Football · Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1 · 15/11, 17:00
Prediction: Coruxo vs UD Llanera
Team pages: Coruxo
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.79Total
Coruxo1.59
UD Llanera1.2
1X2
Coruxo
Draw
UD Llanera
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Coruxo
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
UD Llanera
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Coruxo
4–0
UD Llanera
(4 last)
- Coruxo1-0UD Llanera
- UD Llanera1-2Coruxo
- UD Llanera2-4Coruxo
- Coruxo2-0UD Llanera
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Coruxo 1456 · UD Llanera 1463
| Coruxo | Draw | UD Llanera | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 27% | 28% |
| Market | 45% | 27% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.79 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Coruxo: 4-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 12.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Coruxo | UD Llanera | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.3 | 1.6 / 2.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.5 | 0.5 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.2 | 2.3 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.9 / 0.4 | 5.9 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Coruxo 4–0–0 UD Llanera
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/02/25 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1 | Coruxo | 1-0 HT 1-0 | UD Llanera |
| 22/09/24 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1 | UD Llanera | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Coruxo |
| 08/05/22 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1 | UD Llanera | 2-4 HT 1-2 | Coruxo |
| 19/12/21 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1 | Coruxo | 2-0 HT 0-0 | UD Llanera |
Standings · Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1 · Segunda Federacion 26/27, Group 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sestao River | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
| 2 | Eibar B | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 20 |
| 3 | Alaves B | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 20 |
| 4 | Bergantinos | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 15 | 18 |
| 5 | Compostela | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 17 |
| 6 | Portugalete | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 12 | 16 |
| 7 | Amorebieta | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 16 |
| 8 | Real Oviedo B | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 16 | 15 |
| 9 | Basconia | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 15 | 15 | 14 |
| 10 | Ourense | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 14 |
| 11 | Gernika | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 12 |
| 12 | Rayo Cantabria | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 17 | 11 |
| 13 | UD Llanera | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 24 | 10 |
| 14 | Coruxo | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 9 |
| 15 | Arosa | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 22 | 8 |
| 16 | Marino de Luanco | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 8 |
| 17 | Atletico Astorga | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 18 | 7 |
| 18 | Gimnastica de Torrelavega | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 6 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Coruxo | UD Llanera |
|---|---|---|
| Real Oviedo B | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Compostela | 0-1 L | 1-3 L |
| Bergantinos | 1-3 L | 4-3 W |
| Gernika | 1-1 D | 0-4 L |
| Rayo Cantabria | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Alaves B | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 2 L | 2 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Coruxo (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Coruxo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Real Oviedo B Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 01/11 | Sestao River Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 10 | L |
| 24/10 | Amorebieta Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 11 | L |
| 17/10 | Ourense Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 11/10 | Compostela Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 04/10 | Bergantinos Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1 |
1-2 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 27/09 | Gernika Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 19/09 | Portugalete Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 13/09 | Rayo Cantabria Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 9 | D |
| 05/09 | Alaves B Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 4 | W |
UD Llanera
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Bergantinos Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1 |
1-1 | 4-3 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 31/10 | Real Oviedo B Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 24/10 | Compostela Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 18/10 | Arosa Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1 |
0-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 10/10 | Marino de Luanco Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1 |
2-0 | 4-2 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 03/10 | Basconia Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 27/09 | Rayo Cantabria Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 20/09 | Gernika Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1 |
0-0 | 0-4 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 13/09 | Alaves B Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 05/09 | Gimnastica de Torrelavega Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 9 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Coruxo vs UD Llanera?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Coruxo win (45%). Probabilities: Coruxo 45%, draw 27%, UD Llanera 28%.
How many goals are expected in Coruxo vs UD Llanera?
The model expects 2.79 goals (Coruxo 1.59 · UD Llanera 1.2), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Coruxo vs UD Llanera?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.