Football · Spain Segunda · 09/11, 20:30

Prediction: Sabadell vs Real Sociedad B

Team pages: Sabadell · Real Sociedad B

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.78Total

Sabadell1.79

Real Sociedad B0.99

1X2

55% 25% 19%

Sabadell Draw Real Sociedad B

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Sabadell 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WWLWDDWLDL

Real Sociedad B 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

DDWLLLLLLW

Head-to-head

Sabadell 1–1–2 Real Sociedad B (4 last)

Real Sociedad B0-1Sabadell
Sabadell1-2Real Sociedad B
Real Sociedad B1-1Sabadell
Sabadell1-2Real Sociedad B

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sabadell 1510 · Real Sociedad B 1450

	Sabadell	Draw	Real Sociedad B
Our model	55%	25%	19%
Market	55%	26%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 2.78 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sabadell (rating 1510 vs 1450).
H2H favours Real Sociedad B: 2-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 10.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sabadell	Real Sociedad B
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.1	1.3 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.7	0.6 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 5.2	1.6 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.1 / 0.2	5.4 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.67

X3.60

24.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.93

2 (+0.75)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.02

Under 2.51.77

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 10:21

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.61 → 1.68▲	Pinn 1.68
X	4.00 → 3.85▼	Pinn 3.85
2	5.55 → 5.08▼	Pinn 5.08

See the full journey (3)

Pinnacle margin 5.2%

Time*	1	X	2
00:15 +6’	1.61	4.00	5.55
09:02 +17’	1.62▲	3.98▼	5.45▼
10:11 +10’	1.68▲	3.85▼	5.08▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 2.5

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Both teams to score

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We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Sabadell 1–1–2 Real Sociedad B

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/02/24 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	Real Sociedad B	0-1 HT 0-1	Sabadell
05/11/23 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	Sabadell	1-2 HT 0-1	Real Sociedad B
02/04/23 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	Real Sociedad B	1-1 HT 0-0	Sabadell
05/11/22 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	Sabadell	1-2 HT 1-0	Real Sociedad B

Standings · Spain Segunda

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CD Castellon	12	8	3	1	23	5	27
2	Almeria	12	8	2	2	23	10	26
3	Eibar	12	7	2	3	21	14	23
4	Granada	12	7	2	3	20	14	23
5	Mallorca	12	6	4	2	15	7	22
6	Sporting Gijon	12	7	1	4	13	13	22
7	Girona	12	6	3	3	22	11	21
8	Burgos	12	6	3	3	17	13	21
9	Oviedo	12	5	3	4	17	15	18
10	Sabadell	12	4	5	3	12	11	17
11	Las Palmas	12	5	2	5	17	21	17
12	Cordoba	12	5	1	6	19	22	16
13	Valladolid	12	4	3	5	20	19	15
14	Tenerife	11	3	5	3	13	15	14
15	Eldense	12	4	2	6	13	17	14
16	Celta Fortuna	12	3	4	5	18	23	13
17	Leganes	12	3	3	6	10	20	12
18	Real Sociedad B	12	3	2	7	15	22	11
19	Cadiz	12	2	4	6	15	16	10
20	FC Andorra	11	3	1	7	15	20	10
21	Albacete	12	2	1	9	10	23	7
22	AD Ceuta FC	12	1	2	9	10	27	5

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sabadell	Real Sociedad B
Tenerife	1-1 D	1-1 D
Burgos	0-1 L	2-2 D
AD Ceuta FC	2-1 W	1-3 L
FC Andorra	0-0 D	3-1 W
Celta Fortuna	1-1 D	1-4 L
Mallorca	0-2 L	0-1 L
Almeria	1-0 W	2-4 L
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 2 L	1 W 2 D 4 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sabadell

WWLWDDWLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Albacete Spain Segunda	0-2	1-2	6	5	L
25/10	Tenerife Spain Segunda	0-0	1-1	4	8	D
18/10	Burgos Spain Segunda	0-0	0-1	3	3	L
10/10	AD Ceuta FC Spain Segunda	1-1	2-1	3	5	W
04/10	FC Andorra Spain Segunda	0-0	0-0	11	7	D
26/09	Celta Fortuna Spain Segunda	1-1	1-1	7	6	D
20/09	Oviedo Spain Segunda	2-0	3-1	4	4	W
13/09	Mallorca Spain Segunda	0-2	0-2	7	3	L
07/09	Cordoba Spain Segunda	2-1	3-2	3	5	W
29/08	Almeria Spain Segunda	0-0	1-0	4	7	W

Real Sociedad B

DDWLLLLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Girona Spain Segunda	0-0	1-0	3	8	W
24/10	Las Palmas Spain Segunda	0-1	0-1	6	6	L
17/10	Almeria Spain Segunda	0-2	2-4	10	3	L
10/10	Celta Fortuna Spain Segunda	0-3	1-4	10	6	L
04/10	Granada Spain Segunda	2-0	2-3	1	5	L
26/09	AD Ceuta FC Spain Segunda	0-0	1-3	2	9	L
19/09	Mallorca Spain Segunda	0-0	0-1	5	5	L
12/09	FC Andorra Spain Segunda	3-0	3-1	2	6	W
05/09	Tenerife Spain Segunda	0-0	1-1	2	6	D
31/08	Burgos Spain Segunda	1-1	2-2	4	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sabadell vs Real Sociedad B?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sabadell win (55%). Probabilities: Sabadell 55%, draw 25%, Real Sociedad B 19%.

How many goals are expected in Sabadell vs Real Sociedad B?

The model expects 2.78 goals (Sabadell 1.79 · Real Sociedad B 0.99), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Sabadell vs Real Sociedad B?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.