Football · Lithuania II Lyga · 01/08, 13:00
Prediction: Sirijus Klaipeda vs DFK Dainava II
Team pages: Sirijus Klaipeda · DFK Dainava II
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.2Total
Sirijus Klaipeda2.95
DFK Dainava II1.24
1X2
Sirijus Klaipeda
Draw
DFK Dainava II
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
Sirijus Klaipeda
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
DFK Dainava II
2-0-8 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sirijus Klaipeda
2–1
DFK Dainava II
(3 last)
- DFK Dainava II1-4Sirijus Klaipeda
- DFK Dainava II3-0Sirijus Klaipeda
- Sirijus Klaipeda2-1DFK Dainava II
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sirijus Klaipeda 1518 · DFK Dainava II 1417
| Sirijus Klaipeda | Draw | DFK Dainava II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 71% | 16% | 13% |
| Market | 72% | 16% | 13% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.2 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sirijus Klaipeda (rating 1518 vs 1417).
- H2H favours Sirijus Klaipeda: 2-0-1.
- High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sirijus Klaipeda | DFK Dainava II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 1.3 | 1.5 / 3.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.4 | 0.9 / 1.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 30/20/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.4 / 6.6 | 2.5 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.2 | 3.3 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sirijus Klaipeda 2–0–1 DFK Dainava II
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07/26 Lithuania II Lyga | DFK Dainava II | 1-4 HT 1-3 | Sirijus Klaipeda |
| 25/10/25 Lithuania II Lyga | DFK Dainava II | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Sirijus Klaipeda |
| 15/06/25 Lithuania II Lyga | Sirijus Klaipeda | 2-1 HT 0-1 | DFK Dainava II |
Standings · Lithuania II Lyga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nevezis | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 33 | 10 | 33 |
| 2 | Vilnius Football Academy | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 47 | 17 | 30 |
| 3 | Suduva Marijampole II | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 27 |
| 4 | FM Klaipedos | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 26 |
| 5 | FK Sveikata | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 19 | 24 |
| 6 | FK Panevezys II | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 35 | 24 | 23 |
| 7 | FK Sirvena | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 19 | 22 |
| 8 | Sirijus Klaipeda | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 23 | 19 |
| 9 | FK Neptunas Klaipeda II | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 18 |
| 10 | FKS Ukmerge | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 20 | 20 | 17 |
| 11 | Banga Gargzdai II | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 20 | 15 |
| 12 | FK Silute | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 28 | 13 |
| 13 | Utenis Utena | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 33 | 12 |
| 14 | FK Viltis Vilnius | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 18 | 54 | 8 |
| 15 | DFK Dainava II | 14 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 18 | 55 | 6 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sirijus Klaipeda | DFK Dainava II |
|---|---|---|
| FM Klaipedos | 0-1 L | 0-3 L |
| FK Silute | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| FK Neptunas Klaipeda II | 1-3 L | 0-4 L |
| Banga Gargzdai II | 2-2 D | 3-1 W |
| FK Sveikata | 2-2 D | 0-7 L |
| FK Panevezys II | 5-1 W | 2-6 L |
| Nevezis | 1-1 D | 2-5 L |
| Vilnius Football Academy | 4-2 W | 2-4 L |
| Utenis Utena | 1-0 W | 4-2 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 3 D 2 L | 2 W 0 D 7 L |
Better against common opponents: Sirijus Klaipeda (7 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sirijus Klaipeda
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | DFK Dainava II Lithuania II Lyga |
3-1 | 4-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 27/06 | FM Klaipedos Lithuania II Lyga |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 19/06 | FK Silute Lithuania II Lyga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 14 | 5 | W |
| 14/06 | FK Neptunas Klaipeda II Lithuania II Lyga |
1-0 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 05/06 | Banga Gargzdai II Lithuania II Lyga |
1-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 29/05 | FK Sveikata Lithuania II Lyga |
1-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 23/05 | FK Panevezys II Lithuania II Lyga |
2-0 | 5-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 15/05 | Nevezis Lithuania II Lyga |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 08/05 | Vilnius Football Academy Lithuania II Lyga |
1-1 | 4-2 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 03/05 | Utenis Utena Lithuania II Lyga |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
DFK Dainava II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Sirijus Klaipeda Lithuania II Lyga |
1-3 | 1-4 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 17/06 | FM Klaipedos Lithuania II Lyga |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 13/06 | FK Silute Lithuania II Lyga |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 07/06 | FK Neptunas Klaipeda II Lithuania II Lyga |
0-1 | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 31/05 | Banga Gargzdai II Lithuania II Lyga |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 23/05 | FK Sveikata Lithuania II Lyga |
0-3 | 0-7 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 17/05 | FK Panevezys II Lithuania II Lyga |
2-1 | 2-6 | – | – | L |
| 08/05 | Nevezis Lithuania II Lyga |
0-3 | 2-5 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 03/05 | Vilnius Football Academy Lithuania II Lyga |
2-2 | 2-4 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | Utenis Utena Lithuania II Lyga |
3-2 | 4-2 | 3 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sirijus Klaipeda vs DFK Dainava II?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Sirijus Klaipeda win (72%). Probabilities: Sirijus Klaipeda 72%, draw 16%, DFK Dainava II 13%.
How many goals are expected in Sirijus Klaipeda vs DFK Dainava II?
The model expects 4.2 goals (Sirijus Klaipeda 2.95 · DFK Dainava II 1.24), with a 50% chance of over 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Sirijus Klaipeda vs DFK Dainava II?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.