Football · Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5 · 15/11, 17:00
Prediction: Gimnastica Segoviana vs Real Avila
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.69Total
Gimnastica Segoviana1.5
Real Avila1.2
1X2
Gimnastica Segoviana
Draw
Real Avila
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Gimnastica Segoviana
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Real Avila
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Gimnastica Segoviana
3–3
Real Avila
(6 last)
- Real Avila2-1Gimnastica Segoviana
- Gimnastica Segoviana1-0Real Avila
- Real Avila2-1Gimnastica Segoviana
- Gimnastica Segoviana1-2Real Avila
- Gimnastica Segoviana2-1Real Avila
- Real Avila1-2Gimnastica Segoviana
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gimnastica Segoviana 1460 · Real Avila 1438
| Gimnastica Segoviana | Draw | Real Avila | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 28% | 29% |
| Market | 44% | 26% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.69 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 11.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Gimnastica Segoviana | Real Avila | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.5 | 0.8 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.5 | 0.4 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/70/10% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 6 | 2 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0.7 | 6.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gimnastica Segoviana 3–0–3 Real Avila
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/26 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1 | Real Avila | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Gimnastica Segoviana |
| 19/10/25 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1 | Gimnastica Segoviana | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Real Avila |
| 31/07/24 Europe Friendlies | Real Avila | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Gimnastica Segoviana |
| 29/07/23 Europe Friendlies | Gimnastica Segoviana | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Real Avila |
| 20/08/22 Europe Friendlies | Gimnastica Segoviana | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Real Avila |
| 31/07/21 Europe Friendlies | Real Avila | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Gimnastica Segoviana |
Standings · Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5 · Segunda Federacion 26/27, Group 5
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Numancia | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 5 | 19 |
| 2 | Salamanca CF UDS | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 19 |
| 3 | UD San Sebastian Reyes | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 11 | 19 |
| 4 | Conquense | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 18 |
| 5 | Atletico Madrid C | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 12 | 18 |
| 6 | Valladolid Promesas | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 16 | 17 |
| 7 | Navalcarnero | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 15 | 16 |
| 8 | CF Talavera | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 15 |
| 9 | CD Guadalajara | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 20 | 13 |
| 10 | Albacete B | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 24 | 12 |
| 11 | Real Madrid C | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| 12 | Atletico Tordesillas | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 10 |
| 13 | Gimnastica Segoviana | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 15 | 10 |
| 13 | RSD Alcala | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 15 | 10 |
| 15 | CD Atletico Paso | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 10 |
| 16 | Getafe B | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 8 |
| 17 | Real Avila | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 7 |
| 18 | Calvo Sotelo | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 6 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Gimnastica Segoviana | Real Avila |
|---|---|---|
| Salamanca CF UDS | 0-1 L | 1-3 L |
| Atletico Madrid C | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Valladolid Promesas | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| UD San Sebastian Reyes | 2-0 W | 0-3 L |
| Calvo Sotelo | 3-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Gimnastica Segoviana (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gimnastica Segoviana
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Albacete B Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 01/11 | Salamanca CF UDS Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 10 | L |
| 24/10 | Atletico Tordesillas Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 17/10 | Atletico Madrid C Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 12 | 7 | D |
| 11/10 | Valladolid Promesas Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 13 | 4 | D |
| 03/10 | CD Guadalajara Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5 |
2-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 26/09 | UD San Sebastian Reyes Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 20/09 | RSD Alcala Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5 |
2-2 | 2-5 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 13/09 | Conquense Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 06/09 | Calvo Sotelo Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5 |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
Real Avila
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Salamanca CF UDS Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5 |
1-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 10 | L |
| 01/11 | Real Madrid C Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 10 | L |
| 24/10 | CD Atletico Paso Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5 |
0-0 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 18/10 | Valladolid Promesas Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 11/10 | Numancia Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5 |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 04/10 | UD San Sebastian Reyes Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 27/09 | Getafe B Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5 |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 20/09 | Calvo Sotelo Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 13/09 | Navalcarnero Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 05/09 | Atletico Madrid C Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 11 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gimnastica Segoviana vs Real Avila?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Gimnastica Segoviana win (43%). Probabilities: Gimnastica Segoviana 43%, draw 27%, Real Avila 30%.
How many goals are expected in Gimnastica Segoviana vs Real Avila?
The model expects 2.69 goals (Gimnastica Segoviana 1.5 · Real Avila 1.2), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Gimnastica Segoviana vs Real Avila?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.