Football · Spain Segunda · 14/11, 18:30

Prediction: Almeria vs FC Andorra

Team pages: Almeria · FC Andorra

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.09Total

Almeria2.19

FC Andorra0.89

1X2

66% 21% 13%

Almeria Draw FC Andorra

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

2-0 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Almeria 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

LWWWWWWWDD

FC Andorra 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LLLLLWDWLL

Head-to-head

Almeria 2–0 FC Andorra (2 last)

Almeria3-2FC Andorra
FC Andorra1-2Almeria

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Almeria (rating 1593 vs 1453).
H2H favours Almeria: 2-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 11.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Almeria	FC Andorra
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 0.9	1 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.2	0.5 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/30/10%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 3.5	1.8 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.8 / 0.1	5.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 32.04

Under 31.81

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 18:20

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.70 → 1.70▼	Pinn 1.70
X	3.94 → 4.09▲	Pinn 4.09
2	4.51 → 4.58▲	Pinn 4.58

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 5.1%

Time*	1	X	2
17:03 +4’	1.70	3.94	4.51
18:05 +15’	1.70▼	4.09▲	4.58▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Almeria 2–0–0 FC Andorra

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/02/26 Spain Segunda	Almeria	3-2 HT 1-1	FC Andorra
06/12/25 Spain Segunda	FC Andorra	1-2 HT 0-0	Almeria

Standings · Spain Segunda

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CD Castellon	12	8	3	1	23	5	27
2	Almeria	12	8	2	2	23	10	26
3	Burgos	13	7	3	3	19	14	24
4	Eibar	12	7	2	3	21	14	23
5	Granada	12	7	2	3	20	14	23
6	Mallorca	12	6	4	2	15	7	22
7	Sporting Gijon	12	7	1	4	13	13	22
8	Girona	12	6	3	3	22	11	21
9	Oviedo	13	6	3	4	19	16	21
10	Cordoba	13	6	1	6	22	22	19
11	Sabadell	12	4	5	3	12	11	17
12	Las Palmas	12	5	2	5	17	21	17
13	Valladolid	12	4	3	5	20	19	15
14	Tenerife	11	3	5	3	13	15	14
15	Eldense	12	4	2	6	13	17	14
16	Celta Fortuna	13	3	4	6	19	25	13
17	Leganes	13	3	3	7	11	23	12
18	Real Sociedad B	12	3	2	7	15	22	11
19	Cadiz	13	2	4	7	16	18	10
20	FC Andorra	11	3	1	7	15	20	10
21	Albacete	13	3	1	9	13	24	10
22	AD Ceuta FC	13	1	2	10	10	30	5

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Almeria	FC Andorra
Eibar	1-1 D	0-1 L
Real Sociedad B	4-2 W	1-3 L
Burgos	2-1 W	2-3 L
Celta Fortuna	2-0 W	2-4 L
Sabadell	0-1 L	0-0 D
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 1 L	0 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Almeria (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Almeria

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Eibar Spain Segunda	1-0	1-1	3	6	D
24/10	Oviedo Spain Segunda	2-0	2-2	4	7	D
17/10	Real Sociedad B Spain Segunda	2-0	4-2	2	3	W
11/10	Leganes Spain Segunda	0-0	3-0	8	7	W
03/10	Burgos Spain Segunda	0-1	2-1	8	5	W
27/09	Mallorca Spain Segunda	1-0	1-0	2	9	W
20/09	Celta Fortuna Spain Segunda	2-0	2-0	2	1	W
12/09	Cordoba Spain Segunda	0-0	2-0	0	10	W
06/09	Cadiz Spain Segunda	3-1	3-2	3	4	W
29/08	Sabadell Spain Segunda	0-0	0-1	3	7	L

FC Andorra

LLLLLWDWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/10	Burgos Spain Segunda	2-3	2-3	7	2	L
18/10	Girona Spain Segunda	0-2	0-2	6	4	L
11/10	CD Castellon Spain Segunda	1-0	1-0	4	6	W
04/10	Sabadell Spain Segunda	0-0	0-0	0	7	D
26/09	Granada Spain Segunda	2-0	3-2	4	10	W
19/09	Sporting Gijon Spain Segunda	0-1	1-3	8	4	L
12/09	Real Sociedad B Spain Segunda	0-3	1-3	7	6	L
05/09	Valladolid Spain Segunda	0-1	0-1	4	6	L
30/08	Eibar Spain Segunda	0-0	0-1	7	2	L
24/08	Celta Fortuna Spain Segunda	0-0	2-4	4	7	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Almeria vs FC Andorra?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Almeria win (66%). Probabilities: Almeria 66%, draw 21%, FC Andorra 13%.

How many goals are expected in Almeria vs FC Andorra?

The model expects 3.09 goals (Almeria 2.19 · FC Andorra 0.89), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Almeria vs FC Andorra?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.