Football · Spain Primera Women · 15/11, 12:00

Prediction: Madrid CFF (W) vs Logrono United (W)

Team pages: Madrid CFF (W) · Logrono United (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.87Total

Madrid CFF (W)1.45

Logrono United (W)1.42

1X2

37% 27% 36%

Madrid CFF (W) Draw Logrono United (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Madrid CFF (W) 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

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Logrono United (W) 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Madrid CFF (W) 3–2–1 Logrono United (W) (6 last)

Logrono United (W)3-0Madrid CFF (W)
Madrid CFF (W)1-0Logrono United (W)
Logrono United (W)2-4Madrid CFF (W)
Logrono United (W)2-2Madrid CFF (W)
Madrid CFF (W)2-0Logrono United (W)
Logrono United (W)1-1Madrid CFF (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Madrid CFF (W) 1513 · Logrono United (W) 1483

	Madrid CFF (W)	Draw	Logrono United (W)
Our model	37%	27%	36%
Market	37%	28%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 2.87 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Madrid CFF (W): 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Madrid CFF (W)	Logrono United (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 2.1	1.1 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 1	0.3 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/10/40%	10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 3.9	1.9 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.2	3.9 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.40

X3.20

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.85

2 (0)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.80

Under 2.52.00

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 5 moves · last 11:21

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.40▲	Pinn 2.53
X	3.30 → 3.20▼	Pinn 3.22
2	2.90 → 2.50▼	Pinn 2.64 ★

See the full journey (5)

Bet365 margin 12.9% Pinnacle margin 8.5%

Time*	1	X	2
13:02 +10’	2.10	3.30	2.90
13:56 +22’	2.10	3.30	2.88▼
18:26 +1’	2.40▲	3.40▲	2.40▼
10:07 +9’	2.45▲	3.30▼	2.45▲
11:13 +8’	2.40▼	3.20▼	2.50▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
14:13 +5’	2.54	3.41	2.52
09:11 +1’	2.51▼	3.49▲	2.50▼
10:07 +9’	2.59▲	3.22▼	2.58▲
11:02 +19’	2.53▼	3.22	2.64▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Madrid CFF (W) 3–2–1 Logrono United (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/05/26 Spain Primera Women	Logrono United (W)	3-0 HT 1-0	Madrid CFF (W)
22/11/25 Spain Primera Women	Madrid CFF (W)	1-0 HT 0-0	Logrono United (W)
21/12/24 Spain Copa De La Reina	Logrono United (W)	2-4 HT 1-2	Madrid CFF (W)
07/03/21 Spain Primera Women	Logrono United (W)	2-2 HT 1-1	Madrid CFF (W)
20/01/21 Spain Primera Women	Madrid CFF (W)	2-0 HT 1-0	Logrono United (W)
02/11/19 Spain Primera Women	Logrono United (W)	1-1 HT 0-0	Madrid CFF (W)

Standings · Spain Primera Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Barcelona (W)	10	9	0	1	41	5	27
2	Real Madrid (W)	10	7	2	1	23	18	23
3	Atletico Madrid (W)	10	6	1	3	22	12	19
4	Tenerife (W)	10	5	2	3	17	15	17
5	Madrid CFF (W)	10	5	2	3	16	21	17
6	Athletic Bilbao (W)	10	4	4	2	13	11	16
7	Espanyol (W)	11	4	3	4	15	14	15
8	Real Sociedad (W)	10	3	4	3	13	15	13
9	Eibar (W)	10	3	3	4	10	13	12
10	Deportivo A Coruna (W)	10	3	2	5	11	13	11
11	Granada (W)	10	3	2	5	9	16	11
12	Logrono United (W)	10	3	1	6	11	14	10
13	Sevilla (W)	10	2	4	4	11	16	10
14	CD Alaves (W)	9	2	2	5	6	13	8
15	FC Badalona (W)	10	2	2	6	9	20	8
16	Valencia (W)	10	2	0	8	8	19	6

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Madrid CFF (W)	Logrono United (W)
Barcelona (W)	1-5 L	0-2 L
Atletico Madrid (W)	0-4 L	0-1 L
Athletic Bilbao (W)	2-2 D	0-1 L
Espanyol (W)	1-5 L	1-2 L
Sevilla (W)	1-0 W	2-2 D
Valencia (W)	3-1 W	2-1 W
Granada (W)	3-1 W	2-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 3 L	1 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Madrid CFF (W) (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Madrid CFF (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Barcelona (W) Spain Primera Women	0-2	1-5	1	4	L
31/10	Deportivo A Coruna (W) Spain Primera Women	0-1	2-1	3	2	W
25/10	Eibar (W) Spain Primera Women	2-0	2-2	5	4	D
18/10	Atletico Madrid (W) Spain Primera Women	0-4	0-4	7	7	L
03/10	Athletic Bilbao (W) Spain Primera Women	1-0	2-2	4	6	D
26/09	CD Alaves (W) Spain Primera Women	0-0	1-0	1	7	W
19/09	Espanyol (W) Spain Primera Women	1-3	1-5	5	2	L
12/09	Sevilla (W) Spain Primera Women	1-0	1-0	5	3	W
05/09	Valencia (W) Spain Primera Women	2-0	3-1	5	3	W
29/08	Granada (W) Spain Primera Women	2-0	3-1	3	2	W

Logrono United (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Sevilla (W) Spain Primera Women	1-0	2-2	5	3	D
31/10	Espanyol (W) Spain Primera Women	1-1	1-2	2	3	L
24/10	FC Badalona (W) Spain Primera Women	0-0	1-0	6	4	W
17/10	Granada (W) Spain Primera Women	1-1	2-3	3	4	L
04/10	Tenerife (W) Spain Primera Women	0-0	1-2	3	6	L
26/09	Barcelona (W) Spain Primera Women	0-1	0-2	4	1	L
19/09	Atletico Madrid (W) Spain Primera Women	0-1	0-1	3	2	L
13/09	Valencia (W) Spain Primera Women	0-0	2-1	5	5	W
06/09	Athletic Bilbao (W) Spain Primera Women	0-1	0-1	4	10	L
29/08	Real Sociedad (W) Spain Primera Women	0-0	2-0	4	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Madrid CFF (W) vs Logrono United (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Madrid CFF (W) win (37%). Probabilities: Madrid CFF (W) 37%, draw 27%, Logrono United (W) 36%.

How many goals are expected in Madrid CFF (W) vs Logrono United (W)?

The model expects 2.87 goals (Madrid CFF (W) 1.45 · Logrono United (W) 1.42), with a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Madrid CFF (W) vs Logrono United (W)?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.