	2	4	2	14	12	10
12	Tenerife B	8	3	1	4	11	13	10
13	Xerez CD	8	2	3	3	5	6	9
14	Club Atletico Central	8	3	0	5	11	15	9
15	Marbella FC	8	1	3	4	6	10	6
16	UD Tamaraceite	8	2	0	6	7	15	6
17	Las Palmas B	8	1	2	5	4	15	5
18	CA Antoniano	8	0	3	5	6	17	3

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CA Antoniano	CD Estepona
Linares Deportivo	1-2 L	1-4 L
Ciudad Lucena	0-3 L	2-2 D
Don Benito	1-2 L	3-1 W
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 3 L	1 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: CD Estepona (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CA Antoniano

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Rec de Huelva Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4	0-2	0-5	6	4	L
18/10	Sevilla Atletico Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4	1-0	3-3	3	4	D
11/10	Linares Deportivo Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
04/10	UD Tamaraceite Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4	0-1	0-1	8	7	L
27/09	Ciudad Lucena Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4	0-1	0-3	3	6	L
20/09	CP Mijas Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4	0-0	1-1	4	8	D
13/09	Betis Deportivo Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4	0-0	0-0	2	8	D
06/09	Don Benito Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4	1-0	1-2	6	7	L
03/05	Real Jaen Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
26/04	Rec de Huelva Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4	0-0	2-0	–	–	W

CD Estepona

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Ciudad Lucena Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4	1-0	2-2	4	7	D
18/10	Marbella FC Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
11/10	Club Atletico Central Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4	1-1	3-2	8	9	W
03/10	Don Benito Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4	1-0	3-1	3	4	W
27/09	Tenerife B Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4	1-1	1-2	4	7	L
19/09	Puente Genil Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4	1-0	2-0	1	9	W
12/09	Linares Deportivo Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4	1-2	1-4	4	6	L
05/09	Xerez CD Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4	0-0	0-0	9	6	D
03/05	Yeclano Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
26/04	Aguilas Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4	0-1	2-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CA Antoniano vs CD Estepona?

According to our model, the most likely result is an CD Estepona win (43%). Probabilities: CA Antoniano 29%, draw 28%, CD Estepona 43%.

How many goals are expected in CA Antoniano vs CD Estepona?

The model expects 2.64 goals (CA Antoniano 1.17 · CD Estepona 1.47), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in CA Antoniano vs CD Estepona?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.