Football · Slovakia I Liga Women · 14/11, 15:00

Prediction: MFK Ruzomberok (W) vs FC Vion Zlate Moravce (W)

Team pages: MFK Ruzomberok (W) · FC Vion Zlate Moravce (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.19Total

MFK Ruzomberok (W)1.8

FC Vion Zlate Moravce (W)2.39

1X2

28% 22% 50%

MFK Ruzomberok (W) Draw FC Vion Zlate Moravce (W)

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-2 8%

Recent form · 10 last

MFK Ruzomberok (W) 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

WLLLLWWLWL

FC Vion Zlate Moravce (W) 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

LWWWWWLLDW

Head-to-head

MFK Ruzomberok (W) 0–1 FC Vion Zlate Moravce (W) (1 last)

FC Vion Zlate Moravce (W)3-1MFK Ruzomberok (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · MFK Ruzomberok (W) 1470 · FC Vion Zlate Moravce (W) 1537

	MFK Ruzomberok (W)	Draw	FC Vion Zlate Moravce (W)
Our model	29%	21%	50%
Market	28%	22%	50%

Estimated total (ours) 4.19 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Vion Zlate Moravce (W) (rating 1470 vs 1537).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	MFK Ruzomberok (W)	FC Vion Zlate Moravce (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 2.4	3.5 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.9	3.3 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/33/33%	100/0/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 3.8	2.5 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.6 / 0.1	2 / 0.8

Odds Bet365

13.20

X4.00

21.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.95

2 (-0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.80

Under 3.52.00

Diff.: 1.4 · xG: 4.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	1.80 → 1.80	Bet365 1.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
13:36 +35’	3.20	4.00	1.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · MFK Ruzomberok (W) 0–0–1 FC Vion Zlate Moravce (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/09/26 Slovakia I Liga Women	FC Vion Zlate Moravce (W)	3-1 HT 1-0	MFK Ruzomberok (W)

Standings · Slovakia I Liga Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Spartak Myjava (W)	11	11	0	0	68	5	33
2	Slovan Bratislava (W)	11	9	0	2	53	14	27
3	AS Trencin (W)	12	7	1	4	29	23	22
4	FC Vion Zlate Moravce (W)	12	6	1	5	36	28	19
5	KFC Komarno (W)	12	5	2	5	20	27	17
6	Spartak Trnava (W)	12	5	2	5	16	27	17
7	FC Tatran Presov (W)	12	4	2	6	18	24	14
8	MFK Ruzomberok (W)	12	4	0	8	16	33	12
9	Dukla Banska Bystrica (W)	12	2	1	9	14	43	7
10	FC Petrzalka (W)	12	1	1	10	13	59	4

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	MFK Ruzomberok (W)	FC Vion Zlate Moravce (W)
Spartak Trnava (W)	0-3 L	5-3 W
AS Trencin (W)	2-0 W	2-1 W
KFC Komarno (W)	0-3 L	6-2 W
Dukla Banska Bystrica (W)	2-0 W	5-1 W
FC Petrzalka (W)	5-2 W	11-1 W
FC Tatran Presov (W)	1-2 L	1-1 D
Slovan Bratislava (W)	0-7 L	2-5 L
Spartak Myjava (W)	1-4 L	0-5 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 5 L	5 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FC Vion Zlate Moravce (W) (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

MFK Ruzomberok (W)

WLLLLWWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Spartak Trnava (W) Slovakia I Liga Women	0-0	0-3	6	2	L
31/10	AS Trencin (W) Slovakia I Liga Women	1-0	2-0	2	0	W
24/10	KFC Komarno (W) Slovakia I Liga Women	0-2	0-3	3	5	L
17/10	Dukla Banska Bystrica (W) Slovakia I Liga Women	1-0	2-0	6	0	W
03/10	FC Petrzalka (W) Slovakia I Liga Women	2-2	5-2	4	3	W
26/09	FC Tatran Presov (W) Slovakia I Liga Women	0-0	1-2	5	1	L
19/09	Slovan Bratislava (W) Slovakia I Liga Women	0-3	0-7	0	0	L
12/09	Spartak Myjava (W) Slovakia I Liga Women	–	1-4	–	–	L
05/09	FC Vion Zlate Moravce (W) Slovakia I Liga Women	0-1	1-3	3	3	L
29/08	Spartak Trnava (W) Slovakia I Liga Women	2-0	3-0	5	1	W

FC Vion Zlate Moravce (W)

LWWWWWLLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	FC Petrzalka (W) Slovakia I Liga Women	7-1	11-1	11	1	W
31/10	FC Tatran Presov (W) Slovakia I Liga Women	1-0	1-1	4	6	D
24/10	Slovan Bratislava (W) Slovakia I Liga Women	–	2-5	–	–	L
17/10	Spartak Myjava (W) Slovakia I Liga Women	–	0-5	–	–	L
03/10	Dukla Banska Bystrica (W) Slovakia I Liga Women	–	5-1	–	–	W
26/09	Spartak Trnava (W) Slovakia I Liga Women	4-1	5-3	2	1	W
19/09	AS Trencin (W) Slovakia I Liga Women	–	2-1	–	–	W
12/09	KFC Komarno (W) Slovakia I Liga Women	–	6-2	–	–	W
05/09	MFK Ruzomberok (W) Slovakia I Liga Women	1-0	3-1	6	3	W
29/08	FC Petrzalka (W) Slovakia I Liga Women	–	0-4	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MFK Ruzomberok (W) vs FC Vion Zlate Moravce (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Vion Zlate Moravce (W) win (50%). Probabilities: MFK Ruzomberok (W) 28%, draw 22%, FC Vion Zlate Moravce (W) 50%.

How many goals are expected in MFK Ruzomberok (W) vs FC Vion Zlate Moravce (W)?

The model expects 4.19 goals (MFK Ruzomberok (W) 1.8 · FC Vion Zlate Moravce (W) 2.39), with a 56% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in MFK Ruzomberok (W) vs FC Vion Zlate Moravce (W)?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.