Football · Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2 · 31/10, 17:00
Prediction: Naxara vs Utebo
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.12Total
Naxara1.02
Utebo1.1
1X2
Naxara
Draw
Utebo
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 64%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Naxara
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Utebo
2-5-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Naxara
1–3
Utebo
(4 last)
- Utebo1-0Naxara
- Naxara0-2Utebo
- Naxara1-0Utebo
- Utebo3-2Naxara
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Naxara 1451 · Utebo 1496
| Naxara | Draw | Utebo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 32% | 36% |
| Market | 34% | 28% | 38% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.12 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Utebo (rating 1451 vs 1496).
- H2H favours Utebo: 3-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Naxara | Utebo | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.7 | 0.8 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.6 | 0.3 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.6 | 2.2 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.1 | 4.4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Naxara 1–0–3 Utebo
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/02/26 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2 | Utebo | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Naxara |
| 19/10/25 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2 | Naxara | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Utebo |
| 10/03/24 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2 | Naxara | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Utebo |
| 28/10/23 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2 | Utebo | 3-2 HT 1-0 | Naxara |
Standings · Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2 · Segunda Federacion 26/27, Group 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona B | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 4 | 19 |
| 2 | Espanyol B | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 16 |
| 3 | UE Olot | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Terrassa | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 15 |
| 5 | CE Manresa | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 7 | 14 |
| 6 | Osasuna B | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 5 | 14 |
| 7 | Girona B | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 13 |
| 8 | CD Ebro | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 8 | 13 |
| 9 | Reus FC Reddis | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 11 |
| 10 | Tudelano | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 9 |
| 11 | UD Logrones B | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 9 |
| 12 | Pena Sport | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 9 |
| 13 | UD Barbastro | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 8 |
| 13 | Utebo | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 8 |
| 15 | Naxara | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 5 |
| 16 | CF Calamocha | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 5 |
| 17 | SD Logrones | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 4 |
| 18 | Arnedo | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 3 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Naxara | Utebo |
|---|---|---|
| SD Logrones | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Pena Sport | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| UD Barbastro | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Reus FC Reddis | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| UE Olot | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Barcelona B | 0-5 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 3 L | 1 W 3 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Utebo (2 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Naxara
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Girona B Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 18/10 | SD Logrones Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 10/10 | Pena Sport Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 27/09 | UD Barbastro Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 20/09 | Reus FC Reddis Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 13/09 | UE Olot Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 06/09 | Barcelona B Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2 |
0-2 | 0-5 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | Eibar B Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2 |
0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 26/04 | SD Beasain Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 19/04 | CD Alfaro Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
Utebo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | UD Logrones B Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 12 | 4 | D |
| 17/10 | Barcelona B Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 10/10 | Arnedo Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 9 | D |
| 04/10 | UD Barbastro Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 27/09 | Reus FC Reddis Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 19/09 | UE Olot Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 13/09 | SD Logrones Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 06/09 | Pena Sport Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 03/05 | Sestao River Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 26/04 | CD Ebro Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Naxara vs Utebo?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Utebo win (37%). Probabilities: Naxara 33%, draw 30%, Utebo 37%.
How many goals are expected in Naxara vs Utebo?
The model expects 2.12 goals (Naxara 1.02 · Utebo 1.1), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Naxara vs Utebo?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.