Football · Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2 · 14/11, 16:00

Prediction: CD Ebro vs Utebo

Team pages: CD Ebro · Utebo

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.59Total

CD Ebro1.57

Utebo1.02

1X2

49% 27% 24%

CD Ebro Draw Utebo

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

CD Ebro 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

DWLWWWLLDW

Utebo 2-6-2 (W-D-L)

DDWLDDLDDW

Head-to-head

CD Ebro 1–2 Utebo (3 last)

Utebo1-0CD Ebro
CD Ebro3-1Utebo
Utebo3-0CD Ebro

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CD Ebro 1523 · Utebo 1501

	CD Ebro	Draw	Utebo
Our model	49%	28%	23%
Market	50%	26%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 2.59 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Utebo: 2-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 10.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CD Ebro	Utebo
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.2	1 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.5	0.4 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/20/20%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.8	2.7 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.6 / 0.6	4.8 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.80

X3.40

23.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.85

2 (+0.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.85

Under 2.51.95

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.80 → 1.80	Bet365 1.80
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
12:02 +3’	1.80	3.40	3.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Ebro 1–0–2 Utebo

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/04/26 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2	Utebo	1-0 HT 1-0	CD Ebro
14/12/25 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2	CD Ebro	3-1 HT 2-1	Utebo
13/08/22 Europe Friendlies	Utebo	3-0 HT 1-0	CD Ebro

Standings · Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2 · Segunda Federacion 26/27, Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Barcelona B	10	8	1	1	20	5	25
2	Terrassa	10	6	3	1	12	5	21
3	Espanyol B	9	6	2	1	22	8	20
4	Girona B	10	6	1	3	21	12	19
5	UE Olot	10	5	3	2	15	12	18
6	Osasuna B	10	5	2	3	12	7	17
7	CD Ebro	10	5	2	3	18	12	17
8	CE Manresa	10	4	2	4	14	11	14
9	Reus FC Reddis	10	4	2	4	10	12	14
10	Utebo	10	2	6	2	10	9	12
11	Pena Sport	10	3	3	4	13	15	12
12	UD Logrones B	10	2	3	5	9	16	9
13	Tudelano	10	2	3	5	13	19	9
14	UD Barbastro	10	1	6	3	10	12	9
15	SD Logrones	10	1	5	4	8	15	8
16	Arnedo	10	1	3	6	9	22	6
17	Naxara	9	1	3	5	5	15	6
18	CF Calamocha	10	1	2	7	5	19	5

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CD Ebro	Utebo
SD Logrones	2-2 D	1-1 D
Arnedo	2-1 W	0-0 D
Osasuna B	0-1 L	2-0 W
Reus FC Reddis	2-0 W	0-1 L
UE Olot	2-2 D	2-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 1 L	2 W 2 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CD Ebro

DWLWWWLLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Tudelano Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2	2-1	5-2	–	–	W
31/10	SD Logrones Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2	1-0	2-2	4	6	D
24/10	CE Manresa Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2	2-1	2-3	2	3	L
17/10	Girona B Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2	0-1	0-1	9	7	L
10/10	CF Calamocha Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2	1-0	2-0	7	8	W
04/10	Arnedo Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	2-1	–	–	W
26/09	Terrassa Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2	1-0	1-0	4	12	W
20/09	Osasuna B Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2	0-1	0-1	3	5	L
12/09	Reus FC Reddis Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	2-0	4	5	W
06/09	UE Olot Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2	2-1	2-2	5	4	D

Utebo

DDWLDDLDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Osasuna B Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2	1-0	2-0	6	6	W
31/10	Naxara Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2	1-0	1-1	2	6	D
24/10	UD Logrones B Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2	0-1	1-1	12	4	D
17/10	Barcelona B Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2	0-1	1-2	3	2	L
10/10	Arnedo Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	0-0	7	9	D
04/10	UD Barbastro Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	1-1	1	7	D
27/09	Reus FC Reddis Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	0-1	2	3	L
19/09	UE Olot Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2	1-0	2-1	1	4	W
13/09	SD Logrones Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2	1-1	1-1	5	3	D
06/09	Pena Sport Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	1-1	4	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD Ebro vs Utebo?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CD Ebro win (49%). Probabilities: CD Ebro 49%, draw 27%, Utebo 24%.

How many goals are expected in CD Ebro vs Utebo?

The model expects 2.59 goals (CD Ebro 1.57 · Utebo 1.02), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in CD Ebro vs Utebo?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.