Football · Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2 · 14/11, 17:00

Prediction: Osasuna B vs SD Logrones

Team pages: SD Logrones

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.09Total

Osasuna B1.27

SD Logrones0.83

1X2

46% 29% 24%

Osasuna B Draw SD Logrones

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 65% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

1-0 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Osasuna B 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WWWLWDDLWL

SD Logrones 1-5-4 (W-D-L)

LDDLLLDDDW

Head-to-head

Osasuna B 1–4–1 SD Logrones (6 last)

SD Logrones0-0Osasuna B
SD Logrones1-1Osasuna B
Osasuna B3-0SD Logrones
Osasuna B0-1SD Logrones
SD Logrones1-1Osasuna B
SD Logrones0-0Osasuna B

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Osasuna B 1521 · SD Logrones 1458

	Osasuna B	Draw	SD Logrones
Our model	45%	32%	23%
Market	47%	28%	25%

Estimated total (ours) 2.09 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Osasuna B (rating 1521 vs 1458).
Cards-heavy: 11.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Osasuna B	SD Logrones
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 0.7	0.8 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.3	0.4 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/70/10%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 3.7	2.6 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.6 / 0	5.5 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.90

X3.25

23.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.95

2 (+0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.88

Under 2.251.93

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.90 → 1.90	Bet365 1.90
X	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
2	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
12:02 +3’	1.90	3.25	3.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Osasuna B 1–4–1 SD Logrones

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/08/26 Europe Friendlies	SD Logrones	0-0 HT 0-0	Osasuna B
21/04/24 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	SD Logrones	1-1 HT 0-0	Osasuna B
04/01/24 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	Osasuna B	3-0 HT 1-0	SD Logrones
05/02/23 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	Osasuna B	0-1 HT 0-0	SD Logrones
20/11/22 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	SD Logrones	1-1 HT 0-0	Osasuna B
28/07/21 Europe Friendlies	SD Logrones	0-0 HT 0-0	Osasuna B

Standings · Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2 · Segunda Federacion 26/27, Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Barcelona B	10	8	1	1	20	5	25
2	Terrassa	10	6	3	1	12	5	21
3	Espanyol B	9	6	2	1	22	8	20
4	Girona B	10	6	1	3	21	12	19
5	UE Olot	10	5	3	2	15	12	18
6	Osasuna B	10	5	2	3	12	7	17
7	CD Ebro	10	5	2	3	18	12	17
8	CE Manresa	10	4	2	4	14	11	14
9	Reus FC Reddis	10	4	2	4	10	12	14
10	Utebo	10	2	6	2	10	9	12
11	Pena Sport	10	3	3	4	13	15	12
12	UD Logrones B	10	2	3	5	9	16	9
13	Tudelano	10	2	3	5	13	19	9
14	UD Barbastro	10	1	6	3	10	12	9
15	SD Logrones	10	1	5	4	8	15	8
16	Arnedo	10	1	3	6	9	22	6
17	Naxara	9	1	3	5	5	15	6
18	CF Calamocha	10	1	2	7	5	19	5

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Osasuna B	SD Logrones
Utebo	0-2 L	1-1 D
Espanyol B	0-1 L	1-2 L
UE Olot	0-0 D	0-2 L
CF Calamocha	2-0 W	1-0 W
Girona B	2-3 L	2-2 D
CD Ebro	1-0 W	2-2 D
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 3 L	1 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Osasuna B (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Osasuna B

WWWLWDDLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Utebo Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2	0-1	0-2	7	6	L
01/11	Tudelano Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	2-0	4	5	W
25/10	Espanyol B Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	0-1	1	6	L
17/10	UE Olot Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
10/10	CE Manresa Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
04/10	CF Calamocha Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	2-0	6	9	W
27/09	Girona B Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2	2-1	2-3	3	6	L
20/09	CD Ebro Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2	1-0	1-0	4	5	W
13/09	Arnedo Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2	1-1	4-1	2	7	W
06/09	Reus FC Reddis Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	1-0	3	4	W

SD Logrones

LDDLLLDDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	CF Calamocha Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2	1-0	1-0	1	8	W
31/10	CD Ebro Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2	0-1	2-2	7	6	D
25/10	Terrassa Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	0-0	6	6	D
18/10	Naxara Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2	1-1	1-1	8	6	D
10/10	Barcelona B Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	0-1	5	3	L
03/10	Pena Sport Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2	0-1	0-4	3	7	L
27/09	UE Olot Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	0-2	10	10	L
20/09	Girona B Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2	1-0	2-2	7	5	D
13/09	Utebo Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2	1-1	1-1	5	3	D
06/09	Espanyol B Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2	0-1	1-2	4	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Osasuna B vs SD Logrones?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Osasuna B win (46%). Probabilities: Osasuna B 46%, draw 29%, SD Logrones 24%.

How many goals are expected in Osasuna B vs SD Logrones?

The model expects 2.09 goals (Osasuna B 1.27 · SD Logrones 0.83), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Osasuna B vs SD Logrones?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.