Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 14/11, 10:30

Prediction: Ceske Budejovice vs Sparta Prague B

Team pages: Ceske Budejovice · Sparta Prague B

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.28Total

Ceske Budejovice1.79

Sparta Prague B1.5

1X2

44% 24% 32%

Ceske Budejovice Draw Sparta Prague B

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Ceske Budejovice 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

DLWLWWWDWD

Sparta Prague B 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

DDWWWDLDLD

Head-to-head

Ceske Budejovice 2–0 Sparta Prague B (2 last)

Sparta Prague B0-1Ceske Budejovice
Ceske Budejovice2-1Sparta Prague B

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ceske Budejovice 1553 · Sparta Prague B 1497

	Ceske Budejovice	Draw	Sparta Prague B
Our model	44%	25%	31%
Market	45%	22%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 3.28 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ceske Budejovice (rating 1553 vs 1497).
H2H favours Ceske Budejovice: 2-0-0.
High corners: 13 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Ceske Budejovice	Sparta Prague B
Goals for / against (FT)	2.8 / 1.8	1.5 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.5	0.6 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/30/10%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.1 / 8.4	1.9 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.3	3.6 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.00

X4.00

22.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.85

2 (+0.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.80

Under 3.252.00

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:03

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
03:59 +3’	2.00	4.00	2.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Ceske Budejovice 2–0–0 Sparta Prague B

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/04/26 Czechia 2. Liga	Sparta Prague B	0-1 HT 0-1	Ceske Budejovice
22/08/25 Czechia 2. Liga	Ceske Budejovice	2-1 HT 2-0	Sparta Prague B

Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Frydek Mistek	16	10	3	3	30	15	33
2	SK Unicov	16	10	3	3	36	24	33
3	Sigma Olomouc B	16	10	1	5	35	18	31
4	SK Artis Brno B	16	8	6	2	27	14	30
5	FC Brno II	16	9	3	4	36	27	30
6	FK Hodonin	16	7	2	7	25	18	23
7	TJ Unie Hlubina	16	6	5	5	34	31	23
8	MFK Karvina B	16	7	2	7	28	25	23
9	MFK Vitkovice	16	6	5	5	22	19	23
10	SK Hranice	16	7	2	7	20	22	23
11	Slovacko II	16	6	4	6	26	20	22
12	CSK Uhersky Brod	16	6	3	7	26	27	21
13	FC Trinity Zlin B	16	5	4	7	20	26	19
14	FK Blansko	16	4	5	7	23	34	17
15	SFK Vrchovina	16	5	2	9	17	34	17
16	MFK Havirov	16	2	6	8	13	25	12
17	Polanka	16	3	3	10	16	31	12
18	FC Vsetin	16	3	1	12	12	36	10

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Ceske Budejovice	Sparta Prague B
Motorlet Praha	1-0 W	1-1 D
Kraluv Dvur	3-3 D	1-1 D
FK Loko Praha	2-1 W	4-0 W
Povltavska FA	3-1 W	0-0 D
Benesov	3-0 W	1-1 D
Aritma Praha	7-0 W	1-1 D
FC Pisek	2-3 L	0-1 L
Dukla Praha B	2-2 D	2-1 W
Record vs common	5 W 2 D 1 L	2 W 5 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Ceske Budejovice (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ceske Budejovice

DLWLWWWDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Slavia Prague U20 Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-2	12	5	D
31/10	Motorlet Praha Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	6	6	W
24/10	Kraluv Dvur Czechia 3. Liga	2-1	3-3	5	3	D
17/10	FK Loko Praha Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-1	4	6	W
10/10	Povltavska FA Czechia 3. Liga	2-1	3-1	12	4	W
03/10	Benesov Czechia 3. Liga	3-0	3-0	8	4	W
26/09	Jiskra Domazlice Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	3-6	11	2	L
19/09	Aritma Praha Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	7-0	9	1	W
11/09	FC Pisek Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	2-3	5	7	L
04/09	Dukla Praha B Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	2-2	12	2	D

Sparta Prague B

DDWWWDLDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Aritma Praha Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-1	10	4	D
04/11	Viktoria Plzen B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-3	4	7	L
28/10	Kraluv Dvur Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-1	1	7	D
25/10	FC Pisek Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	5	3	L
17/10	Motorlet Praha Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-1	2	7	D
11/10	Dukla Praha B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-1	4	1	W
19/09	FK Loko Praha Czechia 3. Liga	3-0	4-0	4	2	W
13/09	Bohemians 1905 B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	4-1	6	2	W
06/09	Povltavska FA Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	6	3	D
02/09	Benesov Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-1	4	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ceske Budejovice vs Sparta Prague B?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Ceske Budejovice win (44%). Probabilities: Ceske Budejovice 44%, draw 24%, Sparta Prague B 32%.

How many goals are expected in Ceske Budejovice vs Sparta Prague B?

The model expects 3.28 goals (Ceske Budejovice 1.79 · Sparta Prague B 1.5), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Ceske Budejovice vs Sparta Prague B?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.