Football · Slovakia I Liga Women · 03/10, 14:30
Prediction: FC Petrzalka (W) vs MFK Ruzomberok (W)
Team pages: FC Petrzalka (W) · MFK Ruzomberok (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.11Total
FC Petrzalka (W)2.04
MFK Ruzomberok (W)2.07
1X2
FC Petrzalka (W)
Draw
MFK Ruzomberok (W)
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 62%
Most likely score
1-1 8%
Recent form · 10 last
FC Petrzalka (W)
1-0-9 (W-D-L)
MFK Ruzomberok (W)
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC Petrzalka (W)
1–2–3
MFK Ruzomberok (W)
(6 last)
- MFK Ruzomberok (W)6-1FC Petrzalka (W)
- FC Petrzalka (W)0-1MFK Ruzomberok (W)
- FC Petrzalka (W)2-1MFK Ruzomberok (W)
- MFK Ruzomberok (W)1-1FC Petrzalka (W)
- MFK Ruzomberok (W)1-1FC Petrzalka (W)
- FC Petrzalka (W)1-5MFK Ruzomberok (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FC Petrzalka (W) 1362 · MFK Ruzomberok (W) 1469
| FC Petrzalka (W) | Draw | MFK Ruzomberok (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 22% | 40% |
| Market | 38% | 23% | 39% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.11 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours MFK Ruzomberok (W) (rating 1362 vs 1469).
- H2H favours MFK Ruzomberok (W): 3-2-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Petrzalka (W) | MFK Ruzomberok (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 5.8 | 1.3 / 2.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 3.3 | 0.6 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/0/100% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1 / 2.7 | 2 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 0.5 / 0.3 | 0.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Petrzalka (W) 1–2–3 MFK Ruzomberok (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/03/26 Slovakia I Liga Women | MFK Ruzomberok (W) | 6-1 | FC Petrzalka (W) |
| 11/10/25 Slovakia I Liga Women | FC Petrzalka (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | MFK Ruzomberok (W) |
| 19/10/24 Slovakia I Liga Women | FC Petrzalka (W) | 2-1 HT 1-1 | MFK Ruzomberok (W) |
| 17/08/24 Slovakia I Liga Women | MFK Ruzomberok (W) | 1-1 HT 0-0 | FC Petrzalka (W) |
| 23/03/24 Slovakia I Liga Women | MFK Ruzomberok (W) | 1-1 | FC Petrzalka (W) |
| 14/10/23 Slovakia I Liga Women | FC Petrzalka (W) | 1-5 HT 0-2 | MFK Ruzomberok (W) |
Standings · Slovakia I Liga Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spartak Myjava (W) | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 46 | 4 | 18 |
| 2 | Slovan Bratislava (W) | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 33 | 7 | 18 |
| 3 | AS Trencin (W) | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 7 | 13 |
| 4 | FC Vion Zlate Moravce (W) | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 12 |
| 5 | FC Tatran Presov (W) | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 12 |
| 6 | Spartak Trnava (W) | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 10 |
| 7 | KFC Komarno (W) | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 7 |
| 8 | Dukla Banska Bystrica (W) | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 4 |
| 9 | MFK Ruzomberok (W) | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 3 |
| 10 | FC Petrzalka (W) | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 35 | 3 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Petrzalka (W) | MFK Ruzomberok (W) |
|---|---|---|
| FC Tatran Presov (W) | 0-7 L | 1-2 L |
| Slovan Bratislava (W) | 1-6 L | 0-7 L |
| Spartak Myjava (W) | 1-11 L | 1-4 L |
| FC Vion Zlate Moravce (W) | 4-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Spartak Trnava (W) | 0-1 L | 3-0 W |
| AS Trencin (W) | 1-6 L | 0-7 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 5 L | 1 W 0 D 5 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Petrzalka (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Dukla Banska Bystrica (W) Slovakia I Liga Women |
1-2 | 1-4 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 19/09 | FC Tatran Presov (W) Slovakia I Liga Women |
0-3 | 0-7 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 12/09 | Slovan Bratislava (W) Slovakia I Liga Women |
– | 1-6 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 05/09 | Spartak Myjava (W) Slovakia I Liga Women |
– | 1-11 | – | – | L |
| 29/08 | FC Vion Zlate Moravce (W) Slovakia I Liga Women |
– | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 22/08 | Spartak Trnava (W) Slovakia I Liga Women |
– | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 15/08 | AS Trencin (W) Slovakia I Liga Women |
– | 1-6 | – | – | L |
| 13/06 | Slovan Bratislava (W) Slovakia I Liga Women |
– | 0-8 | – | – | L |
| 23/05 | FC Tatran Presov (W) Slovakia I Liga Women |
0-2 | 1-5 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 13/05 | Spartak Myjava (W) Slovakia I Liga Women |
0-6 | 0-10 | 1 | 1 | L |
MFK Ruzomberok (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | FC Tatran Presov (W) Slovakia I Liga Women |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 19/09 | Slovan Bratislava (W) Slovakia I Liga Women |
0-3 | 0-7 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 12/09 | Spartak Myjava (W) Slovakia I Liga Women |
– | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 05/09 | FC Vion Zlate Moravce (W) Slovakia I Liga Women |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 29/08 | Spartak Trnava (W) Slovakia I Liga Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 22/08 | AS Trencin (W) Slovakia I Liga Women |
– | 0-7 | – | – | L |
| 15/08 | KFC Komarno (W) Slovakia I Liga Women |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 13/06 | Spartak Trnava (W) Slovakia I Liga Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 30/05 | KFC Komarno (W) Slovakia I Liga Women |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 23/05 | AS Trencin (W) Slovakia I Liga Women |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Petrzalka (W) vs MFK Ruzomberok (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an MFK Ruzomberok (W) win (40%). Probabilities: FC Petrzalka (W) 38%, draw 22%, MFK Ruzomberok (W) 40%.
How many goals are expected in FC Petrzalka (W) vs MFK Ruzomberok (W)?
The model expects 4.11 goals (FC Petrzalka (W) 2.04 · MFK Ruzomberok (W) 2.07), with a 55% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Petrzalka (W) vs MFK Ruzomberok (W)?
The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.