Football · Spain Segunda · 07/11, 21:00

Prediction: Granada vs Tenerife

Team pages: Granada · Tenerife

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.46Total

Granada1.76

Tenerife0.7

1X2

62% 25% 13%

Granada Draw Tenerife

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 55% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-0 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Granada 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WWLDLLWWWW

Tenerife 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

WLDWLDLDDD

Head-to-head

Granada 4–2 Tenerife (6 last)

Tenerife0-1Granada
Tenerife2-1Granada
Granada4-0Tenerife
Granada2-0Tenerife
Tenerife2-0Granada
Granada2-1Tenerife

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Granada (rating 1579 vs 1475).
H2H favours Granada: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 10.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Granada	Tenerife
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.4	1 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.9	0.5 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 5.1	2 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.1 / 0.2	5.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.88

Under 2.251.95

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:36

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.91 → 1.91	Pinn 1.91
X	3.55 → 3.55	Pinn 3.55
2	4.10 → 4.10	Pinn 4.10

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 4.9%

Time*	1	X	2
18:29 +8’	1.91	3.55	4.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Granada 4–0–2 Tenerife

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/12/25 Spain Copa del Rey	Tenerife	0-1 HT 0-0	Granada
28/03/25 Spain Segunda	Tenerife	2-1 HT 0-1	Granada
19/10/24 Spain Segunda	Granada	4-0 HT 2-0	Tenerife
10/02/23 Spain Segunda	Granada	2-0 HT 1-0	Tenerife
16/10/22 Spain Segunda	Tenerife	2-0 HT 1-0	Granada
10/05/19 Spain Segunda	Granada	2-1 HT 2-0	Tenerife

Standings · Spain Segunda

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CD Castellon	11	8	2	1	22	4	26
2	Almeria	12	8	2	2	23	10	26
3	Eibar	12	7	2	3	21	14	23
4	Girona	12	6	3	3	22	11	21
5	Granada	11	6	2	3	18	14	20
6	Burgos	11	6	2	3	16	12	20
7	Mallorca	11	5	4	2	13	6	19
8	Sporting Gijon	11	6	1	4	11	13	19
9	Oviedo	11	5	3	3	15	12	18
10	Sabadell	12	4	5	3	12	11	17
11	Cordoba	12	5	1	6	19	22	16
12	Eldense	11	4	2	5	13	15	14
12	Tenerife	11	3	5	3	13	15	14
14	Las Palmas	11	4	2	5	14	19	14
15	Celta Fortuna	12	3	4	5	18	23	13
16	Valladolid	11	3	3	5	16	16	12
17	Leganes	11	3	3	5	7	16	12
18	Real Sociedad B	12	3	2	7	15	22	11
19	Cadiz	11	2	4	5	14	14	10
20	FC Andorra	11	3	1	7	15	20	10
21	Albacete	12	2	1	9	10	23	7
22	AD Ceuta FC	11	1	2	8	10	25	5

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Granada	Tenerife
Cadiz	2-0 W	1-1 D
Real Sociedad B	3-2 W	1-1 D
Leganes	2-3 L	2-0 W
Cordoba	3-1 W	2-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Granada (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Granada

WWLDLLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	Valladolid Spain Segunda	1-0	2-1	3	6	W
18/10	Cadiz Spain Segunda	0-0	2-0	4	3	W
12/10	Burgos Spain Segunda	1-0	1-0	0	7	W
04/10	Real Sociedad B Spain Segunda	0-2	3-2	7	5	W
26/09	FC Andorra Spain Segunda	0-2	2-3	14	10	L
20/09	Leganes Spain Segunda	1-2	2-3	4	6	L
12/09	Albacete Spain Segunda	0-0	1-1	4	2	D
06/09	Eibar Spain Segunda	0-2	0-3	5	7	L
30/08	Cordoba Spain Segunda	0-1	3-1	3	2	W
24/08	Mallorca Spain Segunda	1-0	2-0	7	5	W

Tenerife

WLDWLDLDDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Sabadell Spain Segunda	0-0	1-1	5	8	D
19/10	Celta Fortuna Spain Segunda	0-1	1-1	4	5	D
12/10	Girona Spain Segunda	1-1	1-1	6	7	D
05/10	Cordoba Spain Segunda	1-2	2-3	8	11	L
26/09	Cadiz Spain Segunda	1-0	1-1	1	4	D
19/09	CD Castellon Spain Segunda	0-3	0-5	5	2	L
13/09	Leganes Spain Segunda	1-0	2-0	3	4	W
05/09	Real Sociedad B Spain Segunda	0-0	1-1	3	6	D
28/08	Sporting Gijon Spain Segunda	0-0	0-1	4	6	L
23/08	Almeria Spain Segunda	1-0	1-0	5	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Granada vs Tenerife?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Granada win (62%). Probabilities: Granada 62%, draw 25%, Tenerife 13%.

How many goals are expected in Granada vs Tenerife?

The model expects 2.46 goals (Granada 1.76 · Tenerife 0.7), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Granada vs Tenerife?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.