Football · Spain La Liga · 12/09, 18:30
Prediction: Athletic Bilbao vs Elche
Team pages: Athletic Bilbao · Elche
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.11Total
Athletic Bilbao1.9
Elche1.21
1X2
Athletic Bilbao
Draw
Elche
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Athletic Bilbao
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Elche
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Athletic Bilbao
3–2–1
Elche
(6 last)
- Athletic Bilbao2-1Elche
- Elche0-0Athletic Bilbao
- Athletic Bilbao0-1Elche
- Elche1-4Athletic Bilbao
- Athletic Bilbao2-1Elche
- Elche0-0Athletic Bilbao
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Athletic Bilbao (rating 1537 vs 1489).
- H2H favours Athletic Bilbao: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Athletic Bilbao | Elche | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.8 | 1.3 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.6 | 0.7 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.5 / 6.6 | 2.2 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.2 | 4.1 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Athletic Bilbao 3–2–1 Elche
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/02/26 Spain La Liga | Athletic Bilbao | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Elche |
| 19/10/25 Spain La Liga | Elche | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Athletic Bilbao |
| 28/05/23 Spain La Liga | Athletic Bilbao | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Elche |
| 11/09/22 Spain La Liga | Elche | 1-4 HT 0-4 | Athletic Bilbao |
| 03/04/22 Spain La Liga | Athletic Bilbao | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Elche |
| 16/08/21 Spain La Liga | Elche | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Athletic Bilbao |
Standings · Spain La Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 9 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 9 |
| 3 | Atletico Madrid | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | CD Alaves | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 5 | Osasuna | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 |
| 6 | Sevilla | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
| 7 | Real Betis | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
| 8 | Deportivo A Coruna | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 5 |
| 9 | Levante | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 9 | Racing Santander | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 11 | Espanyol | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| 12 | Athletic Bilbao | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| 13 | Real Sociedad | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
| 14 | Getafe | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 |
| 15 | Villarreal | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
| 16 | Celta Vigo | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| 16 | Valencia | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| 18 | Rayo Vallecano | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 1 |
| 19 | Elche | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 1 |
| 20 | Malaga | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 1 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Athletic Bilbao | Elche |
|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo | 2-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Barcelona | 0-2 L | 0-5 L |
| CD Alaves | 4-2 W | 1-1 D |
| Atletico Madrid | 2-3 L | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Athletic Bilbao (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Athletic Bilbao
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Celta Vigo Spain La Liga |
2-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 27/08 | Barcelona Spain La Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | Sevilla Spain La Liga |
0-1 | 1-3 | 10 | 7 | L |
| 23/05 | Real Madrid Spain La Liga |
1-2 | 2-4 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 17/05 | Celta Vigo Spain La Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 13/05 | Espanyol Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 9 | 0 | L |
| 10/05 | Valencia Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 13 | 5 | L |
| 02/05 | CD Alaves Spain La Liga |
0-1 | 4-2 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 25/04 | Atletico Madrid Spain La Liga |
1-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 21/04 | Osasuna Spain La Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
Elche
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Racing Santander Spain La Liga |
0-3 | 2-3 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 23/08 | Barcelona Spain La Liga |
0-2 | 0-5 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 17/08 | Deportivo A Coruna Spain La Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 23/05 | Girona Spain La Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 8 | D |
| 17/05 | Getafe Spain La Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 12/05 | Real Betis Spain La Liga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 09/05 | CD Alaves Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 9 | D |
| 03/05 | Celta Vigo Spain La Liga |
0-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 26/04 | Oviedo Spain La Liga |
2-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 22/04 | Atletico Madrid Spain La Liga |
2-2 | 3-2 | 13 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Athletic Bilbao vs Elche?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Athletic Bilbao win (52%). Probabilities: Athletic Bilbao 52%, draw 24%, Elche 23%.
How many goals are expected in Athletic Bilbao vs Elche?
The model expects 3.11 goals (Athletic Bilbao 1.9 · Elche 1.21), with a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Athletic Bilbao vs Elche?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.