Football · Slovakia 3. Liga · 17/10, 14:30

Prediction: MFK Kezmarok vs MFK Stara Lubovna

Team pages: MFK Kezmarok · MFK Stara Lubovna

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.05Total
MFK Kezmarok1.03
MFK Stara Lubovna2.02
1X2
18% 22% 60%
MFK Kezmarok Draw MFK Stara Lubovna
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
MFK Kezmarok 0-1-9 (W-D-L)
LLLLLLLLDL
MFK Stara Lubovna 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
LWDDWWWWLD
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · MFK Kezmarok 1392 · MFK Stara Lubovna 1537
MFK KezmarokDrawMFK Stara Lubovna
Our model18%23%59%
Market19%21%60%
Estimated total (ours) 3.05 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours MFK Stara Lubovna (rating 1392 vs 1537).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

MFK KezmarokMFK Stara Lubovna
Goals for / against (FT)0.5 / 2.62.1 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.1 / 1.41.1 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)0/10/90%60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)1 / 5.3– / –
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.3 / 0.3– / –

Standings · Slovakia 3. Liga · 3. Liga 26/27, East

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 FC Lokomotiva Kosice 10631 17421
2 Ofk-Sim Raslavice 10613 141319
3 Spartak Medzev 10613 211519
4 MFK Stara Lubovna 10532 211218
5 Odeva Lipany 10523 231217
6 Spisska Nova Ves 10514 131216
7 Partizan Bardejov 10514 171616
8 FK Poprad 10514 151116
9 MSK Tesla Stropkov 10424 151114
10 Slavia TU Kosice 10415 212013
11 MFK Snina 10253 91211
12 MFK Vranov nad Toplou 10316 102510
13 Slovan Sabinov 10136 3156
14 MFK Kezmarok 10019 5261

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentMFK KezmarokMFK Stara Lubovna
Slavia TU Kosice 1-3 L 2-1 W
Slovan Sabinov 0-0 D 2-3 L
Partizan Bardejov 3-4 L 2-2 D
MFK Snina 0-3 L 1-1 D
Spartak Medzev 1-3 L 1-2 L
Ofk-Sim Raslavice 0-1 L 5-0 W
FK Poprad 0-2 L 2-1 W
Odeva Lipany 0-5 L 3-0 W
Record vs common 0 W 1 D 7 L 4 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: MFK Stara Lubovna (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

MFK Kezmarok

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/10 Slavia TU Kosice
Slovakia 3. Liga
0-2 1-3 64 L
03/10 Slovan Sabinov
Slovakia 3. Liga
0-0 0-0 –– D
26/09 MFK Vranov nad Toplou
Slovakia 3. Liga
0-1 0-2 26 L
19/09 FC Lokomotiva Kosice
Slovakia 3. Liga
0-2 0-3 –– L
12/09 Partizan Bardejov
Slovakia 3. Liga
1-2 3-4 55 L
06/09 MFK Snina
Slovakia 3. Liga
0-1 0-3 87 L
29/08 Spartak Medzev
Slovakia 3. Liga
0-1 1-3 –– L
22/08 Ofk-Sim Raslavice
Slovakia 3. Liga
0-1 0-1 –– L
15/08 FK Poprad
Slovakia 3. Liga
0-1 0-2 –– L
08/08 Odeva Lipany
Slovakia 3. Liga
0-3 0-5 –– L

MFK Stara Lubovna

LWDDWWWWLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
10/10 MFK Snina
Slovakia 3. Liga
1-0 1-1 –– D
03/10 Spartak Medzev
Slovakia 3. Liga
0-0 1-2 –– L
26/09 Ofk-Sim Raslavice
Slovakia 3. Liga
2-0 5-0 –– W
19/09 FK Poprad
Slovakia 3. Liga
2-1 2-1 –– W
12/09 Odeva Lipany
Slovakia 3. Liga
1-0 3-0 –– W
06/09 MSK Tesla Stropkov
Slovakia 3. Liga
0-0 1-0 –– W
29/08 Spisska Nova Ves
Slovakia 3. Liga
0-1 2-2 –– D
22/08 Partizan Bardejov
Slovakia 3. Liga
2-1 2-2 –– D
16/08 Slavia TU Kosice
Slovakia 3. Liga
2-0 2-1 –– W
08/08 Slovan Sabinov
Slovakia 3. Liga
1-1 2-3 –– L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MFK Kezmarok vs MFK Stara Lubovna?

According to our model, the most likely result is an MFK Stara Lubovna win (60%). Probabilities: MFK Kezmarok 18%, draw 22%, MFK Stara Lubovna 60%.

How many goals are expected in MFK Kezmarok vs MFK Stara Lubovna?

The model expects 3.05 goals (MFK Kezmarok 1.03 · MFK Stara Lubovna 2.02), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in MFK Kezmarok vs MFK Stara Lubovna?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.