Football · Spain Primera Women · 14/11, 12:00

Prediction: Espanyol (W) vs Tenerife (W)

Team pages: Espanyol (W) · Tenerife (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.31Total

Espanyol (W)1.16

Tenerife (W)1.16

1X2

35% 30% 35%

Espanyol (W) Draw Tenerife (W)

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Espanyol (W) 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LLDWDWLDWW

Tenerife (W) 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WLDDLWWWLW

Head-to-head

Espanyol (W) 0–4–2 Tenerife (W) (6 last)

Tenerife (W)1-1Espanyol (W)
Espanyol (W)0-0Tenerife (W)
Tenerife (W)0-0Espanyol (W)
Tenerife (W)4-1Espanyol (W)
Espanyol (W)0-0Tenerife (W)
Espanyol (W)2-3Tenerife (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Espanyol (W) 1511 · Tenerife (W) 1526

	Espanyol (W)	Draw	Tenerife (W)
Our model	35%	31%	35%
Market	35%	29%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 2.31 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Tenerife (W): 2-4-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Espanyol (W)	Tenerife (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.1	1.6 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.5	0.5 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 3.2	1.7 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.5 / 0.2	3.6 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.55

X3.10

22.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.90

2 (0)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.95

Under 2.251.85

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 15:03

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.63 → 2.55▼	Pinn 2.61
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	2.40 → 2.55▲	Pinn 2.75 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.7% Pinnacle margin 7%

Time*	1	X	2
12:59 +4’	2.63	3.10	2.40
14:54 +8’	2.55▼	3.10	2.55▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
12:56 +7’	2.56	3.09	2.70
10:00 +2’	2.59▲	3.14▲	2.73▲
10:55 +6’	2.61▲	3.09▼	2.75▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Espanyol (W) 0–4–2 Tenerife (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/07/26 Women’s Friendly	Tenerife (W)	1-1 HT 0-1	Espanyol (W)
25/01/26 Spain Primera Women	Espanyol (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	Tenerife (W)
13/09/25 Spain Primera Women	Tenerife (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	Espanyol (W)
29/03/25 Spain Primera Women	Tenerife (W)	4-1 HT 2-0	Espanyol (W)
22/09/24 Spain Primera Women	Espanyol (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	Tenerife (W)
17/03/21 Spain Primera Women	Espanyol (W)	2-3 HT 0-2	Tenerife (W)

Standings · Spain Primera Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Barcelona (W)	10	9	0	1	41	5	27
2	Real Madrid (W)	11	7	3	1	26	21	24
3	Atletico Madrid (W)	10	6	1	3	22	12	19
4	Athletic Bilbao (W)	11	5	4	2	17	12	19
5	Tenerife (W)	10	5	2	3	17	15	17
6	Madrid CFF (W)	11	5	2	4	18	24	17
7	Espanyol (W)	11	4	3	4	15	14	15
8	Logrono United (W)	11	4	1	6	14	16	13
9	Real Sociedad (W)	11	3	4	4	14	19	13
10	Eibar (W)	11	3	3	5	11	15	12
11	Deportivo A Coruna (W)	10	3	2	5	11	13	11
12	CD Alaves (W)	10	3	2	5	8	14	11
13	Granada (W)	10	3	2	5	9	16	11
14	Sevilla (W)	10	2	4	4	11	16	10
15	FC Badalona (W)	11	2	3	6	12	23	9
16	Valencia (W)	10	2	0	8	8	19	6

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Espanyol (W)	Tenerife (W)
Logrono United (W)	2-1 W	2-1 W
Real Sociedad (W)	1-1 D	1-1 D
Real Madrid (W)	1-3 L	2-3 L
Deportivo A Coruna (W)	1-1 D	0-0 D
Athletic Bilbao (W)	2-2 D	2-0 W
FC Badalona (W)	0-1 L	4-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 2 L	3 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Tenerife (W) (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Espanyol (W)

LLDWDWLDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Granada (W) Spain Primera Women	1-0	1-0	3	7	W
31/10	Logrono United (W) Spain Primera Women	1-1	2-1	4	3	W
24/10	Real Sociedad (W) Spain Primera Women	1-1	1-1	4	0	D
17/10	Real Madrid (W) Spain Primera Women	0-1	1-3	3	4	L
03/10	CD Alaves (W) Spain Primera Women	0-0	1-0	4	2	W
27/09	Deportivo A Coruna (W) Spain Primera Women	1-0	1-1	0	3	D
19/09	Madrid CFF (W) Spain Primera Women	3-1	5-1	6	2	W
12/09	Athletic Bilbao (W) Spain Primera Women	1-1	2-2	1	2	D
05/09	FC Badalona (W) Spain Primera Women	0-0	0-1	2	3	L
29/08	Eibar (W) Spain Primera Women	0-0	0-1	5	1	L

Tenerife (W)

WLDDLWWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/11	Athletic Bilbao (W) Spain Primera Women	0-0	2-0	0	4	W
24/10	Real Madrid (W) Spain Primera Women	1-0	2-3	6	1	L
17/10	FC Badalona (W) Spain Primera Women	3-0	4-0	5	5	W
04/10	Logrono United (W) Spain Primera Women	0-0	2-1	5	6	W
27/09	Valencia (W) Spain Primera Women	0-0	2-1	1	2	W
20/09	Sevilla (W) Spain Primera Women	1-2	1-3	9	3	L
13/09	Real Sociedad (W) Spain Primera Women	0-0	1-1	2	5	D
06/09	Deportivo A Coruna (W) Spain Primera Women	0-0	0-0	5	6	D
30/08	Barcelona (W) Spain Primera Women	0-2	0-5	0	5	L
31/05	Deportivo A Coruna (W) Spain Primera Women	0-0	2-0	4	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Espanyol (W) vs Tenerife (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Espanyol (W) win (35%). Probabilities: Espanyol (W) 35%, draw 30%, Tenerife (W) 35%.

How many goals are expected in Espanyol (W) vs Tenerife (W)?

The model expects 2.31 goals (Espanyol (W) 1.16 · Tenerife (W) 1.16), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Espanyol (W) vs Tenerife (W)?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.