Football · Poland III Liga · 14/11, 13:00

Prediction: Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna vs AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj

Team pages: Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna · AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.97Total

Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna1.75

AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj1.22

1X2

49% 25% 26%

Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna Draw AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

DDDWDLWLLL

AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

WLWLWLLLLW

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna 1474 · AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj 1462

	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	Draw	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj
Our model	49%	26%	25%
Market	50%	24%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.97 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.3	1.4 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.5	0.6 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/60/30%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 3.8	2 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0	5.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.80

X3.80

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.85

2 (+0.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 31.88

Under 31.93

Diff.: 0 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.80 → 1.80	Bet365 1.80
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
16:51 +15’	1.80	3.80	3.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Poland III Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chelmianka Chelm	16	12	4	0	27	7	40
2	KSZO Ostrowiec	16	8	5	3	27	14	29
3	Hetman Zamosc	16	8	5	3	32	24	29
4	Wisloka Debica	16	9	2	5	25	21	29
5	Czarni Polaniec	16	8	4	4	25	22	28
6	Naprzod Jedrzejow	16	8	3	5	33	31	27
7	Wisla Krakow II	16	7	4	5	21	20	25
8	Wislanie Jaskowice	16	7	3	6	24	18	24
9	Star Starachowice	16	6	5	5	27	24	23
10	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	16	7	2	7	25	22	23
11	Wieczysta Krakow II	16	5	4	7	16	19	19
12	JKS Jaroslaw	16	5	3	8	32	30	18
13	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj	16	5	2	9	22	36	17
14	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	16	3	7	6	16	20	16
15	Korona Kielce II	16	4	3	9	31	37	15
16	Podlasie Biala Podlaska	16	3	4	9	12	27	13
17	Moravia Morawica	16	3	3	10	19	29	12
18	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow	16	3	3	10	19	32	12

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj
Czarni Polaniec	2-3 L	1-2 L
Hetman Zamosc	0-2 L	2-4 L
KSZO Ostrowiec	1-2 L	0-5 L
Wisla Krakow II	1-0 W	3-0 W
Naprzod Jedrzejow	0-1 L	1-4 L
Moravia Morawica	2-2 D	2-1 W
Pogon Sokol Lubaczow	1-0 W	1-2 L
Wislanie Jaskowice	1-1 D	2-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 4 L	3 W 0 D 5 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna

DDDWDLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Czarni Polaniec Poland III Liga	1-1	2-3	–	–	L
31/10	Hetman Zamosc Poland III Liga	0-1	0-2	6	5	L
24/10	KSZO Ostrowiec Poland III Liga	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
17/10	Wisla Krakow II Poland III Liga	0-0	1-0	2	4	W
11/10	Naprzod Jedrzejow Poland III Liga	0-0	0-1	2	3	L
03/10	Moravia Morawica Poland III Liga	0-1	2-2	–	–	D
26/09	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow Poland III Liga	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
20/09	Wislanie Jaskowice Poland III Liga	1-1	1-1	6	4	D
12/09	Korona Kielce II Poland III Liga	1-0	2-2	5	6	D
04/09	Star Starachowice Poland III Liga	0-0	0-0	2	3	D

AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj

WLWLWLLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	JKS Jaroslaw Poland III Liga	2-0	2-1	3	6	W
31/10	Chelmianka Chelm Poland III Liga	0-0	0-3	5	4	L
24/10	Czarni Polaniec Poland III Liga	1-1	1-2	4	5	L
18/10	Hetman Zamosc Poland III Liga	1-1	2-4	4	4	L
10/10	KSZO Ostrowiec Poland III Liga	0-3	0-5	4	3	L
04/10	Wisla Krakow II Poland III Liga	1-0	3-0	3	2	W
26/09	Naprzod Jedrzejow Poland III Liga	0-2	1-4	8	5	L
19/09	Moravia Morawica Poland III Liga	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
12/09	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow Poland III Liga	0-0	1-2	10	9	L
06/09	Wislanie Jaskowice Poland III Liga	0-1	2-1	4	8	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna vs AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna win (49%). Probabilities: Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna 49%, draw 25%, AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj 26%.

How many goals are expected in Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna vs AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj?

The model expects 2.97 goals (Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna 1.75 · AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj 1.22), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna vs AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.