Football · Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1 · 14/11, 16:00

Prediction: Amorebieta vs Eibar B

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.59Total

Amorebieta1.54

Eibar B1.05

1X2

48% 26% 26%

Amorebieta Draw Eibar B

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Amorebieta 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

DLWLWLWWWL

Eibar B 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

LWWWWDDWLW

Head-to-head

Amorebieta 2–0 Eibar B (2 last)

Amorebieta2-0Eibar B
Eibar B0-2Amorebieta

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Amorebieta 1532 · Eibar B 1545

	Amorebieta	Draw	Eibar B
Our model	47%	28%	25%
Market	49%	25%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.59 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Amorebieta: 2-0-0.
High corners: 11 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 10.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Amorebieta	Eibar B
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1	1.9 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.5	0.6 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.8	3.6 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.6 / 0.4	5.1 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.83

X3.60

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.88

2 (+0.5)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.95

Under 2.751.85

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
12:56 +9’	1.83	3.60	3.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Amorebieta 2–0–0 Eibar B

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/03/26 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2	Amorebieta	2-0 HT 0-0	Eibar B
13/12/25 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2	Eibar B	0-2 HT 0-0	Amorebieta

Standings · Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1 · Segunda Federacion 26/27, Group 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sestao River	10	8	1	1	13	3	25
2	Eibar B	10	6	2	2	19	9	20
3	Alaves B	10	6	2	2	23	14	20
4	Bergantinos	10	5	3	2	23	15	18
5	Compostela	10	5	2	3	13	9	17
6	Portugalete	10	4	4	2	15	12	16
7	Amorebieta	10	5	1	4	12	10	16
8	Real Oviedo B	10	4	3	3	13	16	15
9	Basconia	10	3	5	2	15	15	14
10	Ourense	10	4	2	4	9	12	14
11	Gernika	10	2	6	2	15	9	12
12	Rayo Cantabria	10	3	2	5	13	17	11
13	UD Llanera	10	3	1	6	16	24	10
14	Coruxo	10	2	3	5	9	13	9
15	Arosa	10	1	5	4	16	22	8
16	Marino de Luanco	10	2	2	6	8	14	8
17	Atletico Astorga	10	2	1	7	12	18	7
18	Gimnastica de Torrelavega	10	1	3	6	7	19	6

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Amorebieta	Eibar B
Basconia	1-2 L	1-1 D
Gimnastica de Torrelavega	1-0 W	1-0 W
Portugalete	1-2 L	0-0 D
Atletico Astorga	1-0 W	4-1 W
Ourense	0-1 L	2-0 W
Rayo Cantabria	2-0 W	5-1 W
Bergantinos	0-1 L	3-2 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 4 L	5 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Eibar B (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Amorebieta

DLWLWLWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Basconia Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1	0-0	1-2	5	8	L
01/11	Gimnastica de Torrelavega Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1	0-0	1-0	10	7	W
24/10	Coruxo Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1	1-1	2-1	5	11	W
17/10	Gernika Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1	0-1	2-1	1	11	W
10/10	Portugalete Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1	1-0	1-2	5	4	L
03/10	Atletico Astorga Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1	0-0	1-0	4	3	W
26/09	Ourense Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1	0-1	0-1	7	2	L
20/09	Rayo Cantabria Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1	1-0	2-0	3	5	W
13/09	Bergantinos Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1	0-1	0-1	5	4	L
06/09	Arosa Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1	1-1	2-2	3	5	D

Eibar B

LWWWWDDWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Atletico Astorga Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1	3-0	4-1	2	4	W
01/11	Alaves B Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1	0-1	1-2	4	7	L
24/10	Bergantinos Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1	1-0	3-2	10	7	W
17/10	Portugalete Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1	0-0	0-0	2	5	D
10/10	Basconia Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1	0-1	1-1	10	4	D
03/10	Rayo Cantabria Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1	1-0	5-1	9	5	W
27/09	Compostela Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1	0-0	1-0	8	2	W
19/09	Ourense Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1	1-0	2-0	7	8	W
12/09	Gimnastica de Torrelavega Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1	0-0	1-0	5	4	W
05/09	Real Oviedo B Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1	0-1	1-2	5	7	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Amorebieta vs Eibar B?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Amorebieta win (48%). Probabilities: Amorebieta 48%, draw 26%, Eibar B 26%.

How many goals are expected in Amorebieta vs Eibar B?

The model expects 2.59 goals (Amorebieta 1.54 · Eibar B 1.05), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Amorebieta vs Eibar B?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.