Football · Slovakia 3. Liga · 17/10, 14:30

Prediction: Spartak Medzev vs MSK Tesla Stropkov

Team pages: Spartak Medzev · MSK Tesla Stropkov

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.96Total

Spartak Medzev1.5

MSK Tesla Stropkov1.46

1X2

38% 26% 36%

Spartak Medzev Draw MSK Tesla Stropkov

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Spartak Medzev 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

LWWWDLWLWW

MSK Tesla Stropkov 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DWWLLLWDLW

Head-to-head

Spartak Medzev 0–1–1 MSK Tesla Stropkov (2 last)

MSK Tesla Stropkov1-0Spartak Medzev
Spartak Medzev2-2MSK Tesla Stropkov

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Spartak Medzev 1534 · MSK Tesla Stropkov 1520

	Spartak Medzev	Draw	MSK Tesla Stropkov
Our model	37%	27%	36%
Market	38%	25%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 2.96 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 4.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Spartak Medzev	MSK Tesla Stropkov
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.5	1.5 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.7	0.2 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1 / 2	2.3 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1 / 0	3.8 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

12.35

X3.60

22.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.85

2 (0)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:44

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.35 → 2.35	Bet365 2.35
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
13:41 +3’	2.35	3.60	2.45

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Spartak Medzev 0–1–1 MSK Tesla Stropkov

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/03/26 Slovakia 3. Liga	MSK Tesla Stropkov	1-0 HT 0-0	Spartak Medzev
09/08/25 Slovakia 3. Liga	Spartak Medzev	2-2 HT 1-1	MSK Tesla Stropkov

Standings · Slovakia 3. Liga · 3. Liga 26/27, East

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Lokomotiva Kosice	10	6	3	1	17	4	21
2	Ofk-Sim Raslavice	10	6	1	3	14	13	19
3	Spartak Medzev	10	6	1	3	21	15	19
4	MFK Stara Lubovna	10	5	3	2	21	12	18
5	Odeva Lipany	10	5	2	3	23	12	17
6	Spisska Nova Ves	10	5	1	4	13	12	16
7	Partizan Bardejov	10	5	1	4	17	16	16
8	FK Poprad	10	5	1	4	15	11	16
9	MSK Tesla Stropkov	10	4	2	4	15	11	14
10	Slavia TU Kosice	10	4	1	5	21	20	13
11	MFK Snina	10	2	5	3	9	12	11
12	MFK Vranov nad Toplou	10	3	1	6	10	25	10
13	Slovan Sabinov	10	1	3	6	3	15	6
14	MFK Kezmarok	10	0	1	9	5	26	1

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Spartak Medzev	MSK Tesla Stropkov
Spisska Nova Ves	2-1 W	1-2 L
MFK Stara Lubovna	2-1 W	0-1 L
Slavia TU Kosice	2-6 L	1-2 L
Slovan Sabinov	3-0 W	3-0 W
MFK Vranov nad Toplou	1-2 L	3-2 W
FC Lokomotiva Kosice	0-0 D	1-1 D
Partizan Bardejov	3-1 W	3-0 W
Ofk-Sim Raslavice	2-3 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 3 L	4 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: MSK Tesla Stropkov (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Spartak Medzev

LWWWDLWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Spisska Nova Ves Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
03/10	MFK Stara Lubovna Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	2-1	–	–	W
25/09	Slavia TU Kosice Slovakia 3. Liga	0-3	2-6	2	1	L
19/09	Slovan Sabinov Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
12/09	MFK Vranov nad Toplou Slovakia 3. Liga	1-2	1-2	–	–	L
05/09	FC Lokomotiva Kosice Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
29/08	MFK Kezmarok Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	3-1	–	–	W
22/08	MFK Snina Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
15/08	Partizan Bardejov Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	3-1	–	–	W
08/08	Ofk-Sim Raslavice Slovakia 3. Liga	1-2	2-3	–	–	L

MSK Tesla Stropkov

DWWLLLWDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Ofk-Sim Raslavice Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	2	7	W
03/10	FK Poprad Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	1-2	4	0	L
27/09	Odeva Lipany Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	1-1	6	5	D
19/09	Partizan Bardejov Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
12/09	Spisska Nova Ves Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
06/09	MFK Stara Lubovna Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
30/08	Slavia TU Kosice Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	1-2	3	5	L
23/08	Slovan Sabinov Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
15/08	MFK Vranov nad Toplou Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	3-2	–	–	W
09/08	FC Lokomotiva Kosice Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	1-1	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Spartak Medzev vs MSK Tesla Stropkov?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Spartak Medzev win (38%). Probabilities: Spartak Medzev 38%, draw 26%, MSK Tesla Stropkov 36%.

How many goals are expected in Spartak Medzev vs MSK Tesla Stropkov?

The model expects 2.96 goals (Spartak Medzev 1.5 · MSK Tesla Stropkov 1.46), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Spartak Medzev vs MSK Tesla Stropkov?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.