Football · Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2 · 14/11, 18:00

Prediction: Barcelona B vs Girona B

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.81Total

Barcelona B1.94

Girona B0.87

1X2

62% 22% 16%

Barcelona B Draw Girona B

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

2-0 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Barcelona B 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

WDWWWWWLWW

Girona B 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

LWDWLWLWWW

Head-to-head

Barcelona B 0–1–1 Girona B (2 last)

Barcelona B0-1Girona B
Girona B0-0Barcelona B

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Barcelona B 1575 · Girona B 1557

	Barcelona B	Draw	Girona B
Our model	62%	23%	15%
Market	63%	21%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 2.81 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 10.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Barcelona B	Girona B
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 0.5	2.1 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.1	0.8 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/30/10%	40/10/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.7	1.7 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0.1	6.2 / 0.8

Odds Bet365

11.42

X4.20

25.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.90

2 (+1.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.42 → 1.42	Bet365 1.42
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.4%

Time*	1	X	2
13:04 +3’	1.42	4.20	5.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Barcelona B 0–1–1 Girona B

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/03/26 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3	Barcelona B	0-1 HT 0-0	Girona B
02/11/25 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3	Girona B	0-0 HT 0-0	Barcelona B

Standings · Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2 · Segunda Federacion 26/27, Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Barcelona B	10	8	1	1	20	5	25
2	Terrassa	10	6	3	1	12	5	21
3	Espanyol B	9	6	2	1	22	8	20
4	Girona B	10	6	1	3	21	12	19
5	UE Olot	10	5	3	2	15	12	18
6	Osasuna B	10	5	2	3	12	7	17
7	CD Ebro	10	5	2	3	18	12	17
8	CE Manresa	10	4	2	4	14	11	14
9	Reus FC Reddis	10	4	2	4	10	12	14
10	Utebo	10	2	6	2	10	9	12
11	Pena Sport	10	3	3	4	13	15	12
12	UD Logrones B	10	2	3	5	9	16	9
13	Tudelano	10	2	3	5	13	19	9
14	UD Barbastro	10	1	6	3	10	12	9
15	SD Logrones	10	1	5	4	8	15	8
16	Arnedo	10	1	3	6	9	22	6
17	Naxara	9	1	3	5	5	15	6
18	CF Calamocha	10	1	2	7	5	19	5

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Barcelona B	Girona B
UE Olot	0-2 L	4-0 W
SD Logrones	1-0 W	2-2 D
Tudelano	2-1 W	3-1 W
UD Barbastro	1-0 W	3-4 L
Naxara	5-0 W	3-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 1 L	3 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Barcelona B (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Barcelona B

WDWWWWWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	CE Manresa Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2	2-0	3-0	2	3	W
31/10	Arnedo Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2	1-0	2-1	8	8	W
25/10	UE Olot Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	0-2	3	5	L
17/10	Utebo Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2	1-0	2-1	7	2	W
10/10	SD Logrones Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	1-0	6	3	W
04/10	Tudelano Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2	0-1	2-1	–	–	W
26/09	Pena Sport Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2	1-0	4-0	4	6	W
20/09	UD Barbastro Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2	1-0	1-0	3	4	W
13/09	UD Logrones B Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	0-0	4	9	D
06/09	Naxara Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2	2-0	5-0	5	3	W

Girona B

LWDWLWLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	UE Olot Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2	3-0	4-0	2	9	W
31/10	CF Calamocha Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2	1-0	1-0	6	10	W
25/10	Naxara Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2	1-0	3-0	2	4	W
21/10	Terrassa Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	0-1	2	6	L
17/10	CD Ebro Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2	1-0	1-0	3	7	W
11/10	Espanyol B Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2	0-1	1-2	3	5	L
27/09	Osasuna B Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2	1-2	3-2	7	6	W
20/09	SD Logrones Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2	0-1	2-2	4	5	D
13/09	Tudelano Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2	0-1	3-1	5	13	W
06/09	UD Barbastro Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2	1-2	3-4	3	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Barcelona B vs Girona B?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Barcelona B win (62%). Probabilities: Barcelona B 62%, draw 22%, Girona B 16%.

How many goals are expected in Barcelona B vs Girona B?

The model expects 2.81 goals (Barcelona B 1.94 · Girona B 0.87), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Barcelona B vs Girona B?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.