Football · Switzerland 1.Liga Classic · 05/09, 17:00

Prediction: FC Collina d'Oro vs Winterthur II

Team pages: FC Collina d'Oro · Winterthur II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.66Total

FC Collina d'Oro1.43

Winterthur II1.23

1X2

42% 26% 32%

FC Collina d'Oro Draw Winterthur II

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Collina d'Oro 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

LLLDWDLDDW

Winterthur II 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WWWDLLLWLW

Head-to-head

FC Collina d'Oro 1–2–0 Winterthur II (3 last)

Winterthur II1-1FC Collina d'Oro
FC Collina d'Oro2-0Winterthur II
FC Collina d'Oro0-0Winterthur II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Collina d'Oro 1488 · Winterthur II 1504

	FC Collina d'Oro	Draw	Winterthur II
Our model	41%	28%	31%
Market	43%	24%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 2.66 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Collina d'Oro	Winterthur II
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.3	1.6 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.4	2 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/0/40%	50/50/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.2 / 5.6	2.5 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.6 / 0.4	2.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.75

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.95

2 (+0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.252.00

Under 3.251.80

Diff.: 0.9 · xG: 2.35

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 00:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.05▼	Bet365 2.05
X	3.75 → 3.80▲	Bet365 3.80
2	2.70 → 2.75▲	Pinn 3.02 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
16:15 +16’	2.10	3.75	2.70
00:46 +3’	2.05▼	3.80▲	2.75▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
20:17	2.01	3.61	3.02

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

Our recommendation on this match 2 odds moves recorded

Go premium to see the odds journey

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Collina d'Oro 1–2–0 Winterthur II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/05/26 Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	Winterthur II	1-1	FC Collina d'Oro
08/11/25 Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	FC Collina d'Oro	2-0 HT 1-0	Winterthur II
03/05/25 Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	FC Collina d'Oro	0-0 HT 0-0	Winterthur II

Standings · Switzerland 1.Liga Classic · 1. Liga Classic 26/27, Group C

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Tuggen	4	4	0	0	12	4	12
2	FC Baden	4	3	1	0	10	4	10
3	FC Thalwil	4	2	1	1	5	3	7
4	FC Dietikon	4	2	1	1	6	6	7
5	St Gallen II	4	2	1	1	7	8	7
6	FC Kosova	4	1	3	0	6	5	6
6	Winterthur II	4	2	0	2	6	5	6
8	Gossau	4	1	2	1	5	5	5
9	FC Collina d'Oro	4	1	2	1	4	4	5
10	AC Taverne	4	1	1	2	8	9	4
11	FC Wettswil-Bonstetten	4	1	1	2	5	7	4
12	USV Eschen-Mauren	4	1	1	2	4	6	4
13	FC Mendrisio	4	0	3	1	3	4	3
14	FC Freienbach	4	0	3	1	5	8	3
15	Locarno	4	0	1	3	6	9	1
16	FC Widnau	4	0	1	3	2	7	1

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Collina d'Oro	Winterthur II
FC Widnau	1-0 W	1-2 L
FC Mendrisio	1-1 D	2-1 W
FC Kosova	1-1 D	1-2 L
FC Thalwil	1-2 L	2-0 W
FC Baden	2-2 D	1-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: FC Collina d'Oro (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Collina d'Oro

LLLDWDLDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	FC Widnau Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	1-0	1-0	4	5	W
22/08	FC Mendrisio Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	1-0	1-1	6	6	D
15/08	FC Kosova Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	1-0	1-1	9	10	D
08/08	FC Thalwil Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	1-2	–	–	L
30/05	FC Baden Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	0-1	2-2	4	9	D
23/05	FC Kosova Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	2-1	–	–	W
17/05	Winterthur II Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	1-1	–	–	D
09/05	St Gallen II Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	0-2	–	–	L
02/05	AC Taverne Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	0-1	–	–	L
25/04	FC Tuggen Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	0-1	0-2	5	5	L

Winterthur II

WWWDLLLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	FC Mendrisio Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	0-0	2-1	4	4	W
22/08	FC Kosova Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	1-2	–	–	L
19/08	FC Thalwil Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	2-0	–	–	W
08/08	FC Baden Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	1-2	–	–	L
30/05	SV Hongg Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	0-1	–	–	L
23/05	FC Widnau Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	1-2	–	–	L
17/05	FC Collina d'Oro Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	1-1	–	–	D
09/05	FC Freienbach Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	2-0	–	–	W
03/05	FC Wettswil-Bonstetten Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	4-0	5-0	6	1	W
25/04	SV Schaffhausen Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	1-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Collina d'Oro vs Winterthur II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Collina d'Oro win (42%). Probabilities: FC Collina d'Oro 42%, draw 26%, Winterthur II 32%.

How many goals are expected in FC Collina d'Oro vs Winterthur II?

The model expects 2.66 goals (FC Collina d'Oro 1.43 · Winterthur II 1.23), with a 60% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Collina d'Oro vs Winterthur II?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.