Football · Switzerland 1.Liga Classic · 20/09, 16:00

Prediction: FC Mendrisio vs St Gallen II

Team pages: FC Mendrisio · St Gallen II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.61Total

FC Mendrisio2.09

St Gallen II1.52

1X2

50% 23% 27%

FC Mendrisio Draw St Gallen II

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Mendrisio 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

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St Gallen II 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

FC Mendrisio 1–1–0 St Gallen II (2 last)

FC Mendrisio2-1St Gallen II
St Gallen II2-2FC Mendrisio

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Mendrisio 1525 · St Gallen II 1522

	FC Mendrisio	Draw	St Gallen II
Our model	50%	23%	27%
Market	50%	23%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 3.61 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Mendrisio	St Gallen II
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.2	2.1 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 0.1	1 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	14/71/14%	50/25/25%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.6	2.3 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.6 / 0.4	3.8 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.80

X3.80

23.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.90

2 (+0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.80

Under 3.252.00

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:23

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.80 → 1.80	Pinn 2.12 ★
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.2% Pinnacle margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
12:08 +15’	1.80	3.80	3.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
12:18 +5’	2.12	3.56	2.83

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Mendrisio 1–1–0 St Gallen II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/02/26 Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	FC Mendrisio	2-1 HT 1-0	St Gallen II
10/08/25 Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	St Gallen II	2-2	FC Mendrisio

Standings · Switzerland 1.Liga Classic · 1. Liga Classic 26/27, Group C

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Tuggen	7	6	0	1	19	8	18
2	FC Baden	7	5	1	1	16	8	16
3	FC Thalwil	7	4	2	1	13	6	14
4	FC Kosova	7	3	3	1	14	11	12
5	AC Taverne	7	3	2	2	16	11	11
6	FC Collina d'Oro	7	3	2	2	7	7	11
7	St Gallen II	6	3	1	2	13	14	10
8	FC Dietikon	7	3	1	3	11	12	10
9	Winterthur II	7	3	0	4	9	9	9
10	Gossau	7	2	2	3	8	11	8
11	USV Eschen-Mauren	7	2	1	4	8	15	7
12	FC Mendrisio	6	1	3	2	8	8	6
13	FC Freienbach	7	1	3	3	10	14	6
14	FC Wettswil-Bonstetten	7	1	2	4	8	13	5
15	FC Widnau	7	1	2	4	3	12	5
16	Locarno	7	0	3	4	6	10	3

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Mendrisio	St Gallen II
FC Collina d'Oro	1-1 D	2-0 W
FC Widnau	1-1 D	3-2 W
FC Kosova	0-0 D	5-1 W
AC Taverne	1-1 D	2-2 D
Record vs common	0 W 4 D 0 L	3 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: St Gallen II (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Mendrisio

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	USV Eschen-Mauren Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	3-4	–	–	L
06/09	FC Freienbach Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	1-0	2-0	3	8	W
29/08	Winterthur II Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	0-0	1-2	5	4	L
22/08	FC Collina d'Oro Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	0-1	1-1	6	6	D
16/08	FC Widnau Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	1-1	–	–	D
08/08	FC Kosova Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	0-0	0-0	2	9	D
30/05	AC Taverne Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	0-0	1-1	7	7	D
23/05	FC Tuggen Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	0-0	1-0	1	5	W
17/05	USV Eschen-Mauren Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	0-0	1-0	8	3	W
09/05	FC Dietikon Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	4-3	–	–	W

St Gallen II

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	FC Kosova Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	1-0	5-1	4	5	W
05/09	FC Thalwil Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	1-5	–	–	L
29/08	FC Baden Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	0-3	–	–	L
22/08	Gossau Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	2-1	–	–	W
18/08	AC Taverne Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	1-1	2-2	7	3	D
08/08	Locarno Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	3-2	2	5	W
29/05	YF Juventus Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	0-2	0-4	4	3	L
23/05	SV Hongg Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	2-1	3-3	1	5	D
17/05	FC Widnau Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	3-2	–	–	W
09/05	FC Collina d'Oro Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	2-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Mendrisio vs St Gallen II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Mendrisio win (50%). Probabilities: FC Mendrisio 50%, draw 23%, St Gallen II 27%.

How many goals are expected in FC Mendrisio vs St Gallen II?

The model expects 3.61 goals (FC Mendrisio 2.09 · St Gallen II 1.52), with a 54% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Mendrisio vs St Gallen II?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.