Football · Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2 · 15/11, 12:00

Prediction: Naxara vs CE Manresa

Team pages: Naxara

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.45Total

Naxara1.11

CE Manresa1.34

1X2

30% 29% 41%

Naxara Draw CE Manresa

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Naxara 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

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CE Manresa 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Naxara 1438 · CE Manresa 1518

	Naxara	Draw	CE Manresa
Our model	30%	30%	41%
Market	31%	28%	42%

Estimated total (ours) 2.45 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CE Manresa (rating 1438 vs 1518).
Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Naxara	CE Manresa
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 1.8	1.4 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.8	0.5 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/50/50%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 5.4	1.9 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0	4.6 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.90

X3.25

22.15

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.85

2 (-0.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.98

Under 2.51.82

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90
X	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
2	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
13:02 +6’	2.90	3.25	2.15

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2 · Segunda Federacion 26/27, Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Barcelona B	10	8	1	1	20	5	25
2	Terrassa	10	6	3	1	12	5	21
3	Espanyol B	9	6	2	1	22	8	20
4	Girona B	10	6	1	3	21	12	19
5	UE Olot	10	5	3	2	15	12	18
6	Osasuna B	10	5	2	3	12	7	17
7	CD Ebro	10	5	2	3	18	12	17
8	CE Manresa	10	4	2	4	14	11	14
9	Reus FC Reddis	10	4	2	4	10	12	14
10	Utebo	10	2	6	2	10	9	12
11	Pena Sport	10	3	3	4	13	15	12
12	UD Logrones B	10	2	3	5	9	16	9
13	Tudelano	10	2	3	5	13	19	9
14	UD Barbastro	10	1	6	3	10	12	9
15	SD Logrones	10	1	5	4	8	15	8
16	Arnedo	10	1	3	6	9	22	6
17	Naxara	9	1	3	5	5	15	6
18	CF Calamocha	10	1	2	7	5	19	5

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Naxara	CE Manresa
Arnedo	1-2 L	4-1 W
Pena Sport	1-0 W	2-0 W
UD Barbastro	0-0 D	0-0 D
Reus FC Reddis	0-1 L	4-1 W
UE Olot	1-2 L	0-1 L
Barcelona B	0-5 L	0-3 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 4 L	3 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: CE Manresa (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Naxara

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Arnedo Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2	1-2	1-2	–	–	L
31/10	Utebo Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2	0-1	1-1	6	6	D
25/10	Girona B Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2	0-1	0-3	8	4	L
18/10	SD Logrones Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2	1-1	1-1	4	6	D
10/10	Pena Sport Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
27/09	UD Barbastro Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
20/09	Reus FC Reddis Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2	0-1	0-1	6	4	L
13/09	UE Olot Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	1-2	6	6	L
06/09	Barcelona B Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2	0-2	0-5	2	3	L
02/05	Eibar B Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	2-3	6	4	L

CE Manresa

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Barcelona B Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2	0-2	0-3	8	3	L
01/11	UE Olot Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2	0-1	0-1	6	5	L
24/10	CD Ebro Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2	1-2	3-2	4	3	W
18/10	UD Barbastro Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
10/10	Osasuna B Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	0-0	2	3	D
04/10	Reus FC Reddis Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2	1-0	4-1	3	9	W
26/09	UD Logrones B Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2	0-1	0-1	7	9	L
20/09	Tudelano Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2	0-2	1-2	–	–	L
12/09	Pena Sport Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
06/09	Arnedo Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2	3-1	4-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Naxara vs CE Manresa?

According to our model, the most likely result is an CE Manresa win (41%). Probabilities: Naxara 30%, draw 29%, CE Manresa 41%.

How many goals are expected in Naxara vs CE Manresa?

The model expects 2.45 goals (Naxara 1.11 · CE Manresa 1.34), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Naxara vs CE Manresa?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.