Football · Spain La Liga · 11/09, 21:00
Prediction: Sevilla vs Valencia
Team pages: Sevilla · Valencia
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.24Total
Sevilla1.47
Valencia0.77
1X2
Sevilla
Draw
Valencia
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 61%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Sevilla
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Valencia
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sevilla
0–3–3
Valencia
(6 last)
- Sevilla0-2Valencia
- Valencia1-1Sevilla
- Valencia1-0Sevilla
- Sevilla1-1Valencia
- Valencia0-0Sevilla
- Sevilla1-2Valencia
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sevilla (rating 1523 vs 1474).
- H2H favours Valencia: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sevilla | Valencia | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.4 | 1.3 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.8 | 0.4 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 10/80/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.6 | 1.9 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.2 | 3.5 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sevilla 0–3–3 Valencia
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/26 Spain La Liga | Sevilla | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Valencia |
| 07/12/25 Spain La Liga | Valencia | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Sevilla |
| 11/04/25 Spain La Liga | Valencia | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Sevilla |
| 11/01/25 Spain La Liga | Sevilla | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Valencia |
| 17/02/24 Spain La Liga | Valencia | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Sevilla |
| 11/08/23 Spain La Liga | Sevilla | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Valencia |
Standings · Spain La Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 9 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 9 |
| 3 | Atletico Madrid | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | CD Alaves | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 5 | Osasuna | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 |
| 6 | Sevilla | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
| 7 | Real Betis | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
| 8 | Deportivo A Coruna | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 5 |
| 9 | Levante | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 9 | Racing Santander | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 11 | Espanyol | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| 12 | Athletic Bilbao | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| 13 | Real Sociedad | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
| 14 | Getafe | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 |
| 15 | Villarreal | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
| 16 | Celta Vigo | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| 16 | Valencia | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| 18 | Rayo Vallecano | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 1 |
| 19 | Elche | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 1 |
| 20 | Malaga | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 1 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sevilla | Valencia |
|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid | 1-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Athletic Bilbao | 3-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Rayo Vallecano | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Celta Vigo | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Real Sociedad | 1-0 W | 4-3 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 2 L | 2 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Sevilla (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sevilla
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Atletico Madrid Spain La Liga |
0-3 | 1-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 22/08 | Athletic Bilbao Spain La Liga |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 15/08 | Rayo Vallecano Spain La Liga |
0-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 9 | W |
| 23/05 | Celta Vigo Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 17/05 | Real Madrid Spain La Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 13/05 | Villarreal Spain La Liga |
2-2 | 3-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | Espanyol Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 04/05 | Real Sociedad Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | Osasuna Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 23/04 | Levante Spain La Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
Valencia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Deportivo A Coruna Spain La Liga |
1-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 25/08 | Real Betis Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | Celta Vigo Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 23/05 | Barcelona Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | Real Sociedad Spain La Liga |
2-1 | 4-3 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 14/05 | Rayo Vallecano Spain La Liga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 10/05 | Athletic Bilbao Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 02/05 | Atletico Madrid Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | Girona Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 21/04 | Mallorca Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sevilla vs Valencia?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Sevilla win (52%). Probabilities: Sevilla 52%, draw 29%, Valencia 19%.
How many goals are expected in Sevilla vs Valencia?
The model expects 2.24 goals (Sevilla 1.47 · Valencia 0.77), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Sevilla vs Valencia?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.