Football · Spain Primera Women · 14/11, 20:30
Prediction: Real Madrid (W) vs FC Badalona (W)
Team pages: Real Madrid (W) · FC Badalona (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.61Total
Real Madrid (W)2.8
FC Badalona (W)0.8
1X2
Real Madrid (W)
Draw
FC Badalona (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
2-0 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Real Madrid (W)
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
FC Badalona (W)
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Real Madrid (W)
6–0
FC Badalona (W)
(6 last)
- FC Badalona (W)0-4Real Madrid (W)
- Real Madrid (W)3-0FC Badalona (W)
- Real Madrid (W)3-2FC Badalona (W)
- FC Badalona (W)1-3Real Madrid (W)
- Real Madrid (W)2-1FC Badalona (W)
- FC Badalona (W)0-2Real Madrid (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Real Madrid (W) 1607 · FC Badalona (W) 1435
| Real Madrid (W) | Draw | FC Badalona (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 78% | 15% | 7% |
| Market | 82% | 12% | 5% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.61 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Real Madrid (W) (rating 1607 vs 1435).
- H2H favours Real Madrid (W): 6-0-0.
- High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Real Madrid (W) | FC Badalona (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 1.8 | 0.9 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 1 | 0.1 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 0/70/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 6.8 | 1.9 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0.2 | 3.5 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Real Madrid (W) 6–0–0 FC Badalona (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/05/26 Spain Primera Women | FC Badalona (W) | 0-4 HT 0-0 | Real Madrid (W) |
| 04/10/25 Spain Primera Women | Real Madrid (W) | 3-0 HT 2-0 | FC Badalona (W) |
| 16/02/25 Spain Primera Women | Real Madrid (W) | 3-2 HT 2-1 | FC Badalona (W) |
| 09/11/24 Spain Primera Women | FC Badalona (W) | 1-3 HT 1-0 | Real Madrid (W) |
| 28/04/24 Spain Primera Women | Real Madrid (W) | 2-1 HT 0-1 | FC Badalona (W) |
| 17/12/23 Spain Primera Women | FC Badalona (W) | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Real Madrid (W) |
Standings · Spain Primera Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona (W) | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 41 | 5 | 27 |
| 2 | Real Madrid (W) | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 18 | 23 |
| 3 | Atletico Madrid (W) | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 12 | 19 |
| 4 | Tenerife (W) | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 17 |
| 5 | Madrid CFF (W) | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 21 | 17 |
| 6 | Athletic Bilbao (W) | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 16 |
| 7 | Espanyol (W) | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 15 |
| 8 | Real Sociedad (W) | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 15 | 13 |
| 9 | Eibar (W) | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 12 |
| 10 | Deportivo A Coruna (W) | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 13 | 11 |
| 11 | Granada (W) | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 11 |
| 12 | Logrono United (W) | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 10 |
| 13 | Sevilla (W) | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 10 |
| 14 | CD Alaves (W) | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 8 |
| 15 | FC Badalona (W) | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 8 |
| 16 | Valencia (W) | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 6 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Real Madrid (W) | FC Badalona (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Athletic Bilbao (W) | 1-1 D | 1-3 L |
| Sevilla (W) | 3-1 W | 3-3 D |
| Tenerife (W) | 3-2 W | 0-4 L |
| Espanyol (W) | 3-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Barcelona (W) | 0-7 L | 0-4 L |
| Real Sociedad (W) | 5-3 W | 0-0 D |
| Eibar (W) | 0-0 D | 4-1 W |
| Atletico Madrid (W) | 3-2 W | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 5 W 2 D 1 L | 2 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Real Madrid (W) (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Real Madrid (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Athletic Bilbao (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 01/11 | Sevilla (W) Spain Primera Women |
1-1 | 3-1 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 24/10 | Tenerife (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 17/10 | Espanyol (W) Spain Primera Women |
1-0 | 3-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 04/10 | Barcelona (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-5 | 0-7 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 26/09 | Real Sociedad (W) Spain Primera Women |
1-1 | 5-3 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 19/09 | Valencia (W) Spain Primera Women |
2-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 11/09 | Deportivo A Coruna (W) Spain Primera Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 06/09 | Eibar (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 16 | 3 | D |
| 30/08 | Atletico Madrid (W) Spain Primera Women |
3-2 | 3-2 | 4 | 4 | W |
FC Badalona (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11 | Atletico Madrid (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-0 | 0-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 01/11 | Barcelona (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-1 | 0-4 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 24/10 | Logrono United (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 17/10 | Tenerife (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-3 | 0-4 | 10 | 5 | L |
| 03/10 | Sevilla (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 26/09 | Granada (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 19/09 | Real Sociedad (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 13/09 | Eibar (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 05/09 | Espanyol (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 30/08 | Athletic Bilbao (W) Spain Primera Women |
1-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 8 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Real Madrid (W) vs FC Badalona (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Real Madrid (W) win (80%). Probabilities: Real Madrid (W) 80%, draw 13%, FC Badalona (W) 6%.
How many goals are expected in Real Madrid (W) vs FC Badalona (W)?
The model expects 3.61 goals (Real Madrid (W) 2.8 · FC Badalona (W) 0.8), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Real Madrid (W) vs FC Badalona (W)?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.