Football · Spain Primera Women · 15/11, 18:15

Prediction: Valencia (W) vs Granada (W)

Team pages: Granada (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.47Total

Valencia (W)1.22

Granada (W)1.25

1X2

35% 29% 36%

Valencia (W) Draw Granada (W)

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Valencia (W) 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

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Granada (W) 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LWLLWDWLDL

Head-to-head

Valencia (W) 2–3 Granada (W) (5 last)

Granada (W)1-0Valencia (W)
Granada (W)2-1Valencia (W)
Valencia (W)0-2Granada (W)
Valencia (W)4-1Granada (W)
Granada (W)0-1Valencia (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Valencia (W) 1442 · Granada (W) 1474

	Valencia (W)	Draw	Granada (W)
Our model	34%	30%	36%
Market	35%	29%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 2.47 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Granada (W): 3-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Valencia (W)	Granada (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.9	0.9 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0 / 0.7	0.3 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/50/50%	0/60/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 3.6	1.5 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.3	3.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.55

X3.10

22.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.93

2 (0)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.02

Under 2.51.77

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 10:23

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.80 → 2.55▼	Bet365 2.55
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	2.25 → 2.45▲	Bet365 2.45

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12.3%

Time*	1	X	2
13:09 +8’	2.80	3.10	2.25
10:21 +2’	2.55▼	3.10	2.45▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Valencia (W) 2–0–3 Granada (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/08/25 Women’s Friendly	Granada (W)	1-0 HT 0-0	Valencia (W)
19/04/25 Spain Primera Women	Granada (W)	2-1 HT 0-1	Valencia (W)
13/10/24 Spain Primera Women	Valencia (W)	0-2 HT 0-0	Granada (W)
23/03/24 Spain Primera Women	Valencia (W)	4-1 HT 1-0	Granada (W)
17/12/23 Spain Primera Women	Granada (W)	0-1 HT 0-0	Valencia (W)

Standings · Spain Primera Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Barcelona (W)	10	9	0	1	41	5	27
2	Real Madrid (W)	10	7	2	1	23	18	23
3	Atletico Madrid (W)	10	6	1	3	22	12	19
4	Tenerife (W)	10	5	2	3	17	15	17
5	Madrid CFF (W)	10	5	2	3	16	21	17
6	Athletic Bilbao (W)	10	4	4	2	13	11	16
7	Espanyol (W)	11	4	3	4	15	14	15
8	Real Sociedad (W)	10	3	4	3	13	15	13
9	Eibar (W)	10	3	3	4	10	13	12
10	Deportivo A Coruna (W)	10	3	2	5	11	13	11
11	Granada (W)	10	3	2	5	9	16	11
12	Logrono United (W)	10	3	1	6	11	14	10
13	Sevilla (W)	10	2	4	4	11	16	10
14	CD Alaves (W)	9	2	2	5	6	13	8
15	FC Badalona (W)	10	2	2	6	9	20	8
16	Valencia (W)	10	2	0	8	8	19	6

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Valencia (W)	Granada (W)
Deportivo A Coruna (W)	2-0 W	0-3 L
Eibar (W)	2-1 W	0-0 D
Atletico Madrid (W)	0-4 L	1-1 D
Real Sociedad (W)	0-1 L	3-2 W
Logrono United (W)	1-2 L	3-2 W
Madrid CFF (W)	1-3 L	1-3 L
CD Alaves (W)	0-2 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 5 L	2 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Granada (W) (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Valencia (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/11	Deportivo A Coruna (W) Spain Primera Women	0-0	2-0	3	6	W
31/10	Eibar (W) Spain Primera Women	0-0	2-1	1	7	W
23/10	Atletico Madrid (W) Spain Primera Women	0-1	0-4	4	3	L
17/10	Athletic Bilbao (W) Spain Primera Women	0-0	0-1	2	4	L
04/10	Real Sociedad (W) Spain Primera Women	0-1	0-1	4	6	L
27/09	Tenerife (W) Spain Primera Women	0-0	1-2	5	2	L
19/09	Real Madrid (W) Spain Primera Women	0-2	1-3	3	2	L
13/09	Logrono United (W) Spain Primera Women	0-0	1-2	4	5	L
05/09	Madrid CFF (W) Spain Primera Women	0-2	1-3	4	3	L
30/08	CD Alaves (W) Spain Primera Women	0-1	0-2	6	1	L

Granada (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Espanyol (W) Spain Primera Women	0-1	0-1	6	7	L
31/10	Atletico Madrid (W) Spain Primera Women	0-0	1-1	1	2	D
24/10	Barcelona (W) Spain Primera Women	0-0	0-3	0	1	L
17/10	Logrono United (W) Spain Primera Women	1-1	3-2	8	4	W
04/10	Eibar (W) Spain Primera Women	0-0	0-0	6	8	D
26/09	FC Badalona (W) Spain Primera Women	0-0	1-0	2	4	W
20/09	Deportivo A Coruna (W) Spain Primera Women	0-2	0-3	2	4	L
13/09	CD Alaves (W) Spain Primera Women	0-1	0-1	5	7	L
07/09	Real Sociedad (W) Spain Primera Women	2-2	3-2	3	1	W
29/08	Madrid CFF (W) Spain Primera Women	0-2	1-3	3	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Valencia (W) vs Granada (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Granada (W) win (36%). Probabilities: Valencia (W) 35%, draw 29%, Granada (W) 36%.

How many goals are expected in Valencia (W) vs Granada (W)?

The model expects 2.47 goals (Valencia (W) 1.22 · Granada (W) 1.25), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Valencia (W) vs Granada (W)?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.