Football · Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3 · 25/10, 12:00
Prediction: Atletico Baleares vs Alcoyano
Team pages: Atletico Baleares · Alcoyano
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.2Total
Atletico Baleares1.22
Alcoyano0.98
1X2
Atletico Baleares
Draw
Alcoyano
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Atletico Baleares
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Alcoyano
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Atletico Baleares
2–3–1
Alcoyano
(6 last)
- Alcoyano0-0Atletico Baleares
- Atletico Baleares1-1Alcoyano
- Alcoyano1-1Atletico Baleares
- Atletico Baleares2-1Alcoyano
- Atletico Baleares3-2Alcoyano
- Alcoyano2-1Atletico Baleares
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Atletico Baleares 1540 · Alcoyano 1528
| Atletico Baleares | Draw | Alcoyano | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 32% | 28% |
| Market | 41% | 29% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.2 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Atletico Baleares: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 11.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Atletico Baleares | Alcoyano | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.4 | 0.8 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.7 | 0.4 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 20/70/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 5.4 | 2.9 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.6 / 0.4 | 5.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Atletico Baleares 2–3–1 Alcoyano
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/02/26 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3 | Alcoyano | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Atletico Baleares |
| 19/10/25 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3 | Atletico Baleares | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Alcoyano |
| 24/03/24 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 | Alcoyano | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Atletico Baleares |
| 03/12/23 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 | Atletico Baleares | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Alcoyano |
| 09/04/23 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 | Atletico Baleares | 3-2 HT 2-0 | Alcoyano |
| 02/10/22 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 | Alcoyano | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Atletico Baleares |
Standings · Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3 · Segunda Federacion 26/27, Group 3
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UCAM Murcia CF | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 6 | 15 |
| 2 | Castellon B | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 12 |
| 3 | La Nucia | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 12 |
| 3 | UD Castellonense | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 12 |
| 5 | Cieza | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 11 |
| 6 | Deportiva Minera | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 11 |
| 7 | Yeclano | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 10 |
| 8 | Alcoyano | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 10 |
| 9 | Orihuela | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 10 |
| 10 | CF Lorca Deportiva | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 9 |
| 11 | CF Intercity | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 9 |
| 12 | Atletico Baleares | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 7 |
| 13 | Elche Ilicitano | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 7 |
| 14 | Poblense | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 7 |
| 15 | Mallorca B | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 6 |
| 16 | Real Murcia B | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 4 |
| 17 | Valencia B | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 4 |
| 18 | SCR Pena Deportiva | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 4 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Atletico Baleares | Alcoyano |
|---|---|---|
| Mallorca B | 2-2 D | 1-0 W |
| Poblense | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Cieza | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| UCAM Murcia CF | 1-4 L | 0-2 L |
| Terrassa | 3-1 W | 0-0 D |
| UE Porreres | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 1 L | 2 W 3 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Alcoyano (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Atletico Baleares
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | CF Lorca Deportiva Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3 |
0-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 8 | D |
| 11/10 | Mallorca B Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 04/10 | Poblense Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 27/09 | Cieza Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 20/09 | UCAM Murcia CF Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3 |
0-2 | 1-4 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 13/09 | CF Intercity Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3 |
0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 06/09 | Yeclano Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 02/05 | Espanyol B Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 26/04 | Terrassa Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3 |
2-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 19/04 | UE Porreres Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
Alcoyano
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | UCAM Murcia CF Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 04/10 | Mallorca B Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 27/09 | Deportiva Minera Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 6 | W |
| 20/09 | Poblense Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 12/09 | Castellon B Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3 |
0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 05/09 | Cieza Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 03/05 | UE Porreres Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 26/04 | UE Sant Andreu Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 19/04 | CE Andratx Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3 |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 12/04 | Terrassa Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 8 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Atletico Baleares vs Alcoyano?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Atletico Baleares win (41%). Probabilities: Atletico Baleares 41%, draw 30%, Alcoyano 29%.
How many goals are expected in Atletico Baleares vs Alcoyano?
The model expects 2.2 goals (Atletico Baleares 1.22 · Alcoyano 0.98), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Atletico Baleares vs Alcoyano?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.