Football · Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion · 22/08, 14:00
Prediction: Lucerne II vs FC Bulle
Team pages: Lucerne II · FC Bulle
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.31Total
Lucerne II2.13
FC Bulle2.18
1X2
Lucerne II
Draw
FC Bulle
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 63%
Most likely score
2-2
Recent form · 10 last
Lucerne II
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
FC Bulle
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Lucerne II
0–1–5
FC Bulle
(6 last)
- Lucerne II2-3FC Bulle
- FC Bulle4-2Lucerne II
- Lucerne II0-2FC Bulle
- FC Bulle3-2Lucerne II
- Lucerne II0-1FC Bulle
- FC Bulle4-4Lucerne II
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lucerne II 1464 · FC Bulle 1581
| Lucerne II | Draw | FC Bulle | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 21% | 40% |
| Market | 38% | 22% | 40% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.31 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 83%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Bulle (rating 1464 vs 1581).
- H2H favours FC Bulle: 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Lucerne II | FC Bulle | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 2.5 | 2.7 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 2 / 1 | 1.4 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 100/0/0% | 56/11/33% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.5 / 2 | 2.6 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.5 / 0 | 3.4 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lucerne II 0–1–5 FC Bulle
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/05/26 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion | Lucerne II | 2-3 HT 2-1 | FC Bulle |
| 11/03/26 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion | FC Bulle | 4-2 HT 1-1 | Lucerne II |
| 15/03/25 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion | Lucerne II | 0-2 | FC Bulle |
| 07/09/24 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion | FC Bulle | 3-2 HT 2-2 | Lucerne II |
| 13/04/24 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion | Lucerne II | 0-1 | FC Bulle |
| 07/10/23 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion | FC Bulle | 4-4 | Lucerne II |
Standings · Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Schaffhausen | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 9 |
| 2 | Biel Bienne | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 9 |
| 3 | Breitenrain | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 7 |
| 4 | FC Grand-Saconnex | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 6 |
| 5 | SC Bruhl | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 6 | SC Cham | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
| 7 | FC Bulle | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 4 |
| 8 | Bavois | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 9 | FC Zurich II | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 10 | Lucerne II | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 3 |
| 11 | FC Paradiso | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 12 | Young Boys II | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 3 |
| 13 | Basel II | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 3 |
| 14 | FC Kreuzlingen | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
| 15 | Lugano II | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 3 |
| 16 | YF Juventus | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 3 |
| 17 | FC Amical Saint-Prex | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 3 |
| 18 | AC Bellinzona | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Lucerne II | FC Bulle |
|---|---|---|
| Lugano II | 3-4 L | 4-1 W |
| SC Bruhl | 0-2 L | 3-1 W |
| Vevey Sports 05 | 3-2 W | 3-2 W |
| Breitenrain | 2-3 L | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 3 L | 3 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: FC Bulle (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lucerne II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Lugano II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion |
– | 3-4 | – | – | L |
| 08/08 | SC Bruhl Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 01/08 | YF Juventus Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 30/05 | FC Bulle Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion |
2-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 23/05 | FC Zurich II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion |
2-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | FC Grand-Saconnex Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 09/05 | SC Bruhl Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 02/05 | Vevey Sports 05 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Breitenrain Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 18/04 | Kriens Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion |
– | 0-4 | – | – | L |
FC Bulle
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | FC Interlaken Switzerland Cup |
4-0 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 08/08 | Breitenrain Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion |
2-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 02/08 | Lugano II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion |
2-1 | 4-1 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 17/07 | FC Portalban Gletterens Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 11/07 | Stade Nyonnais Europe Friendlies |
2-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 07/07 | FC Prishtina Bern Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 30/05 | Lucerne II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion |
1-2 | 3-2 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 23/05 | SC Bruhl Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 16/05 | Vevey Sports 05 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion |
1-0 | 3-2 | 10 | 8 | W |
| 08/05 | Breitenrain Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion |
0-0 | 1-0 | 13 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lucerne II vs FC Bulle?
According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Bulle win (40%). Probabilities: Lucerne II 38%, draw 22%, FC Bulle 40%.
How many goals are expected in Lucerne II vs FC Bulle?
The model expects 4.31 goals (Lucerne II 2.13 · FC Bulle 2.18), with a 55% chance of over 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Lucerne II vs FC Bulle?
The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-2.