Football · Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1 · 14/11, 15:30

Prediction: Rayo Cantabria vs Gimnastica de Torrelavega

Team pages: Rayo Cantabria

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.8Total

Rayo Cantabria1.73

Gimnastica de Torrelavega1.07

1X2

52% 25% 23%

Rayo Cantabria Draw Gimnastica de Torrelavega

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Rayo Cantabria 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LDLLLLWDWW

Gimnastica de Torrelavega 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

WLLDLDLLLD

Head-to-head

Rayo Cantabria 3–1–2 Gimnastica de Torrelavega (6 last)

Gimnastica de Torrelavega0-2Rayo Cantabria
Rayo Cantabria0-1Gimnastica de Torrelavega
Gimnastica de Torrelavega1-1Rayo Cantabria
Rayo Cantabria2-1Gimnastica de Torrelavega
Gimnastica de Torrelavega0-3Rayo Cantabria
Gimnastica de Torrelavega2-0Rayo Cantabria

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Rayo Cantabria 1494 · Gimnastica de Torrelavega 1421

	Rayo Cantabria	Draw	Gimnastica de Torrelavega
Our model	52%	26%	22%
Market	52%	25%	23%

Estimated total (ours) 2.8 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rayo Cantabria (rating 1494 vs 1421).
H2H favours Rayo Cantabria: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 11.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Rayo Cantabria	Gimnastica de Torrelavega
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.7	0.7 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.5	0.4 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 4.9	1.9 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6 / 0.2	5.6 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.70

X3.60

23.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.95

2 (+0.75)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.70 → 1.70	Bet365 1.70
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.2%

Time*	1	X	2
12:57 +8’	1.70	3.60	3.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Rayo Cantabria 3–1–2 Gimnastica de Torrelavega

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/08/26 Europe Friendlies	Gimnastica de Torrelavega	0-2 HT 0-0	Rayo Cantabria
02/02/25 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1	Rayo Cantabria	0-1 HT 0-0	Gimnastica de Torrelavega
22/09/24 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1	Gimnastica de Torrelavega	1-1 HT 1-1	Rayo Cantabria
03/02/24 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1	Rayo Cantabria	2-1 HT 0-1	Gimnastica de Torrelavega
24/09/23 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1	Gimnastica de Torrelavega	0-3 HT 0-1	Rayo Cantabria
12/03/23 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1	Gimnastica de Torrelavega	2-0 HT 1-0	Rayo Cantabria

Standings · Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1 · Segunda Federacion 26/27, Group 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sestao River	10	8	1	1	13	3	25
2	Eibar B	10	6	2	2	19	9	20
3	Alaves B	10	6	2	2	23	14	20
4	Bergantinos	10	5	3	2	23	15	18
5	Compostela	10	5	2	3	13	9	17
6	Portugalete	10	4	4	2	15	12	16
7	Amorebieta	10	5	1	4	12	10	16
8	Real Oviedo B	10	4	3	3	13	16	15
9	Basconia	10	3	5	2	15	15	14
10	Ourense	10	4	2	4	9	12	14
11	Gernika	10	2	6	2	15	9	12
12	Rayo Cantabria	10	3	2	5	13	17	11
13	UD Llanera	10	3	1	6	16	24	10
14	Coruxo	10	2	3	5	9	13	9
15	Arosa	10	1	5	4	16	22	8
16	Marino de Luanco	10	2	2	6	8	14	8
17	Atletico Astorga	10	2	1	7	12	18	7
18	Gimnastica de Torrelavega	10	1	3	6	7	19	6

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Rayo Cantabria	Gimnastica de Torrelavega
Marino de Luanco	1-0 W	1-2 L
Alaves B	3-3 D	1-5 L
Real Oviedo B	1-2 L	3-3 D
Eibar B	1-5 L	0-1 L
UD Llanera	1-2 L	2-1 W
Amorebieta	0-2 L	0-1 L
Sestao River	0-1 L	0-0 D
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 5 L	1 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Gimnastica de Torrelavega (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Rayo Cantabria

LDLLLLWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Marino de Luanco Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1	0-0	1-0	4	7	W
01/11	Atletico Astorga Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1	1-0	2-0	4	8	W
24/10	Alaves B Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1	2-1	3-3	4	5	D
17/10	Basconia Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1	0-0	3-1	7	8	W
11/10	Real Oviedo B Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1	0-1	1-2	6	3	L
03/10	Eibar B Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1	0-1	1-5	7	5	L
27/09	UD Llanera Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1	1-1	1-2	5	6	L
20/09	Amorebieta Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1	0-1	0-2	4	5	L
13/09	Coruxo Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1	0-0	1-1	2	9	D
06/09	Sestao River Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1	0-0	0-1	6	6	L

Gimnastica de Torrelavega

WLLDLDLLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Gernika Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1	0-0	0-0	7	5	D
01/11	Amorebieta Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1	0-0	0-1	1	7	L
25/10	Ourense Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1	0-1	0-3	1	3	L
18/10	Alaves B Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1	1-4	1-5	5	4	L
10/10	Sestao River Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
03/10	Marino de Luanco Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1	0-1	1-2	6	9	L
27/09	Real Oviedo B Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1	2-1	3-3	3	7	D
20/09	Bergantinos Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1	0-1	0-3	4	7	L
12/09	Eibar B Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1	0-0	0-1	4	4	L
05/09	UD Llanera Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1	1-0	2-1	4	9	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Rayo Cantabria vs Gimnastica de Torrelavega?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Rayo Cantabria win (52%). Probabilities: Rayo Cantabria 52%, draw 25%, Gimnastica de Torrelavega 23%.

How many goals are expected in Rayo Cantabria vs Gimnastica de Torrelavega?

The model expects 2.8 goals (Rayo Cantabria 1.73 · Gimnastica de Torrelavega 1.07), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Rayo Cantabria vs Gimnastica de Torrelavega?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.