Football · Spain La Liga · 16/08, 21:30
Prediction: Celta Vigo vs Osasuna
Team pages: Celta Vigo · Osasuna
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.7Total
Celta Vigo1.7
Osasuna1
1X2
Celta Vigo
Draw
Osasuna
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Celta Vigo
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Osasuna
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Celta Vigo
3–3
Osasuna
(6 last)
- Celta Vigo1-2Osasuna
- Osasuna2-3Celta Vigo
- Celta Vigo1-0Osasuna
- Osasuna3-2Celta Vigo
- Osasuna0-3Celta Vigo
- Celta Vigo0-2Osasuna
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Celta Vigo (rating 1506 vs 1456).
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Celta Vigo | Osasuna | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.3 | 1.2 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.7 | 0.4 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 0/70/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 3.3 | 2 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0 | 4.5 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Celta Vigo 3–0–3 Osasuna
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/02/26 Spain La Liga | Celta Vigo | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Osasuna |
| 26/10/25 Spain La Liga | Osasuna | 2-3 HT 2-1 | Celta Vigo |
| 21/02/25 Spain La Liga | Celta Vigo | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Osasuna |
| 01/09/24 Spain La Liga | Osasuna | 3-2 HT 2-1 | Celta Vigo |
| 04/02/24 Spain La Liga | Osasuna | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Celta Vigo |
| 13/08/23 Spain La Liga | Celta Vigo | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Osasuna |
Standings · Spain La Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Athletic Bilbao | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Atletico Madrid | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Osasuna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Elche | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | CD Alaves | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Espanyol | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Barcelona | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Getafe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Levante | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Malaga | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Racing Santander | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Rayo Vallecano | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Celta Vigo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Deportivo La Coruna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Real Betis | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Real Madrid | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Real Sociedad | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sevilla | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Valencia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Villarreal | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Celta Vigo | Osasuna |
|---|---|---|
| Sevilla | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Athletic Bilbao | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Levante | 2-3 L | 2-3 L |
| Atletico Madrid | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Barcelona | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 2 L | 1 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Celta Vigo (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Celta Vigo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Sporting Gijon Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 18/07 | Braga Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 23/05 | Sevilla Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 17/05 | Athletic Bilbao Spain La Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 4 | D |
| 12/05 | Levante Spain La Liga |
1-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 09/05 | Atletico Madrid Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 03/05 | Elche Spain La Liga |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | Villarreal Spain La Liga |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 22/04 | Barcelona Spain La Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 16/04 | SC Freiburg UEFA Europa League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
Osasuna
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07 | Racing Santander Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | Getafe Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 17/05 | Espanyol Spain La Liga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 12/05 | Atletico Madrid Spain La Liga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 11 | L |
| 08/05 | Levante Spain La Liga |
2-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | Barcelona Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 26/04 | Sevilla Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 21/04 | Athletic Bilbao Spain La Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 12/04 | Real Betis Spain La Liga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 05/04 | CD Alaves Spain La Liga |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 7 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Celta Vigo vs Osasuna?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Celta Vigo win (53%). Probabilities: Celta Vigo 53%, draw 26%, Osasuna 21%.
How many goals are expected in Celta Vigo vs Osasuna?
The model expects 2.7 goals (Celta Vigo 1.7 · Osasuna 1), with a 55% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Celta Vigo vs Osasuna?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.