Football · Spain Primera Women · 15/11, 18:00

Prediction: Deportivo A Coruna (W) vs Barcelona (W)

Team pages: Deportivo A Coruna (W) · Barcelona (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.09Total

Deportivo A Coruna (W)1.04

Barcelona (W)3.04

1X2

5% 9% 86%

Deportivo A Coruna (W) Draw Barcelona (W)

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-3 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Deportivo A Coruna (W) 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LDLWDLWWLL

Barcelona (W) 9-0-1 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Deportivo A Coruna (W) 0–6 Barcelona (W) (6 last)

Deportivo A Coruna (W)0-2Barcelona (W)
Barcelona (W)8-0Deportivo A Coruna (W)
Barcelona (W)4-0Deportivo A Coruna (W)
Deportivo A Coruna (W)0-3Barcelona (W)
Barcelona (W)9-0Deportivo A Coruna (W)
Deportivo A Coruna (W)1-6Barcelona (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Deportivo A Coruna (W) 1469 · Barcelona (W) 1670

	Deportivo A Coruna (W)	Draw	Barcelona (W)
Our model	9%	14%	77%
Market	1%	5%	94%

Estimated total (ours) 4.09 goals · Bet365 line 4.5 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Barcelona (W) (rating 1469 vs 1670).
H2H favours Barcelona (W): 6-0-0.
High corners: 13.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Deportivo A Coruna (W)	Barcelona (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.3	4.1 / 0.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.6	1.9 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	70/20/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.2	5.5 / 9.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.4	2.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

167.00

X21.00

21.02

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+4)1.90

2 (-4)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 4.51.82

Under 4.51.98

Diff.: 1 · xG: 3.5

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 09:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	67.00 → 51.00▼	Bet365 51.00
X	21.00 → 17.00▼	Bet365 17.00
2	1.02 → 1.02▲	Bet365 1.02

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 5.4%

Time*	1	X	2
12:49 +28’	67.00	21.00	1.02
17:13 +10’	51.00▼	19.00▼	1.02
09:14 +1’	51.00	17.00▼	1.02▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

Our recommendation on this match 6 odds moves recorded

Go premium to see the odds journey

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo A Coruna (W) 0–0–6 Barcelona (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/03/26 Spain Primera Women	Deportivo A Coruna (W)	0-2 HT 0-0	Barcelona (W)
09/11/25 Spain Primera Women	Barcelona (W)	8-0 HT 8-0	Deportivo A Coruna (W)
04/05/25 Spain Primera Women	Barcelona (W)	4-0 HT 2-0	Deportivo A Coruna (W)
08/09/24 Spain Primera Women	Deportivo A Coruna (W)	0-3 HT 0-0	Barcelona (W)
17/04/21 Spain Primera Women	Barcelona (W)	9-0 HT 7-0	Deportivo A Coruna (W)
22/12/20 Spain Primera Women	Deportivo A Coruna (W)	1-6 HT 0-4	Barcelona (W)

Standings · Spain Primera Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Barcelona (W)	10	9	0	1	41	5	27
2	Real Madrid (W)	10	7	2	1	23	18	23
3	Atletico Madrid (W)	10	6	1	3	22	12	19
4	Tenerife (W)	10	5	2	3	17	15	17
5	Madrid CFF (W)	10	5	2	3	16	21	17
6	Athletic Bilbao (W)	10	4	4	2	13	11	16
7	Espanyol (W)	11	4	3	4	15	14	15
8	Real Sociedad (W)	10	3	4	3	13	15	13
9	Eibar (W)	10	3	3	4	10	13	12
10	Deportivo A Coruna (W)	10	3	2	5	11	13	11
11	Granada (W)	10	3	2	5	9	16	11
12	Logrono United (W)	10	3	1	6	11	14	10
13	Sevilla (W)	10	2	4	4	11	16	10
14	CD Alaves (W)	9	2	2	5	6	13	8
15	FC Badalona (W)	10	2	2	6	9	20	8
16	Valencia (W)	10	2	0	8	8	19	6

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Deportivo A Coruna (W)	Barcelona (W)
Madrid CFF (W)	1-2 L	5-1 W
CD Alaves (W)	2-1 W	6-0 W
Atletico Madrid (W)	1-2 L	4-2 W
Granada (W)	3-0 W	3-0 W
Real Madrid (W)	0-2 L	7-0 W
Tenerife (W)	0-0 D	5-0 W
Sevilla (W)	0-1 L	4-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 4 L	7 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Barcelona (W) (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Deportivo A Coruna (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/11	Valencia (W) Spain Primera Women	0-0	0-2	6	6	L
31/10	Madrid CFF (W) Spain Primera Women	1-0	1-2	6	2	L
25/10	CD Alaves (W) Spain Primera Women	0-1	2-1	10	3	W
18/10	Eibar (W) Spain Primera Women	1-0	3-2	1	5	W
03/10	Atletico Madrid (W) Spain Primera Women	0-1	1-2	4	0	L
27/09	Espanyol (W) Spain Primera Women	0-1	1-1	1	3	D
20/09	Granada (W) Spain Primera Women	2-0	3-0	4	4	W
11/09	Real Madrid (W) Spain Primera Women	0-2	0-2	3	2	L
06/09	Tenerife (W) Spain Primera Women	0-0	0-0	2	6	D
29/08	Sevilla (W) Spain Primera Women	0-1	0-1	5	1	L

Barcelona (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Madrid CFF (W) Spain Primera Women	2-0	5-1	9	4	W
01/11	FC Badalona (W) Spain Primera Women	1-0	4-0	12	5	W
24/10	Granada (W) Spain Primera Women	0-0	3-0	16	1	W
18/10	Real Sociedad (W) Spain Primera Women	1-2	1-2	7	4	L
04/10	Real Madrid (W) Spain Primera Women	5-0	7-0	4	3	W
26/09	Logrono United (W) Spain Primera Women	1-0	2-0	4	1	W
18/09	CD Alaves (W) Spain Primera Women	3-0	6-0	12	1	W
12/09	Atletico Madrid (W) Spain Primera Women	1-1	4-2	11	1	W
05/09	Sevilla (W) Spain Primera Women	3-0	4-0	10	0	W
30/08	Tenerife (W) Spain Primera Women	2-0	5-0	12	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Deportivo A Coruna (W) vs Barcelona (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Barcelona (W) win (86%). Probabilities: Deportivo A Coruna (W) 5%, draw 9%, Barcelona (W) 86%.

How many goals are expected in Deportivo A Coruna (W) vs Barcelona (W)?

The model expects 4.09 goals (Deportivo A Coruna (W) 1.04 · Barcelona (W) 3.04), with a 54% chance of under 4.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Deportivo A Coruna (W) vs Barcelona (W)?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-3.