Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 22/08, 15:00

Prediction: Varnsdorf vs FK Horni Redice

Team pages: Varnsdorf · FK Horni Redice

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.6Total
Varnsdorf2.13
FK Horni Redice1.47
1X2
52% 22% 26%
Varnsdorf Draw FK Horni Redice
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Varnsdorf 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
DWWLWLWWDL
FK Horni Redice 6-1-3 (W-D-L)
LDWWWWWLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Varnsdorf 1528 · FK Horni Redice 1532
VarnsdorfDrawFK Horni Redice
Our model52%23%26%
Market52%22%26%
Estimated total (ours) 3.6 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

VarnsdorfFK Horni Redice
Goals for / against (FT)2.3 / 1.72.6 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 0.81.3 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/30/40%50/10/40%
Corners (HT / FT)3 / 63 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.6 / 0.33.4 / 0.1

Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Sigma Olomouc B 3300 1039
2 SK Artis Brno B 3300 509
3 Frydek Mistek 3210 527
4 TJ Unie Hlubina 3201 1476
5 Slovacko II 3201 856
6 CSK Uhersky Brod 3201 536
7 SK Unicov 3201 546
8 FC Trinity Zlin B 3201 326
9 MFK Karvina B 3111 654
10 SFK Vrchovina 3111 354
11 FC Brno II 3111 6114
12 MFK Havirov 3021 342
13 FK Blansko 3021 792
14 MFK Vitkovice 3021 252
15 Polanka 3012 131
16 FK Hodonin 3012 471
17 SK Hranice 3003 030
18 FC Vsetin 3003 2110

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentVarnsdorfFK Horni Redice
MFK Chrudim 1-3 L 3-0 W
FK Brandys nad Labem 1-1 D 4-1 W
Mladá Boleslav B 2-0 W 0-6 L
SK Sparta Kolin 2-0 W 3-0 W
FK Jablonec B 3-3 D 0-2 L
Record vs common 2 W 2 D 1 L 3 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FK Horni Redice (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Varnsdorf

DWWLWLWWDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 MFK Chrudim
Czechia 3. Liga
0-2 1-3 102 L
12/08 FK Brandys nad Labem
Czechia Cup
1-1 1-1 100 D
09/08 Benatky Nad Jizerou
Czechia 3. Liga
0-0 1-0 75 W
01/08 SK Steti
Czechia Cup
3-0 6-0 23 W
08/07 Arsenal Ceska Lipa
Europe Friendlies
0-2 0-6 22 L
07/06 Hradec Kralove B
Czechia 3. Liga
4-0 5-0 41 W
30/05 Arsenal Ceska Lipa
Czechia 3. Liga
0-1 2-4 L
24/05 Mladá Boleslav B
Czechia 3. Liga
0-0 2-0 W
20/05 SK Sparta Kolin
Czechia 3. Liga
1-0 2-0 76 W
17/05 FK Jablonec B
Czechia 3. Liga
1-2 3-3 64 D

FK Horni Redice

LDWWWWWLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 Mladá Boleslav B
Czechia 3. Liga
0-4 0-6 21 L
12/08 MFK Chrudim
Czechia Cup
1-0 3-0 44 W
09/08 FK Jablonec B
Czechia 3. Liga
0-1 0-2 65 L
01/08 SK Sparta Kolin
Czechia Cup
2-0 3-0 52 W
13/06 TJ Svitavy
Czechia 4. Liga
2-1 4-2 W
06/06 Hlinsko
Czechia 4. Liga
1-1 3-1 55 W
30/05 FK Brandys nad Labem
Czechia 4. Liga
2-0 4-1 W
23/05 FK Chlumec N.C
Czechia 4. Liga
4-0 4-0 54 W
16/05 Spartak Police Nad Metuji
Czechia 4. Liga
1-3 3-3 84 D
08/05 Turnov
Czechia 4. Liga
0-2 2-3 13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Varnsdorf vs FK Horni Redice?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Varnsdorf win (52%). Probabilities: Varnsdorf 52%, draw 22%, FK Horni Redice 26%.

How many goals are expected in Varnsdorf vs FK Horni Redice?

The model expects 3.6 goals (Varnsdorf 2.13 · FK Horni Redice 1.47), with a 57% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Varnsdorf vs FK Horni Redice?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.