Football · Guatemala Liga Nacional · 03/10, 19:00
Prediction: Deportivo Mixco vs CSD Municipal
Team pages: Deportivo Mixco · CSD Municipal
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.34Total
Deportivo Mixco1.14
CSD Municipal1.2
1X2
Deportivo Mixco
Draw
CSD Municipal
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Deportivo Mixco
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
CSD Municipal
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Deportivo Mixco
2–4
CSD Municipal
(6 last)
- CSD Municipal2-0Deportivo Mixco
- CSD Municipal5-0Deportivo Mixco
- Deportivo Mixco0-2CSD Municipal
- CSD Municipal3-0Deportivo Mixco
- Deportivo Mixco1-0CSD Municipal
- Deportivo Mixco1-0CSD Municipal
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Deportivo Mixco 1495 · CSD Municipal 1583
| Deportivo Mixco | Draw | CSD Municipal | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 31% | 36% |
| Market | 34% | 28% | 38% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.34 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CSD Municipal (rating 1495 vs 1583).
- H2H favours CSD Municipal: 4-0-2.
- High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportivo Mixco | CSD Municipal | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.7 | 1.6 / 0.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.5 | 0.9 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 70/20/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 5.1 | 2.6 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.8 / 0.4 | 4.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Mixco 2–0–4 CSD Municipal
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07/26 Guatemala Liga Nacional | CSD Municipal | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Deportivo Mixco |
| 10/05/26 Guatemala Liga Nacional | CSD Municipal | 5-0 HT 2-0 | Deportivo Mixco |
| 06/05/26 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Deportivo Mixco | 0-2 HT 0-0 | CSD Municipal |
| 26/04/26 Guatemala Liga Nacional | CSD Municipal | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Deportivo Mixco |
| 04/03/26 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Deportivo Mixco | 1-0 HT 1-0 | CSD Municipal |
| 09/11/25 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Deportivo Mixco | 1-0 HT 1-0 | CSD Municipal |
Standings · Guatemala Liga Nacional
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CSD Municipal | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 5 | 23 |
| 2 | Guastatoya | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 22 |
| 3 | Antigua GFC | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 21 |
| 4 | Deportivo San Pedro | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 10 | 18 |
| 5 | Deportivo Mixco | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 18 |
| 6 | Marquense | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 16 |
| 7 | Xelaju | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 14 | 15 |
| 8 | Aurora | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 16 | 19 | 12 |
| 9 | Malacateco | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 12 |
| 10 | CSD Comunicaciones | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 11 |
| 11 | Coban Imperial | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 18 | 10 |
| 12 | Suchitepequez | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 6 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Deportivo Mixco | CSD Municipal |
|---|---|---|
| Malacateco | 0-1 L | 2-2 D |
| Aurora | 3-2 W | 2-1 W |
| Deportivo San Pedro | 0-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Xelaju | 1-4 L | 2-0 W |
| Guastatoya | 4-2 W | 0-1 L |
| Coban Imperial | 2-3 L | 2-0 W |
| Marquense | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Suchitepequez | 2-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 4 L | 5 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: CSD Municipal (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportivo Mixco
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Antigua GFC Guatemala Liga Nacional |
2-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 21/09 | Malacateco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 13/09 | Aurora Guatemala Liga Nacional |
3-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 09/09 | Deportivo San Pedro Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 31/08 | Xelaju Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 1-4 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 23/08 | Guastatoya Guatemala Liga Nacional |
3-0 | 4-2 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 15/08 | Coban Imperial Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 9 | L |
| 08/08 | Marquense Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 01/08 | Suchitepequez Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 25/07 | CSD Municipal Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
CSD Municipal
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Suchitepequez Guatemala Liga Nacional |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 14/09 | Malacateco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 10/09 | Aurora Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 07/09 | Deportivo San Pedro Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 5 | D |
| 30/08 | CSD Comunicaciones Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 23/08 | Xelaju Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 16/08 | Guastatoya Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 10/08 | Coban Imperial Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 03/08 | Marquense Guatemala Liga Nacional |
2-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 25/07 | Deportivo Mixco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportivo Mixco vs CSD Municipal?
According to our model, the most likely result is an CSD Municipal win (37%). Probabilities: Deportivo Mixco 34%, draw 29%, CSD Municipal 37%.
How many goals are expected in Deportivo Mixco vs CSD Municipal?
The model expects 2.34 goals (Deportivo Mixco 1.14 · CSD Municipal 1.2), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportivo Mixco vs CSD Municipal?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.