Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 26/09, 10:15

Prediction: Mladá Boleslav B vs Varnsdorf

Team pages: Mladá Boleslav B · Varnsdorf

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.35Total

Mladá Boleslav B1.88

Varnsdorf1.47

1X2

47% 24% 30%

Mladá Boleslav B Draw Varnsdorf

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Mladá Boleslav B 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LLWWWLWLDW

Varnsdorf 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WWLWWLWWDL

Head-to-head

Mladá Boleslav B 0–2–3 Varnsdorf (5 last)

Varnsdorf2-0Mladá Boleslav B
Mladá Boleslav B1-1Varnsdorf
Mladá Boleslav B0-5Varnsdorf
Mladá Boleslav B1-2Varnsdorf
Mladá Boleslav B2-2Varnsdorf

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Mladá Boleslav B 1525 · Varnsdorf 1524

	Mladá Boleslav B	Draw	Varnsdorf
Our model	46%	24%	29%
Market	47%	23%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 3.35 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Varnsdorf: 3-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Mladá Boleslav B	Varnsdorf
Goals for / against (FT)	2.5 / 1.3	2.2 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 0.5	0.8 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.2 / 4.4	2.6 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.1	3.3 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.91

X3.90

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.95

2 (+0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 3.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:20

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 1.91	Pinn 1.94
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	3.00 → 3.00	Pinn 3.27 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4% Pinnacle margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
11:18 +2’	1.91	3.90	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
11:29 +68’	1.93	3.74	3.14
22:33 +20’	1.93	3.61▼	3.23▲
08:19 +80’	1.94▲	3.67▲	3.27▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Mladá Boleslav B 0–2–3 Varnsdorf

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
24/05/26 Czechia 3. Liga	Varnsdorf	2-0 HT 0-0	Mladá Boleslav B
26/10/25 Czechia 3. Liga	Mladá Boleslav B	1-1 HT 0-0	Varnsdorf
22/01/25 Europe Friendlies	Mladá Boleslav B	0-5 HT 0-3	Varnsdorf
15/02/23 Europe Friendlies	Mladá Boleslav B	1-2 HT 0-1	Varnsdorf
29/01/20 Europe Friendlies	Mladá Boleslav B	2-2 HT 1-1	Varnsdorf

Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SK Artis Brno B	10	7	3	0	19	3	24
2	FC Brno II	10	7	1	2	23	15	22
3	Frydek Mistek	9	5	3	1	15	7	18
4	SK Unicov	9	5	2	2	17	13	17
5	Sigma Olomouc B	9	5	1	3	17	10	16
6	MFK Vitkovice	10	4	4	2	11	7	16
7	TJ Unie Hlubina	9	4	3	2	23	15	15
8	Slovacko II	10	4	3	3	16	11	15
9	SK Hranice	9	4	1	4	11	8	13
10	FC Trinity Zlin B	10	3	3	4	12	16	12
11	CSK Uhersky Brod	9	3	2	4	14	15	11
12	MFK Karvina B	10	3	2	5	15	20	11
13	SFK Vrchovina	9	3	2	4	8	14	11
14	FK Hodonin	9	2	2	5	8	12	8
15	FK Blansko	9	1	4	4	14	24	7
16	FC Vsetin	9	2	1	6	10	22	7
17	MFK Havirov	9	0	4	5	4	16	4
18	Polanka	9	0	3	6	5	14	3

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Mladá Boleslav B	Varnsdorf
FK Jablonec B	2-2 D	0-2 L
SK Sokol Zapy	2-3 L	4-4 D
Velke Hamry	3-0 W	3-1 W
FK Neratovice-Byskovice	1-2 L	2-1 W
MFK Chrudim	6-1 W	1-3 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Mladá Boleslav B (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Mladá Boleslav B

LLWWWLWLDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Slovan Liberec B Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	2-1	5	6	W
13/09	FK Jablonec B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	2-2	5	2	D
05/09	SK Sokol Zapy Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	2-3	1	3	L
29/08	Velke Hamry Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	3-0	2	2	W
22/08	FK Neratovice-Byskovice Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
15/08	FK Horni Redice Czechia 3. Liga	4-0	6-0	5	1	W
08/08	MFK Chrudim Czechia 3. Liga	5-1	6-1	3	8	W
06/06	Usti N Orlici Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	3-0	4	2	W
30/05	FK Teplice B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-2	10	5	L
24/05	Varnsdorf Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-2	–	–	L

Varnsdorf

WWLWWLWWDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	FK Jablonec B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-2	6	2	L
12/09	SK Sokol Zapy Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	4-4	3	2	D
06/09	Velke Hamry Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	3-1	3	5	W
29/08	FK Neratovice-Byskovice Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-1	3	5	W
15/08	MFK Chrudim Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	1-3	10	2	L
09/08	Benatky Nad Jizerou Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	7	5	W
07/06	Hradec Kralove B Czechia 3. Liga	4-0	5-0	4	1	W
30/05	Arsenal Ceska Lipa Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	2-4	–	–	L
24/05	Mladá Boleslav B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
20/05	SK Sparta Kolin Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-0	7	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Mladá Boleslav B vs Varnsdorf?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Mladá Boleslav B win (47%). Probabilities: Mladá Boleslav B 47%, draw 24%, Varnsdorf 30%.

How many goals are expected in Mladá Boleslav B vs Varnsdorf?

The model expects 3.35 goals (Mladá Boleslav B 1.88 · Varnsdorf 1.47), with a 54% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Mladá Boleslav B vs Varnsdorf?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.