Football · Poland III Liga · 14/11, 13:00
Prediction: JKS Jaroslaw vs Chelmianka Chelm
Team pages: JKS Jaroslaw · Chelmianka Chelm
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.07Total
JKS Jaroslaw1.35
Chelmianka Chelm1.72
1X2
JKS Jaroslaw
Draw
Chelmianka Chelm
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 63%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
JKS Jaroslaw
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Chelmianka Chelm
6-4-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
JKS Jaroslaw
1–0
Chelmianka Chelm
(1 last)
- JKS Jaroslaw2-1Chelmianka Chelm
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chelmianka Chelm (rating 1464 vs 1575).
- High corners: 13 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| JKS Jaroslaw | Chelmianka Chelm | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 2.2 | 1.6 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 1.3 | 0.6 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 30/70/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.5 / 7.5 | 3.5 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0.2 | 3.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · JKS Jaroslaw 1–0–0 Chelmianka Chelm
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/06/18 Poland III Liga | JKS Jaroslaw | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Chelmianka Chelm |
Standings · Poland III Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelmianka Chelm | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 27 | 7 | 40 |
| 2 | Czarni Polaniec | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 29 | 23 | 31 |
| 3 | KSZO Ostrowiec | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 27 | 14 | 29 |
| 4 | Hetman Zamosc | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 32 | 24 | 29 |
| 5 | Wisloka Debica | 17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 29 |
| 6 | Naprzod Jedrzejow | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 33 | 31 | 27 |
| 7 | Wisla Krakow II | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 20 | 25 |
| 8 | Wislanie Jaskowice | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 24 | 18 | 24 |
| 9 | Star Starachowice | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 27 | 24 | 23 |
| 10 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 25 | 22 | 23 |
| 11 | Wieczysta Krakow II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 19 | 19 |
| 12 | JKS Jaroslaw | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 32 | 30 | 18 |
| 13 | AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 36 | 17 |
| 14 | Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 20 | 16 |
| 15 | Korona Kielce II | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 31 | 37 | 15 |
| 16 | Podlasie Biala Podlaska | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 27 | 13 |
| 17 | Moravia Morawica | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 19 | 29 | 12 |
| 18 | Pogon Sokol Lubaczow | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 19 | 32 | 12 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | JKS Jaroslaw | Chelmianka Chelm |
|---|---|---|
| AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj | 1-2 L | 3-0 W |
| Czarni Polaniec | 2-2 D | 0-0 D |
| Hetman Zamosc | 0-1 L | 2-2 D |
| KSZO Ostrowiec | 1-3 L | 0-0 D |
| Wisla Krakow II | 1-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Wislanie Jaskowice | 1-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Korona Kielce II | 6-2 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 5 L | 4 W 3 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Chelmianka Chelm (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
JKS Jaroslaw
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj Poland III Liga |
0-2 | 1-2 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 31/10 | Czarni Polaniec Poland III Liga |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 25/10 | Hetman Zamosc Poland III Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 17/10 | KSZO Ostrowiec Poland III Liga |
1-0 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 10/10 | Wisla Krakow II Poland III Liga |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 03/10 | Naprzod Jedrzejow Poland III Liga |
1-3 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 27/09 | Moravia Morawica Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 19/09 | Pogon Sokol Lubaczow Poland III Liga |
2-2 | 5-2 | 11 | 5 | W |
| 12/09 | Wislanie Jaskowice Poland III Liga |
0-3 | 1-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 05/09 | Korona Kielce II Poland III Liga |
3-1 | 6-2 | 6 | 7 | W |
Chelmianka Chelm
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Wislanie Jaskowice Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 31/10 | AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 24/10 | Korona Kielce II Poland III Liga |
2-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 17/10 | Czarni Polaniec Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 10/10 | Star Starachowice Poland III Liga |
2-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 04/10 | Hetman Zamosc Poland III Liga |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 26/09 | Podlasie Biala Podlaska Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 19/09 | KSZO Ostrowiec Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 12/09 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 05/09 | Wisla Krakow II Poland III Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in JKS Jaroslaw vs Chelmianka Chelm?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Chelmianka Chelm win (45%). Probabilities: JKS Jaroslaw 29%, draw 26%, Chelmianka Chelm 45%.
How many goals are expected in JKS Jaroslaw vs Chelmianka Chelm?
The model expects 3.07 goals (JKS Jaroslaw 1.35 · Chelmianka Chelm 1.72), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in JKS Jaroslaw vs Chelmianka Chelm?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.