Football · Spain La Liga · 16/08, 17:00

Prediction: Valencia vs Real Betis

Team pages: Valencia · Real Betis

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.63Total

Valencia1.32

Real Betis1.32

1X2

36% 29% 36%

Valencia Draw Real Betis

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Valencia 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

DWLWDWWLWL

Real Betis 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WDWDWLWWWL

Head-to-head

Valencia 1–2–3 Real Betis (6 last)

Real Betis2-1Valencia
Valencia1-1Real Betis
Real Betis1-1Valencia
Valencia4-2Real Betis
Valencia1-2Real Betis
Real Betis3-0Valencia

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Valencia 1503 · Real Betis 1564

	Valencia	Draw	Real Betis
Our model	36%	29%	36%
Market	36%	29%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 2.63 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Real Betis (rating 1503 vs 1564).
H2H favours Real Betis: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Valencia	Real Betis
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.4	1.8 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.2	0.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	22/78/0%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 3.3	2 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.4	2.4 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.60

X3.25

22.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.93

2 (0)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.05

Under 2.51.80

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:23

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.60 → 2.60	Bet365 2.60
X	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
2	2.60 → 2.60	Bet365 2.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.7%

Time*	1	X	2
20:35 +18768’	2.60	3.25	2.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Valencia 1–2–3 Real Betis

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/02/26 Spain La Liga	Real Betis	2-1 HT 1-1	Valencia
09/11/25 Spain La Liga	Valencia	1-1 HT 0-0	Real Betis
23/05/25 Spain La Liga	Real Betis	1-1 HT 1-0	Valencia
23/11/24 Spain La Liga	Valencia	4-2 HT 1-1	Real Betis
20/04/24 Spain La Liga	Valencia	1-2 HT 0-1	Real Betis
01/10/23 Spain La Liga	Real Betis	3-0 HT 1-0	Valencia

Standings · Spain La Liga

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Athletic Bilbao	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Atletico Madrid	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Osasuna	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Elche	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	CD Alaves	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Espanyol	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Barcelona	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Levante	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Malaga	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Racing Santander	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Rayo Vallecano	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Celta Vigo	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Deportivo La Coruna	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Real Betis	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Real Madrid	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Real Sociedad	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sevilla	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Valencia	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Villarreal	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Valencia	Real Betis
Barcelona	3-1 W	1-3 L
Real Sociedad	4-3 W	2-2 D
Girona	2-1 W	3-2 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 0 L	1 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Valencia (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Valencia

DWLWDWWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	CD Castellon Europe Friendlies	0-0	1-2	3	6	L
22/07	Eldense Europe Friendlies	3-0	3-0	2	2	W
18/07	Petro Luanda Europe Friendlies	–	1-3	0	0	L
23/05	Barcelona Spain La Liga	0-0	3-1	7	4	W
17/05	Real Sociedad Spain La Liga	2-1	4-3	2	5	W
14/05	Rayo Vallecano Spain La Liga	1-1	1-1	5	2	D
10/05	Athletic Bilbao Spain La Liga	0-0	1-0	5	5	W
02/05	Atletico Madrid Spain La Liga	0-0	0-2	1	4	L
25/04	Girona Spain La Liga	0-0	2-1	4	4	W
21/04	Mallorca Spain La Liga	0-0	1-1	4	2	D

Real Betis

WDWDWLWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Granada Europe Friendlies	0-1	0-1	7	5	L
22/07	Rec de Huelva Elite Club Friendlies	0-0	1-0	3	0	W
18/07	Sportfreunde Lotte Europe Friendlies	0-0	3-0	5	0	W
23/05	Levante Spain La Liga	1-1	2-1	4	3	W
17/05	Barcelona Spain La Liga	0-1	1-3	4	1	L
12/05	Elche Spain La Liga	1-1	2-1	8	6	W
09/05	Real Sociedad Spain La Liga	1-0	2-2	3	5	D
03/05	Oviedo Spain La Liga	2-0	3-0	5	0	W
24/04	Real Madrid Spain La Liga	0-1	1-1	7	3	D
21/04	Girona Spain La Liga	1-1	3-2	1	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Valencia vs Real Betis?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Valencia win (36%). Probabilities: Valencia 36%, draw 29%, Real Betis 36%.

How many goals are expected in Valencia vs Real Betis?

The model expects 2.63 goals (Valencia 1.32 · Real Betis 1.32), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Valencia vs Real Betis?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.