Football · Poland III Liga · 13/11, 18:00

Prediction: Wisloka Debica vs Czarni Polaniec

Team pages: Wisloka Debica · Czarni Polaniec

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.81Total

Wisloka Debica1.49

Czarni Polaniec1.32

1X2

41% 26% 33%

Wisloka Debica Draw Czarni Polaniec

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Wisloka Debica 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

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Czarni Polaniec 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Wisloka Debica 2–2–2 Czarni Polaniec (6 last)

Wisloka Debica0-0Czarni Polaniec
Czarni Polaniec1-3Wisloka Debica
Czarni Polaniec3-1Wisloka Debica
Wisloka Debica0-3Czarni Polaniec
Czarni Polaniec2-2Wisloka Debica
Czarni Polaniec1-2Wisloka Debica

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Wisloka Debica 1548 · Czarni Polaniec 1519

	Wisloka Debica	Draw	Czarni Polaniec
Our model	40%	28%	32%
Market	42%	24%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 2.81 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Wisloka Debica	Czarni Polaniec
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.2	1.6 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.7	0.6 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	10/80/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 4.9	4 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0	4.7 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.15

X3.75

22.63

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.00

2 (+0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:03

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
13:44 +19’	2.15	3.75	2.63

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Wisloka Debica 2–2–2 Czarni Polaniec

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/02/26 Poland III Liga	Wisloka Debica	0-0 HT 0-0	Czarni Polaniec
17/08/25 Poland III Liga	Czarni Polaniec	1-3 HT 0-1	Wisloka Debica
09/05/25 Poland III Liga	Czarni Polaniec	3-1 HT 1-1	Wisloka Debica
12/10/24 Poland III Liga	Wisloka Debica	0-3 HT 0-0	Czarni Polaniec
26/07/24 Europe Friendlies	Czarni Polaniec	2-2 HT 0-2	Wisloka Debica
25/05/24 Poland III Liga	Czarni Polaniec	1-2 HT 1-1	Wisloka Debica

Standings · Poland III Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chelmianka Chelm	16	12	4	0	27	7	40
2	KSZO Ostrowiec	16	8	5	3	27	14	29
3	Hetman Zamosc	16	8	5	3	32	24	29
4	Wisloka Debica	16	9	2	5	25	21	29
5	Czarni Polaniec	16	8	4	4	25	22	28
6	Naprzod Jedrzejow	16	8	3	5	33	31	27
7	Wisla Krakow II	16	7	4	5	21	20	25
8	Wislanie Jaskowice	16	7	3	6	24	18	24
9	Star Starachowice	16	6	5	5	27	24	23
10	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	16	7	2	7	25	22	23
11	Wieczysta Krakow II	16	5	4	7	16	19	19
12	JKS Jaroslaw	16	5	3	8	32	30	18
13	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj	16	5	2	9	22	36	17
14	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	16	3	7	6	16	20	16
15	Korona Kielce II	16	4	3	9	31	37	15
16	Podlasie Biala Podlaska	16	3	4	9	12	27	13
17	Moravia Morawica	16	3	3	10	19	29	12
18	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow	16	3	3	10	19	32	12

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Wisloka Debica	Czarni Polaniec
Hetman Zamosc	2-4 L	0-1 L
KSZO Ostrowiec	2-1 W	1-1 D
Wisla Krakow II	1-3 L	1-1 D
Naprzod Jedrzejow	4-0 W	2-5 L
Moravia Morawica	0-0 D	2-1 W
Pogon Sokol Lubaczow	2-1 W	3-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Czarni Polaniec (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Wisloka Debica

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Hetman Zamosc Poland III Liga	0-4	2-4	–	–	L
31/10	KSZO Ostrowiec Poland III Liga	0-0	2-1	4	3	W
24/10	Wisla Krakow II Poland III Liga	0-2	1-3	11	5	L
17/10	Naprzod Jedrzejow Poland III Liga	4-0	4-0	7	2	W
10/10	Moravia Morawica Poland III Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
02/10	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow Poland III Liga	1-0	2-1	3	6	W
25/09	Wislanie Jaskowice Poland III Liga	1-0	2-1	4	6	W
19/09	Korona Kielce II Poland III Liga	0-0	1-0	4	2	W
13/09	Star Starachowice Poland III Liga	1-1	3-2	2	2	W
06/09	Podlasie Biala Podlaska Poland III Liga	0-0	1-0	4	4	W

Czarni Polaniec

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna Poland III Liga	1-1	3-2	–	–	W
31/10	JKS Jaroslaw Poland III Liga	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
24/10	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj Poland III Liga	1-1	2-1	4	5	W
17/10	Chelmianka Chelm Poland III Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
11/10	Hetman Zamosc Poland III Liga	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
03/10	KSZO Ostrowiec Poland III Liga	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
25/09	Wisla Krakow II Poland III Liga	0-0	1-1	8	2	D
19/09	Naprzod Jedrzejow Poland III Liga	1-4	2-5	–	–	L
13/09	Moravia Morawica Poland III Liga	0-0	2-1	7	8	W
05/09	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow Poland III Liga	2-0	3-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Wisloka Debica vs Czarni Polaniec?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Wisloka Debica win (41%). Probabilities: Wisloka Debica 41%, draw 26%, Czarni Polaniec 33%.

How many goals are expected in Wisloka Debica vs Czarni Polaniec?

The model expects 2.81 goals (Wisloka Debica 1.49 · Czarni Polaniec 1.32), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Wisloka Debica vs Czarni Polaniec?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.