Football · Spain Segunda · 13/11, 20:30
Prediction: Leganes vs Burgos
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.56Total
Leganes0.97
Burgos1.59
1X2
Leganes
Draw
Burgos
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Leganes
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Burgos
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Leganes
2–1–3
Burgos
(6 last)
- Burgos2-1Leganes
- Leganes1-2Burgos
- Leganes2-0Burgos
- Burgos1-0Leganes
- Burgos0-3Leganes
- Leganes0-0Burgos
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Burgos (rating 1418 vs 1566).
- H2H favours Burgos: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 11.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Leganes | Burgos | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 2.2 | 1.4 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 1 | 0.7 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/30/60% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 4.8 | 1.3 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.4 / 0.3 | 5 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Leganes 2–1–3 Burgos
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/01/26 Spain Segunda | Burgos | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Leganes |
| 01/11/25 Spain Segunda | Leganes | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Burgos |
| 22/01/24 Spain Segunda | Leganes | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Burgos |
| 04/10/23 Spain Segunda | Burgos | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Leganes |
| 12/05/23 Spain Segunda | Burgos | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Leganes |
| 18/09/22 Spain Segunda | Leganes | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Burgos |
Standings · Spain Segunda
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Castellon | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 23 | 5 | 27 |
| 2 | Almeria | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 10 | 26 |
| 3 | Burgos | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 24 |
| 4 | Eibar | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 23 |
| 5 | Granada | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 23 |
| 6 | Mallorca | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 7 | 22 |
| 7 | Sporting Gijon | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 22 |
| 8 | Girona | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 21 |
| 9 | Oviedo | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 16 | 21 |
| 10 | Cordoba | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 22 | 19 |
| 11 | Sabadell | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 17 |
| 12 | Las Palmas | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 21 | 17 |
| 13 | Valladolid | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 15 |
| 14 | Tenerife | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 15 | 14 |
| 15 | Eldense | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 17 | 14 |
| 16 | Celta Fortuna | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 25 | 13 |
| 17 | Leganes | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 12 |
| 18 | Real Sociedad B | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 22 | 11 |
| 19 | Cadiz | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 18 | 10 |
| 20 | FC Andorra | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 20 | 10 |
| 21 | Albacete | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 13 | 24 | 10 |
| 22 | AD Ceuta FC | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 30 | 5 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Leganes | Burgos |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria | 0-3 L | 1-2 L |
| CD Castellon | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Granada | 3-2 W | 0-1 L |
| Las Palmas | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 1 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Burgos (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Leganes
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Albacete Spain Segunda |
0-2 | 1-3 | 9 | 12 | L |
| 02/11 | Valladolid Spain Segunda |
1-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 24/10 | Mallorca Spain Segunda |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 9 | D |
| 16/10 | Cordoba Spain Segunda |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 11/10 | Almeria Spain Segunda |
0-0 | 0-3 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 03/10 | Cadiz Spain Segunda |
0-1 | 0-4 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 28/09 | CD Castellon Spain Segunda |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 20/09 | Granada Spain Segunda |
2-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 13/09 | Tenerife Spain Segunda |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 04/09 | Las Palmas Spain Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
Burgos
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Celta Fortuna Spain Segunda |
0-1 | 2-1 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 01/11 | CD Castellon Spain Segunda |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 8 | D |
| 26/10 | FC Andorra Spain Segunda |
3-2 | 3-2 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 18/10 | Sabadell Spain Segunda |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 12/10 | Granada Spain Segunda |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 03/10 | Almeria Spain Segunda |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 27/09 | Eldense Spain Segunda |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 20/09 | Las Palmas Spain Segunda |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 11/09 | AD Ceuta FC Spain Segunda |
1-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 06/09 | Oviedo Spain Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Leganes vs Burgos?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Burgos win (51%). Probabilities: Leganes 22%, draw 27%, Burgos 51%.
How many goals are expected in Leganes vs Burgos?
The model expects 2.56 goals (Leganes 0.97 · Burgos 1.59), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Leganes vs Burgos?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.